arXiv:2611.11633 · v1

An Interpretable Fuzzy Tree for Turbofan Remaining Useful Life with an Auditable Per-Component Diagnostic Layer

首次提交 2026-11-09 05:31

版本更新 2026-11-09 05:31

雷达观测 2026-11-10 13:19

摘要

Data-driven remaining useful life (RUL) estimators for turbofan engines are accurate but opaque, and their internal features typically encode remaining life rather than any specific component's state. This paper presents an interpretable genetic fuzzy tree that predicts RUL from cruise-condition sensor means on N-CMAPSS while exposing a per-component diagnostic layer inspectable rule by rule. The tree follows the engine hierarchy: sensors to component health, then to bounded component damage, spool damage, and RUL, so each level answers a different maintenance question. Training is staged so the prognostic objective cannot reshape the diagnostic layers: health leaves are fitted to physical targets and frozen, a deterministic fuzzy damage map with fleet-referenced thresholds is imposed on each component, and only the aggregation is optimized for RUL. It consumes 13 cruise-mean scalars per cycle rather than a trajectory, which removes any sequence model. On the native split it reaches 8.44 cycles RMSE on the multi-fault subset and 11.51 across all modes with 333 free parameters, 411 total rules, 32 to 12,000 times fewer than compiled baselines. An exhaustive sensor search bounds which components are diagnosable under the tested cruise-mean design, and the rule base is structured to admit formal verification, which this study does not discharge.

作者备注：16 pages, 3 figures, 3tables and 6 equations