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arXiv 最近完成扫描:等待完成 · 全站最近入库:2026-11-02 00:39各信源进度 →

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新论文 · v1arXiv:2610.39927

Learning Calibrated Confidence for Multi-Agent Collaboration

Chenxiao Fan, Chongming Gao, Gangyi Zhang, Yaxin Gong, Leyang Shen, Jiakai Wang, Dong Wang, Yang Liu 等 12 位作者

Complex information seeking on the Web often requires collecting evidence from multiple documents and reasoning across them, as in multi-hop question answering. Multi-agent systems address such tasks by dividing work among specialized agents, where upstream agents produce intermediate answers and supporting evidence that downstream agents build upon. However, upstream answers vary in correctness, and most systems provide no quantitative signal about it, leaving the downstream agent to judge whether to trust or verify what it receives based solely on the textual evidence. In this paper, we propose MASCAL. Each agent learns to produce a correctness probability for its answer by jointly optimizing task performance and confidence calibration in reinforcement learning; the upstream agent passes this probability at handoff, giving the downstream agent a quantitative basis for its decisions, and the final answer also carries a calibrated probability, quantifying the reliability of the system output. To guide the downstream agent in using this signal during training, we introduce confidence-aware weighting, which increases the learning weight at positions responsive to the upstream probability, so that the agent learns more from decisions where it actively uses the signal. Across three collaboration architectures spanning Web retrieval and reasoning tasks, MASCAL improves task accuracy and calibration quality for both agents, and generalizes to deeper collaboration chains and different model scales. Intervention analysis confirms that upstream confidence affects downstream decision behavior, and the learned final confidence supports selective answering and targeted rechecking.

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cs.LG · cs.AI · cs.MA
arXiv ↗PDF ↗
版本更新 · v2arXiv:2610.37365

TRIDENT-Seq: Profile-Matched Prefix-Future Contrast for Label-Efficient Payment Risk Modeling

Weiyu Han, Haoyu Jiang, Jie Sheng, Ruobing Zuo, Huilin He, Ze Zhao, Xiao Tan, Nairong Zhang 等 10 位作者

Ant International accumulates large volumes of transaction history across users and payment businesses. Confirmed fraud and chargeback outcomes, by contrast, are scarce, delayed, and specific to each business. A single encoder pretrained on unlabeled histories could serve all businesses, but only if pretraining captures the behavior that separates risk. Coarse activity differences can make contrastive pretraining on transaction logs too easy: transaction volume, amount, and timing can distinguish a history's continuation from arbitrary candidates without modeling how payment resources are used. We present TRIDENT-Seq, a transaction foundation model trained with Prefix-Future Contrast (PFC). PFC matches each prefix to a summary of its subsequent behavior among candidates with similar activity profiles; activity prediction and dispersion regularization act on the encoder output. Across three production payment businesses, the pretrained encoder improves average precision (AP) and recall at a 0.5% intervention budget over architecture-matched scratch training in all six business-budget settings. With a fixed validation set, it exceeds full-label scratch training in mean AP and recall using 10% of the training labels on Wallet and 25% on Shopping and SME. Pretraining only on another business's histories still helps. Replacing profile-matched candidates with random ones cuts recall from 24.62% to 5.64%. In Ant International's deployment evaluation, recorded amount-based chargeback and overall loss rates are 37.7% and 37.9% lower than those of the previous XGBoost-based system under the same intervention budget.

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cs.LG
arXiv ↗PDF ↗
版本更新 · v2arXiv:2607.25233

Beyond Single-Episode Optimization: Sliding-Window Aware Generative Auto-Bidding for Long-Term Advertising Effectiveness

Binglin Wu, Chuan Yue, Yingyi Zhang, Xianneng Li, Ruyue Deng, Weiru Zhang, Xiaoyi Zeng

Auto-bidding systems optimize bids to maximize value under efficiency constraints such as Cost-Per-Action (CPA). Existing methods treat each day as an independent episode. However, many advertisers produce value so sparsely that per-day efficiency ratios become statistically unreliable, undermining advertiser retention. Platforms therefore evaluate window-level efficiency over sliding windows of $W{=}7$ days, ensuring fair evaluation and long-term advertising effectiveness. This creates cross-episode coupling: each day's bidding decisions affect up to $W$ overlapping windows, so setting daily targets requires anticipating future market conditions. We propose SWAG-Bid (Sliding-Window Aware Generative Auto-Bidding), a hierarchical framework decomposing this challenge into episode-level planning and step-level execution. The planner uses a Masked Trajectory Model to forecast markets and generate candidate plans, scored across all overlapping windows by Multi-Window Model Predictive Control Sampling (MWMS) with exponential confidence decay. The controller adjusts reliance on this guidance through a state-adaptive gate, Per-Step Gated Adaptive Layer Normalization (PSG-AdaLN), complemented by Return-to-Go and Cost-to-Go channels carrying budget and constraint information. Experiments on AuctionNet-Sparse and online A/B tests on AliExpress show that SWAG-Bid achieves competitive constraint satisfaction and value acquisition under sliding-window evaluation.

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cs.LG
arXiv ↗PDF ↗
新论文 · v1arXiv:2610.36585

Recall or Relearn? A Mixture of In-Context Experts for Recurring Concept Drift

Zhangkai Wu, Xu Zhang, Zhihong Cui, Yiqi Wang, Yi Zhang

Tabular foundation models (TFMs) are being applied to Web data streams such as network intrusion detection, where they adapt by updating the labelled rows of their context without retraining. When a past concept returns after leaving the context, a TFM faces a recall-or-relearn decision between restoring stored rows of the concept and relearning it from new labels. We propose MICE (Mixture of In-Context Experts), a training-free learner that cuts the stream into segments at detected changes. It merges a closed segment into a stored context when the TFM's estimated additional error on the segment is within a tolerance, under a capacity limit on stored contexts. A fast level weights the stored contexts and first-in-first-out (FIFO) windows by the log-loss of their predictions on the last labelled batch. We show that, with pure stored contexts and a margin condition, this fast level gains over relearning, in expected accuracy, the normalised positive area between the stored context's accuracy and the TFM's learning curve, up to a first-batch term. A slow level mixes the fast level's prediction with that of the FIFO window of the last labelled rows and bounds the discounted half-Brier regret of MICE against this window at every time. Learning curves measured beforehand predict the ordering of the observed recall gains. MICE outperforms reset, which empties the context at detected drifts, on grid streams with random boundary phases. Merging keeps fewer experts than pools that store every segment, and with fixed segmentation a time-matched snapshot pool matches MICE on the shifted grid. On real streams, MICE has the highest mean accuracy of all policies we compare.

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cs.LG · cs.IR
arXiv ↗PDF ↗
新论文 · v1arXiv:2610.35721

Can JEV Support Clinical Trial Criteria Assessment?

Mengxian He, Ziyue Gao, Chun Li, Shunyi Zhang, Hao Wei, Minqing Zhang, Wu Yuan

Clinical trial prescreening requires distinguishing unmet conditions from insufficient evidence in patient records. Given patient records, criterion questions, and predefined answer options, we retrospectively compared JEV, a non-generative decision model returning native option probabilities, with schema-constrained Qwen Flash across 2,048 test patient-condition pairs from TrialGPT and question-answer datasets derived from MIMIC-III and MIMIC-IV, all evaluated under strict Zero Data Retention (ZDR) policies to ensure clinical data privacy. Both models assessed conditions individually or in batches sharing the same patient context, with performance measured against reference labels. In batch mode, JEV and Qwen achieved similar macro-F1 scores on TrialGPT (0.652 vs. 0.660) and MIMIC-IV (0.807 vs. 0.814), whereas JEV substantially outperformed Qwen on MIMIC-III (0.768 vs. 0.534; $Δ$ = +0.234, 95% CI: 0.187-0.281). This advantage largely reflected higher recall for conditions labeled as having insufficient information (56.3% vs. 9.9%). Across all three datasets, JEV also had lower observed median job latency (1.18-1.40 vs. 2.80-8.90 s) and 53%-74% lower estimated cost per condition. These findings position JEV as an initial assessment component that provides criterion-level judgments and flags potential information gaps for review. JEV's observed errors in interpreting clinical evidence underscore the need to verify its outputs against patient records before they inform eligibility decisions.

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cs.LG · cs.AI · cs.CL
arXiv ↗PDF ↗
新论文 · v1arXiv:2610.35355

OneEEG: A Unified Signal-Visual Multimodal Language Model with Task-Aware Mixture of Projectors for Multi-Task EEG Understanding

Jiacheng Zhang, Xueyi Zhang, Xin Lu, Siqi Cai, Haizhou Li

Electroencephalography (EEG) is widely used in clinical assessment, brain-computer interfaces, and cognitive-state analysis, yet EEG modeling remains fragmented across task paradigms. Recent multimodal large language models (MLLMs) provide a promising interface for flexible multimodal reasoning, but their ability to understand EEG inputs remains limited. In this work, we propose OneEEG, a unified EEG-MLLM framework for multi-task EEG understanding. By training on our curated OneEEG-Instruct, a multi-task EEG instruction-tuning dataset, OneEEG jointly models numerical EEG representations and visual EEG representations, and introduces a task-aware Mixture of Projectors (MoP) to align heterogeneous EEG features across different task families with the LLM embedding space. We further establish OneEEG-Bench, a benchmark for evaluating current MLLMs and our method on multi-task EEG understanding. Experiments show that existing MLLMs have limited ability to interpret EEG inputs, while OneEEG achieves stronger performance by integrating numerical and visual EEG representations with task-aware EEG-to-LLM projection. Extensive ablations and analyses further reveal the effects of visual EEG renderings, MoP variants, router behavior, and feature dispersion across EEG tasks.

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cs.LG
arXiv ↗PDF ↗