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arXiv:2609.35036 · v2

Persona Following Is Not Selective Control: The Neutrality Gap in LLM User Simulation

首次提交 2026-09-28 20:34
版本更新 2026-11-12 13:17
雷达观测 2026-11-13 14:16
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摘要

Persona prompting is widely used in LLM user simulation, yet it relies on an untested assumption: specifying a target user attribute should shift target behavior while leaving other fixed attributes unchanged. Across eight black-box and five open-weight models, however, changing a target attribute alone also shifts unspecified non-target choices, such as risk preference shifting color choice. We test whether explicitly specifying non-target attributes restores selective control across 477 held-out synthetic worlds and 200 independent items under unspecified, directional, and neutral states. Assigning a clear non-target direction nearly eliminates cross-attribute shifts. Explicitly declaring no preference, however, still leaves 37.7%-76.3% of held-out worlds and 51%-81% of independent non-target items shifting with the target attribute while preserving target efficacy. We call this disparity the neutrality gap. Because directional tests can be passed simply by following a stated preference, the neutral state reveals selective-control failures they miss: following a stated persona does not imply keeping unrelated choices invariant. In simulated investment decisions, incidental brochure color labels shift estimated target risk treatment effects by 25.5 percentage points, even when models accurately report having no color preference. Counterfactual attention interventions show that unwanted influence enters primarily at query time, when option evaluation reads the target persona directly. Blocking query-time attention cuts non-target drift by 72.1%-87.8%, whereas directional declarations suppress drift primarily by overwriting option values rather than rerouting attention. Because target and non-target choices share query-time access, blocking it weakens target efficacy while value overwrite imposes an artificial direction, leaving task-dependent selective access as a central challenge.

作者备注:61 pages, 9 figures

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v2 · 2026-11-12 13:17 · 最新观测版本

Persona Following Is Not Selective Control: The Neutrality Gap in LLM User Simulation

Persona prompting is widely used in LLM user simulation, yet it relies on an untested assumption: specifying a target user attribute should shift target behavior while leaving other fixed attributes unchanged. Across eight black-box and five open-weight models, however, changing a target attribute alone also shifts unspecified non-target choices, such as risk preference shifting color choice. We test whether explicitly specifying non-target attributes restores selective control across 477 held-out synthetic worlds and 200 independent items under unspecified, directional, and neutral states. Assigning a clear non-target direction nearly eliminates cross-attribute shifts. Explicitly declaring no preference, however, still leaves 37.7%-76.3% of held-out worlds and 51%-81% of independent non-target items shifting with the target attribute while preserving target efficacy. We call this disparity the neutrality gap. Because directional tests can be passed simply by following a stated preference, the neutral state reveals selective-control failures they miss: following a stated persona does not imply keeping unrelated choices invariant. In simulated investment decisions, incidental brochure color labels shift estimated target risk treatment effects by 25.5 percentage points, even when models accurately report having no color preference. Counterfactual attention interventions show that unwanted influence enters primarily at query time, when option evaluation reads the target persona directly. Blocking query-time attention cuts non-target drift by 72.1%-87.8%, whereas directional declarations suppress drift primarily by overwriting option values rather than rerouting attention. Because target and non-target choices share query-time access, blocking it weakens target efficacy while value overwrite imposes an artificial direction, leaving task-dependent selective access as a central challenge.

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