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Downlink (DL) precoding in mid-band MIMO relies on uplink (UL) sounding reference signals (SRS) with reciprocity-based singular value decomposition (SVD) or channel state information reference signals (CSI-RS) with codebook-based precoding matrix indicator (PMI) feedback. Although SVD precoding offers unquantized beamforming, it depends on a channel estimate from SRS transmitted at the limited user equipment (UE) power, whereas Type-I PMI is quantized but derived from a high-power CSI-RS based channel estimate. In this paper, we compare SRS-SVD and CSIRS-PMI for single-user MIMO through an end-to-end, 3GPP-compliant link-level simulation at 3.75 GHz with 100 MHz bandwidth, using a 192 antenna element gNB mapped into 32 ports, the 3GPP Release 19 UE antenna model, and ray-traced (RT) channels in Manhattan and Chicago. We show that neither scheme is uniformly superior: CSIRS-PMI serves weak and shadowed users better and reduces outage, whereas SRS-SVD achieves higher spectral efficiency (SE) and enables more multi-layer transmission for users with strong channels. The results on the Clustered Delay Line (CDL)-C statistical channel also confirm this crossover. We further show that by utilizing a simple logistic regression based on the received power of the standard CSI reference signal (CSI-RSRP) and the channel quality indicator (CQI), the gNB can select the optimal transmission scheme with around 90% accuracy, achieving an SE that closely approaches an ideal per-user selection.