Brian Ko, Han Wang, Hejia Geng, Li Erran Li, Sherry Yang
AI research agents can propose, execute, and improve programs that solve machine learning tasks. However, executing each candidate program requires training and evaluating ML models, limiting how many candidates an agent can explore at each step. We introduce MLE-World, a world model finetuned from Qwen3.5-4B that predicts a program's terminal output (error traces, training logs, and validation scores) from its code and data description without executing it, together with a confidence score estimating the prediction's correctness. Because a prediction costs one inference call rather than a training run, MLE-World makes test time scaling (TTS) affordable for these agents. We build five TTS policies, guided by MLE-World, that compare several candidates per step by their predicted outputs: Sequential revision, Best-of-N, Pairwise judging, Fusion, and a UCB style rule that also adds an exploration bonus from this confidence score. Since predictions can be wrong, we run a candidate for real only when its confidence score is low. On 17 MLE-bench Lite tasks, MLE-World matches the real terminal output on 77.9% of held out programs, versus 41.1% for much larger prompted models. MLE-World guided TTS achieves up to 22.1% higher observed mean performance than the agent without a world model, with less real execution. Project webpage: https://mle-world.github.io/.
Video world models trained on large-scale robot data promise a safe and scalable approach for learning and evaluating policies that act in the physical world. However, they still struggle with long-horizon rollouts and out-of-distribution generalization, and they remain computationally demanding at inference time. Typically, video world models make predictions in the latent space of a reconstruction-trained autoencoder, which however is not directly optimized for dynamics modeling. On the other hand, world models designed for latent planning usually optimize latents to be predictable, but they forgo accurate prediction of observations in pixel space. In this paper, we show that it is possible to achieve the best of both worlds: a latent geometry optimized to make future prediction as simple as possible without sacrificing accurate prediction of future observations. More precisely, we find that temporal objectives for representation learning, paired with a past-conditioned decoder architecture, lead to consistent improvements in generative video world models at the same training budget. The gains include up to 5x cheaper inference, over 7x faster training, and 15-24% lower pixel and perceptual errors out of distribution and over long horizons. Our world models also agree more closely with real-world policy evaluation when using a vision-language model to judge task success from their pixel-space predictions. Overall, our study indicates that temporal predictability is an important design criterion for the latent space of video world models, and provides concrete guidance on how to incorporate it into the training of autoencoders.