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arXiv:2602.15012 · v2

Cold-Start Personalization via Bayesian Adaptive Questioning

首次提交 2026-02-17 02:52
版本更新 2026-11-10 11:29
雷达观测 2026-11-11 11:04
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摘要

Cold-start personalization requires inferring preferences from minimal interaction when no user-specific historical data is available. The space of possible preferences is vast, yet users care about only a sparse subset and rarely articulate them upfront; combined with limited interaction budgets, this makes preference elicitation challenging. Our key insight is that preferences exhibit predictable structure across populations; e.g., users who want detailed explanations often also value worked examples. We propose CAPE (Cold-start Adaptive Preference Elicitation), which learns a structured world model of preference correlations offline from complete profiles, then performs training-free Bayesian inference online to select informative questions and predict complete preference profiles, including dimensions never asked about. Even simple belief model instantiations (e.g., linear regression) substantially outperform end-to-end RL. Across medical, mathematical, social, and commonsense reasoning, CAPE achieves 80.8% alignment with ground-truth user preferences versus 68.5% for RL, requires 2.5x to over 15x fewer interactions, and adapts its questions twice as often as RL. Our contribution is a principled decomposition of cold-start personalization that makes Bayesian preference elicitation practical at scale for LLM systems.

作者备注:26 pages, 4 figures, 10 tables

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v2 · 2026-11-10 11:29 · 最新观测版本

Cold-Start Personalization via Bayesian Adaptive Questioning

Cold-start personalization requires inferring preferences from minimal interaction when no user-specific historical data is available. The space of possible preferences is vast, yet users care about only a sparse subset and rarely articulate them upfront; combined with limited interaction budgets, this makes preference elicitation challenging. Our key insight is that preferences exhibit predictable structure across populations; e.g., users who want detailed explanations often also value worked examples. We propose CAPE (Cold-start Adaptive Preference Elicitation), which learns a structured world model of preference correlations offline from complete profiles, then performs training-free Bayesian inference online to select informative questions and predict complete preference profiles, including dimensions never asked about. Even simple belief model instantiations (e.g., linear regression) substantially outperform end-to-end RL. Across medical, mathematical, social, and commonsense reasoning, CAPE achieves 80.8% alignment with ground-truth user preferences versus 68.5% for RL, requires 2.5x to over 15x fewer interactions, and adapts its questions twice as often as RL. Our contribution is a principled decomposition of cold-start personalization that makes Bayesian preference elicitation practical at scale for LLM systems.

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