Muhammad Talha, Xiaofeng Liu, Yuan Yang, Pang-Ning Tan, A. Pouyan Nejadhashemi
Reliable streamflow prediction across time and in ungauged basins requires representations that capture hydrologically relevant basin characteristics. Existing methods rely on either fixed handcrafted attributes or general-purpose Earth observation embeddings not tailored to basin structure. We introduce \textbf{Basin2Vec}, a self-supervised framework that learns compact basin representations from hydroclimatic and physiographic data without observed streamflow. Basin2Vec organizes representation learning around basin scale and relationships across space and time. Across multiple forecasting architectures, it consistently outperforms predefined attributes and general-purpose geospatial embeddings in temporal generalization and zero-shot spatial transfer. Basin2Vec provides average relative gains of up to 8.3% temporally and achieves 3.5x the median predictive performance of the strongest baselines on unseen basins. These results demonstrate the effectiveness of basin-centric pretraining for transferable hydrologic prediction. Code is available at https://github.com/Muhammad-Talha-MT/basin2vec
Vision-language models (VLMs) ground a referring expression in one of two ways. They decode the box as coordinate tokens, which is precise but takes one sequential step per token, or they regress it from a hidden state with a small head, which takes one step but loses accuracy at high IoU. The two fail differently: a head usually finds the right object but places its edges loosely, while coordinate tokens place edges precisely. We therefore use the regression head as a speculative drafter for the model's own coordinate tokens. Locus writes the head's box as coordinate tokens and checks them with the same backbone by Jacobi iteration over a shared image prefix. The fixed point is the model's greedy coordinate-token answer, reached in about 5.60 sequential passes on average instead of 18.46 decoding steps; head and verifier are one set of weights, trained jointly. On the 8 RefCOCO, RefCOCO+ and RefCOCOg splits, verification raises Locus-2B's Acc@0.9 from 54.87 for its own head to 59.13, and the one-pass head is ahead at Acc@0.5 of every published model with at most 3B parameters except Florence-2-L. Against Jag, the strongest open regression-head model, at its own size and training budget, Locus ties at Acc@0.5 and, with typical acceptance, gains +4.52 points at Acc@0.9, with paired significance tests. Exact answers come 1.5x faster than vLLM greedy-decoding the same coordinate tokens with the same weights; a pure regression head remains faster still.