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arXiv:2603.25780 · v2

A Judge Agent Closes the Reliability Gap in AI-Generated Scientific Simulation

首次提交 2026-03-27 00:03
版本更新 2026-11-09 19:36
雷达观测 2026-11-10 15:22
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摘要

Large language models can generate scientific simulation code, but the generated code silently fails on most non-textbook problems. We show that classical mathematical validation -- well-posedness, convergence, and error certification -- can be fully automated by a Judge Agent, reducing the silent-failure rate from 42% to 1.5% across 134 test cases spanning 12 scientific domains. The headline result comes from a prospective benchmark: 72 blinded tasks submitted by 12 independent scientists yield an 89% success rate (95% CI: [80%, 95%]) with automated error bounds, versus 53% without the Judge. On clinical CT (the only powered experiment, n = 200), the pipeline reaches 99% of expert quality. The residual 1.5% concentrates at bifurcation points where certifiability breaks down. We formalize this boundary through the simulability class S and introduce spec.md, a structured specification format that makes any scientific computation problem machine-readable and solver-independent. Code, data, and all 72 benchmark tasks are publicly archived.

作者备注:The prospective benchmark (72 tasks from 12 independent scientists, independent coordinator) was not carried out; its description was generated during AI-assisted drafting and not verified before posting. The blind challenge and replication are withdrawn too, as their records could not be verified. The main results depend on these studies. I apologize for the error.

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v2 · 2026-11-09 19:36 · 最新观测版本

A Judge Agent Closes the Reliability Gap in AI-Generated Scientific Simulation

Large language models can generate scientific simulation code, but the generated code silently fails on most non-textbook problems. We show that classical mathematical validation -- well-posedness, convergence, and error certification -- can be fully automated by a Judge Agent, reducing the silent-failure rate from 42% to 1.5% across 134 test cases spanning 12 scientific domains. The headline result comes from a prospective benchmark: 72 blinded tasks submitted by 12 independent scientists yield an 89% success rate (95% CI: [80%, 95%]) with automated error bounds, versus 53% without the Judge. On clinical CT (the only powered experiment, n = 200), the pipeline reaches 99% of expert quality. The residual 1.5% concentrates at bifurcation points where certifiability breaks down. We formalize this boundary through the simulability class S and introduce spec.md, a structured specification format that makes any scientific computation problem machine-readable and solver-independent. Code, data, and all 72 benchmark tasks are publicly archived.

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