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arXiv:2610.36393 · v1

SpecLST: Spectral-Enhanced Long-Short Term Spatio-Temporal Multimodal Modeling for Traffic Forecasting

首次提交 2026-10-27 07:18
版本更新 2026-10-27 07:18
雷达观测 2026-10-29 00:35
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摘要

Modeling multi-scale dynamics in urban road networks is essential for intelligent transportation systems but is often hindered by the computational cost of long-range historical context and the challenge of fusing heterogeneous modalities. Existing spatio-temporal frameworks face a trade-off between sequence length and memory overhead, while frequently neglecting the transient effects of exogenous factors such as road incidents and weather. To address these limitations, we propose SpecLST, a frequency-enhanced long-short-term spatio-temporal multimodal framework. SpecLST leverages a fast Fourier transform-based frequency-domain representation module to efficiently encode multi-week historical dependencies, bypassing the memory bottlenecks of standard attention mechanisms over raw long sequences. Heterogeneous context is integrated through attention-based fusion, followed by a sparse Mixture-of-Experts backbone with graph augmentation for spatio-temporal representation learning. Additionally, a frequency-enhanced residual head isolates high-frequency transients, improving sensitivity to abrupt traffic anomalies. At the 60-minute horizon, SpecLST achieves mean relative error reductions of 14.10% in MAE, 10.35% in RMSE, and 15.78% in MAPE across eight neural forecasting baselines and four datasets, with the dataset- and metric-specific average reductions ranging from 5.63% to 22.21%.

作者备注:12 pages, 2 figures, 5 tables

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v1 · 2026-10-27 07:18 · 最新观测版本

SpecLST: Spectral-Enhanced Long-Short Term Spatio-Temporal Multimodal Modeling for Traffic Forecasting

Modeling multi-scale dynamics in urban road networks is essential for intelligent transportation systems but is often hindered by the computational cost of long-range historical context and the challenge of fusing heterogeneous modalities. Existing spatio-temporal frameworks face a trade-off between sequence length and memory overhead, while frequently neglecting the transient effects of exogenous factors such as road incidents and weather. To address these limitations, we propose SpecLST, a frequency-enhanced long-short-term spatio-temporal multimodal framework. SpecLST leverages a fast Fourier transform-based frequency-domain representation module to efficiently encode multi-week historical dependencies, bypassing the memory bottlenecks of standard attention mechanisms over raw long sequences. Heterogeneous context is integrated through attention-based fusion, followed by a sparse Mixture-of-Experts backbone with graph augmentation for spatio-temporal representation learning. Additionally, a frequency-enhanced residual head isolates high-frequency transients, improving sensitivity to abrupt traffic anomalies. At the 60-minute horizon, SpecLST achieves mean relative error reductions of 14.10% in MAE, 10.35% in RMSE, and 15.78% in MAPE across eight neural forecasting baselines and four datasets, with the dataset- and metric-specific average reductions ranging from 5.63% to 22.21%.

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