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arXiv:2607.05721 · v3

SpanUQ: Span-Level Uncertainty Quantification for Large Language Model Generation

首次提交 2026-07-07 09:09
版本更新 2026-11-04 15:01
雷达观测 2026-11-05 11:10
arXiv ↗PDF ↗

摘要

Uncertainty estimation is essential for the trustworthy deployment of LLMs: it underpins self-refinement and serves as a decision signal for downstream systems, from verifiers to collaborating agents. However, existing approaches operate at suboptimal granularities: token-level scores lack semantic coherence, while sequence-level scores fail to localize errors. We formalize Span-Level Uncertainty Estimation (SLUE), a new task that targets the natural granularity for uncertainty: semantically coherent text spans, each conveying a single assessable unit of meaning. To address this task, we introduce SPANUQ, a lightweight probe that distills the uncertainty knowledge from expensive multi-sample inference into a single forward pass over LLM hidden states. SPANUQ employs a DETR-style span decoder to simultaneously detect spans and estimate their uncertainty via a Mixture of Beta distribution, trained with a principled combination of Beta NLL regression and contrastive ranking objectives. We construct SPANUQ-BENCH, the first span-level uncertainty benchmark comprising 20K prompts, 293K annotated spans, and continuous soft labels derived from multi-sample claim verification. Experiments on five LLM backbones show that SPANUQ consistently achieves the best span-level uncertainty quality , outperforming the strongest probe baseline and all sampling-based methods while being 10~20x faster. Its DETR-based span detector attains 0.910 F1, surpassing the best heuristic by 39.4%, enabling precise error localization that sequence-level methods cannot provide. The same architecture ports to five LLMs spanning two model families, with one probe trained per backbone, and we additionally observe that sequence-level uncertainty is partially decomposable, suggesting that span-level estimation subsumes sequence-level as a special case. The project page is available damon-demon.github.io/SpanUQ.

作者备注:Accepted by NeurIPS 2026. The project page is available at https://damon-demon.github.io/SpanUQ.html

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v3 · 2026-11-04 15:01 · 最新观测版本

SpanUQ: Span-Level Uncertainty Quantification for Large Language Model Generation

Uncertainty estimation is essential for the trustworthy deployment of LLMs: it underpins self-refinement and serves as a decision signal for downstream systems, from verifiers to collaborating agents. However, existing approaches operate at suboptimal granularities: token-level scores lack semantic coherence, while sequence-level scores fail to localize errors. We formalize Span-Level Uncertainty Estimation (SLUE), a new task that targets the natural granularity for uncertainty: semantically coherent text spans, each conveying a single assessable unit of meaning. To address this task, we introduce SPANUQ, a lightweight probe that distills the uncertainty knowledge from expensive multi-sample inference into a single forward pass over LLM hidden states. SPANUQ employs a DETR-style span decoder to simultaneously detect spans and estimate their uncertainty via a Mixture of Beta distribution, trained with a principled combination of Beta NLL regression and contrastive ranking objectives. We construct SPANUQ-BENCH, the first span-level uncertainty benchmark comprising 20K prompts, 293K annotated spans, and continuous soft labels derived from multi-sample claim verification. Experiments on five LLM backbones show that SPANUQ consistently achieves the best span-level uncertainty quality , outperforming the strongest probe baseline and all sampling-based methods while being 10~20x faster. Its DETR-based span detector attains 0.910 F1, surpassing the best heuristic by 39.4%, enabling precise error localization that sequence-level methods cannot provide. The same architecture ports to five LLMs spanning two model families, with one probe trained per backbone, and we additionally observe that sequence-level uncertainty is partially decomposable, suggesting that span-level estimation subsumes sequence-level as a special case. The project page is available damon-demon.github.io/SpanUQ.

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