← 研踪 PaperTrailarXiv:2610.35128 · v2
STeP-TS: Shared Temporal Filters with Pruning for Time Series
首次提交 2026-10-26 18:02
版本更新 2026-10-28 00:00
雷达观测 2026-10-29 00:34
摘要
Multivariate time series forecasting requires capturing temporal dependencies across multiple scales while accounting for both shared and variable-specific dynamics. Compact forecasting models have emerged as an attractive alternative to increasingly large architectures, but preserving strong predictive performance within tight computational and memory budgets remains challenging. We propose a compact one-layer convolutional framework that learns a shared bank of multi-scale temporal filters of each variable. Lightweight variable-specific scalar weights determine the contribution of each temporal component, enabling the model to capture shared temporal structure while adapting to variable-specific dynamics. The learned weights and filter-output energy further provide a natural signal for structured pruning of convolutional filters, reducing computational complexity with minimal degradation in forecasting performance. We additionally introduce an amplitude-adaptive normalization mechanism that preserves variable-dependent temporal amplitudes. Experiments on multiple datasets demonstrate forecasting performance competitive with state-of-the-art methods while requiring substantially fewer parameters and inference FLOPs and achieving low per-sample latency.
作者备注：Accepted at the Workshop TS-LIMITS at NeurIPS 2026
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v2 · 2026-10-28 00:00 · 最新观测版本
STeP-TS: Shared Temporal Filters with Pruning for Time Series
Multivariate time series forecasting requires capturing temporal dependencies across multiple scales while accounting for both shared and variable-specific dynamics. Compact forecasting models have emerged as an attractive alternative to increasingly large architectures, but preserving strong predictive performance within tight computational and memory budgets remains challenging. We propose a compact one-layer convolutional framework that learns a shared bank of multi-scale temporal filters of each variable. Lightweight variable-specific scalar weights determine the contribution of each temporal component, enabling the model to capture shared temporal structure while adapting to variable-specific dynamics. The learned weights and filter-output energy further provide a natural signal for structured pruning of convolutional filters, reducing computational complexity with minimal degradation in forecasting performance. We additionally introduce an amplitude-adaptive normalization mechanism that preserves variable-dependent temporal amplitudes. Experiments on multiple datasets demonstrate forecasting performance competitive with state-of-the-art methods while requiring substantially fewer parameters and inference FLOPs and achieving low per-sample latency.
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