Chenyang Yu, Zhaomin Xiao, Yan Huang, Eduardo Blanco
Gardening in the backyard implies living there, while checking into an Airbnb more likely means staying for a few days. Such duration judgments are important for understanding human mobility, travel behavior, and social context. However, duration is rarely stated explicitly in social media posts and must instead be inferred from noisy textual, visual, and contextual cues. In this paper, we investigate whether vision-language models possess such duration commonsense. We create a new corpus of geotagged tweets co-annotated by humans and LLMs to serve as a testbed for this task. We find that state-of-the-art models struggle with duration inference, even when guided by multi-turn Chain-of-Thought prompting. Error analyses further reveal that models often fail to integrate critical contextual information, or they overly rely on prominent visual details while overlooking subtle hashtags and semantic nuances. These findings underscore the significant challenges remaining in context-aware multimodal understanding.
Yuhang Dong, Min Xia, Jinghong Li, Yue Dai, Xinyue Wang, Shi Liang
Wind power forecasting models are often deployed as fixed temporal backbones, but the errors they make can vary across meteorological regimes such as cold waves, heat-and-calm periods, productive typhoon, and destructive storms. We present a guarded Agent-in-the-loop residual adaptation framework that leaves the temporal backbone unchanged and adapts only a small set of scene-conditioned residual experts. An Agent layer interprets external scene information, identifies the current regime, selects residual experts, and applies a correction only when recent observed errors support it. New experts enter the pool after they outperform their initializations on a validation set, keeping model growth under explicit control. Backbone-only and Agent-enhanced forecasts are compared at lead times of 4, 8, 12, 24, and 48 across nine time-series backbones. Across these runs, the guarded framework lowers both MAE and RMSE for all 45 backbone-horizon combinations, with average MAE reductions ranging from 11.21% to 20.26% across backbones. Online-selection baselines, component ablations, and routing analyses identify the roles of residual experts, scene-aware routing, and the online acceptance rule. Candidate-scene runs evaluate the promotion path under controlled conditions; long-term unattended deployment was not evaluated.