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版本更新 · v2arXiv:2606.32012

CoMet: Context and Multiplicity Decomposition for Multimodal Uncertainty Estimation

Sanghyuk Chun, William Yang, Amaya Dharmasiri, Olga Russakovsky

原文摘要

Uncertainty estimation has been a long-standing challenge in AI models; it amounts to "knowing what you don't know," and metacognition is notoriously difficult even for humans (cf. the Dunning-Kruger effect). Although it is still far from solved even in simpler classification systems, tackling it in multimodal large language models (MLLMs) is becoming increasingly important. Within MLLMs, uncertainty can stem from any of the diverse sources as well as from their relationships, and further can stem from the unbounded answers in the open-ended setting. To tackle the issues, we propose CoMet, an MLLM uncertainty estimation method by decomposing uncertainty into a context-specific term and a multiplicity-specific term. The former captures ambiguity induced by the given context (e.g., task or prompt), while the latter captures how many plausible answers determined by the context remain compatible with the given input. We train a lightweight post-hoc uncertainty module to estimate these quantities, which enables efficient uncertainty estimation without autoregressive answer generation or repeated sampling. Experiments on various open-ended multimodal benchmarks, hallucination detection, and multiple-choice visual question answering benchmarks show that CoMet consistently improves uncertainty estimation over existing baselines while remaining efficient in practice. Code is available at https://github.com/princetonvisualai/comet_uncertainty

cs.LG · cs.CV

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arXiv ↗PDF ↗
新论文 · v1arXiv:2611.10501

Sampling Is Not Curiosity: Why LLM Agents Should Investigate

Alfonso Amayuelas, Piotr Piękos, Xin Eric Wang, William Yang Wang, Jürgen Schmidhuber, Alex Pentland

原文摘要

LLM agents are increasingly used for open-ended tasks, very common in research scenarios where they are required to explore, investigate, or act curiously. At inference time, an LLM is a fixed map from context to next-token distribution, the pretrained weights determine the function, and only its conditioning changes as context accumulates. Mechanisms like temperature, best-of-N, tree search, or RAG vary how the distribution is sampled or what it is conditioned on, but do not update the agent's model of the environment. We argue that current LLM agents do not explore curiously; they explore stochastically. From how curiosity is understood in the RL literature, it requires a predictive structure over how the environment responds to the agent's actions, which improves online from current interaction, drives action selection through its predicted improvement, and persists beyond the context window. Additionally, in its open-ended form, the agent should intrinsically originate what to investigate. Thus, we propose a framework defining curiosity in LLM agents, reserving the term for systems that satisfy it. In doing so, we identify the research directions its implementation opens up.

cs.AI

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arXiv ↗PDF ↗
版本更新 · v2arXiv:2610.27041

Robustness of Internal Signals for Hallucination Detection in Vision-Language Models

Allison Chen, William Yang, Salma Abdel Magid, Jonathan Williams, Olga Russakovsky, Esin Tureci

原文摘要

When given an image and a text prompt, vision-language models (VLMs) can produce seemingly sophisticated text responses. However, they are also prone to hallucinate objects in their output, which can have detrimental consequences in safety-critical applications. To detect these hallucinations, certain methods interestingly leverage internal signals from the VLM as it generates the text response; potentially, these methods use the same signals that led to a hallucination to detect it. We conduct an in-depth analysis to understand the robustness of these detection methods. First, we show that a naive baseline of a generated word's token position in the VLM text response achieves competitive performance. Further, we reveal how some detection methods rely on token position and use this heuristic as a shortcut. Second, we explore detection methods' sensitivity to language and vision modalities. Our experiments suggest that strong detection performance is often driven by detecting language-based hallucinations, and when methods rely on token position, they tend to be less visually grounded and exhibit reduced robustness when hallucinations occur earlier in a text response. Lastly, we demonstrate that different detection methods can carry complementary signals; when ensembling methods together, adding weaker methods to an ensemble of higher performing ones still offers performance improvements. Altogether, while there may be useful internal VLM signals to detect hallucinations, our investigation reveals important limitations of the current methods that try to leverage them.

cs.CV · cs.AI

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arXiv ↗PDF ↗
首次观测 · 记录 #1ACL Anthology · ACL 2026:acl:2026.acl-long.975ACL Anthology · ACL 2026

LEDOM: Reverse Language Model

Xunjian Yin Duke University, Sitao Cheng, Yuxi Xie, Xinyu Hu, Li Lin, Xinyi Wang Princeton University, Liangming Pan Peking University, William Yang Wang 等 9 位作者

原文摘要

Autoregressive language models are trained exclusively left-to-right. We explore the complementary factorization, training right-to-left at scale, and ask what reasoning patterns emerge when a model conditions on future context to predict the past.We train LEDOM, an open-source purely reverse autoregressive language model (2B/7B parameters, 435B tokens), and find it develops capabilities distinct from forward models, including abductive inference, question synthesis, and structural handling of the reversal curse.We then explore one application of the reverse model: combining forward likelihood P(y \mid x) with reverse posterior P(x \mid y) through noisy channel duality. We propose Reverse Reward, which reranks forward outputs using reverse posterior estimates, and prove that bidirectional scoring penalizes hallucinated reasoning chains whose backward reconstruction degrades.Reverse Reward yields gains of up to 6.6% on AIME 2024 and 15% on AMC 2023 across multiple strong baselines. We release all codes at https://github.com/Arvid-pku/LEDOM.

cs.CL

Proceedings of the 64th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (Volume 1: Long Papers) · 2026 · 正式发表