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arXiv:2611.14374 · v1

Uncertainty-Aware Hybrid Offline Reinforcement Learning with Online Action Selection Enabled by Sparse Gaussian-Process Critics

不确定性感知的混合离线强化学习:基于稀疏高斯过程评论家的在线动作选择

首次提交 2026-11-11 01:30
版本更新 2026-11-11 01:30
雷达观测 2026-11-11 13:07
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摘要

Start-ups and grade changes remain largely operator-driven, while developing and maintaining dynamic models for model-based control requires substantial engineering effort. Hybrid Offline Learning and Online Optimisation (HOFLON) uses one-step offline reinforcement learning to select actions from historical transition data. In its original implementation, the online objective combines the predicted return from a tree-ensemble critic with an adversarial-autoencoder (AAE) penalty for unfamiliar state-action pairs. We examine the effect of this penalty and replace the critic and AAE with a sparse variational Gaussian-process (sGP) critic. Actions maximise μ−κσμ- κσ, an uncertainty-adjusted estimate of the return from one action followed by the historical operating practice. On the HOFLON polymerisation-reactor benchmark, removing the AAE from HOFLON led to 4 failed start-ups in 15 runs over five critics. At its published weight, the variation in the AAE penalty is four orders of magnitude smaller than the variation in the tree-ensemble critic. Nevertheless, it changes actions when the predicted returns of competing candidates are nearly equal, and paired runs with and without the penalty diverged from the first move. With a Matérn-5/2 sGP critic, κ=0κ= 0 led to failure in 13 of 15 runs, whereas with κ=3κ= 3 none of 15 runs (five critics, three noise realisations) failed. The median and lowest returns were 13,464 and 13,398 (HOFLON: 13,393 and 12,411). A squared-exponential sGP critic with learned inducing inputs needed κ≥3κ\geq 3 to remain within the empirical data support in steady state, and then settled with a temperature offset of 2.0 K.

作者备注:8 pages, 5 figures, 1 table. Submitted to the 2027 European Control Conference (ECC 2027)

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基于摘要 · 非全文审阅

该研究用稀疏变分高斯过程评论家替代HOFLON中的树集成评论家与对抗自编码器惩罚,在聚合反应器基准上考察不确定性调整动作选择的效果。

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v1 · 2026-11-11 01:30 · 最新观测版本

Uncertainty-Aware Hybrid Offline Reinforcement Learning with Online Action Selection Enabled by Sparse Gaussian-Process Critics

Start-ups and grade changes remain largely operator-driven, while developing and maintaining dynamic models for model-based control requires substantial engineering effort. Hybrid Offline Learning and Online Optimisation (HOFLON) uses one-step offline reinforcement learning to select actions from historical transition data. In its original implementation, the online objective combines the predicted return from a tree-ensemble critic with an adversarial-autoencoder (AAE) penalty for unfamiliar state-action pairs. We examine the effect of this penalty and replace the critic and AAE with a sparse variational Gaussian-process (sGP) critic. Actions maximise μ−κσμ- κσ, an uncertainty-adjusted estimate of the return from one action followed by the historical operating practice. On the HOFLON polymerisation-reactor benchmark, removing the AAE from HOFLON led to 4 failed start-ups in 15 runs over five critics. At its published weight, the variation in the AAE penalty is four orders of magnitude smaller than the variation in the tree-ensemble critic. Nevertheless, it changes actions when the predicted returns of competing candidates are nearly equal, and paired runs with and without the penalty diverged from the first move. With a Matérn-5/2 sGP critic, κ=0κ= 0 led to failure in 13 of 15 runs, whereas with κ=3κ= 3 none of 15 runs (five critics, three noise realisations) failed. The median and lowest returns were 13,464 and 13,398 (HOFLON: 13,393 and 12,411). A squared-exponential sGP critic with learned inducing inputs needed κ≥3κ\geq 3 to remain within the empirical data support in steady state, and then settled with a temperature offset of 2.0 K.

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