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arXiv 最近完成扫描:2026-11-15 05:41 · 全站最近入库:2026-11-14 15:09各信源进度 →

统计口径与数据新鲜度

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版本更新 · v3arXiv:2510.09133

PAC Reasoning: Controlling the Performance Loss for Efficient Reasoning

Hao Zeng, Jianguo Huang, Bingyi Jing, Hongxin Wei, Bo An

原文摘要

Large reasoning models (LRMs) have achieved remarkable progress in complex problem-solving tasks. Despite this success, LRMs typically suffer from high computational costs during deployment, highlighting a need for efficient inference. A practical direction is to switch the LRM between thinking and non-thinking modes dynamically. However, such approaches often introduce additional reasoning errors and lack statistical guarantees for the performance loss, which are critical for high-stakes applications. In this work, we propose Probably Approximately Correct (PAC) Reasoning that controls the performance loss under the user-specified tolerance. Specifically, we construct an upper confidence bound on the performance loss and determine a threshold for switching to the non-thinking model. Theoretically, using the threshold to switch between the thinking and non-thinking modes ensures bounded performance loss in a distribution-free manner. Our experiments on reasoning benchmarks show that the proposed method can save computational budgets and control the user-specified performance loss.

cs.AI · cs.LG · math.ST

新论文 · v1arXiv:2611.12014

Benchmarking language models and agents for scientific reasoning in evolving materials laboratories

Xuyu Dong, Yixuan Li, Jianguo Huang, Feng Chen, Yiyun Zhou, Bo An, Zheng Liu, Da Shu

原文摘要

Large language models and the multi-agent systems built around them could accelerate materials discovery by connecting scientific knowledge with experimental decisions. Existing benchmarks establish capabilities in domain knowledge, multimodal interpretation and scientific tool use. As language models increasingly support materials research workflows, their ability to distinguish closely related material states and reason accurately with quantitative evidence remains insufficiently evaluated. These abilities are essential for comparing material responses, assessing mechanisms and maintaining reliable judgements as experimental evidence accumulates. We introduce MatScope to evaluate three connected capabilities. M1 tests unaided, condition-specific reasoning through 200 tasks spanning ten research functions, using aluminium and high-entropy alloys as representative material systems. M2 tests agent-assisted transfer of related knowledge to unresolved materials questions. MatEvoBench-20 tests initial forecasts across scientific dependency chains and revisions of still-hidden responses as observations accumulate. Across eleven model deployments, including GPT-6 Astra and Claude Fable 5.1, given-input calculations and many physical explanations are handled well. Fine-grained response estimates, comparisons between similar states and quantitatively supported choices remain substantially weaker. Related literature improves selected estimates, while condition and baseline mismatches limit transfer. Progressive observations calibrate some downstream responses and destabilize earlier accurate predictions. MatScope establishes measurable targets for developing reliable scientific reasoning in future self-evolving materials laboratories and materials-aware world models.

cs.AI · cond-mat.mtrl-sci · cs.CE · cs.LG

新论文 · v1arXiv:2611.06151

CARM: Conformal Adaptive Risk Masking for Reliable Scientific Super-Resolution

Guangtao Zhang, Haonan Wu, Junxuan Gao, Zhengyang Liu, Zhaoxi Zeng, Zhihao Li, Jianguo Huang, Zhiqiang Liu

原文摘要

Deep learning-based super-resolution (SR) can reconstruct fine-scale Earth-observation fields from coarse observations, but reconstruction accuracy alone does not provide a calibrated rule for identifying reliable spatial regions. Conformal Mask Calibration (CMC), built on conformal risk control, converts a spatial uncertainty score into a trust mask and controls the expected worst-case local distortion under exchangeability. However, its fixed threshold can become miscalibrated in Earth-observation streams affected by seasonality and episodic events. We propose $\textit{CARM}$ (Conformal Adaptive Risk Masking), a statistical framework for adaptive spatial risk control under temporal distribution shift. CARM maintains experts with heterogeneous update rates and aggregates their threshold proposals online using an asymmetric surrogate loss, balancing rapid adaptation to distribution changes against stability during relatively stationary periods. All updates are causal and use only mature feedback available after a fixed delay, allowing CARM to operate with any SR model that provides a spatial uncertainty score. We prove that the time-averaged mask-conditioned risk converges to at most $α$ at an $O(1/T)$ rate, without distributional assumptions and for any choice of aggregation weights across experts. On a daily South China Sea chlorophyll-$\textit{a}$ SR stream, CARM reduces the empirical violation rate from $43.49\%$ to $9.38\%$ and the moving-average exceedance frequency from $47.29\%$ to $1.22\%$ at $α=0.10$, while retaining a non-trivial trusted region. Experiments on ERA5 wind and OSTIA sea-surface temperature further show consistent relative improvements across multiple SR backbones.

cs.AI · cs.LG · math.PR