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arXiv:2611.16322 · v1

Climate Temporal Temperature Prediction via an Adaptive Stacked Bidirectional Residual Mamba Network

首次提交 2026-11-12 13:44
版本更新 2026-11-12 13:44
雷达观测 2026-11-13 14:16
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摘要

Accurate temperatures forecasting relies on traditional meteorological parameters that are essential for monitoring weather informatics and guiding forecasting efforts. This study presents Deep DualMamba, a novel deep learning framework for temporal temperature prediction, built upon an enhanced variant of the recently proposed Mamba network. Unlike conventional Transformer-based architectures, which dominate foundation models but suffer from computational inefficiencies on long sequences, Deep DualMamba leverages selective structured state space models (SSMs) to achieve both scalability and performance. We identify a core limitation of prior subquadratic-time models-namely, their inability to perform long-term and robust forecasting and introduce two key innovations. First, we propose an adaptive bidirectional Mamba as encoders to learn complex and efficient features. Second, we develop a hardware-aware, parallel recurrent algorithm to compensate for the loss of convolutional efficiency, ensuring practical viability at scale. Last, the Deep DualMamba's approximation ability and convergence is theoretical analyzed. These design choices culminate in a simplified, attention- and MLP-free neural architecture that exhibits linear complexity with sequence length and significantly improved inference throughput. To demonstrate its applicability in climate informatics, we implement a full forecasting pipeline using historical meteorological data from UK monitoring stations.

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v1 · 2026-11-12 13:44 · 最新观测版本

Climate Temporal Temperature Prediction via an Adaptive Stacked Bidirectional Residual Mamba Network

Accurate temperatures forecasting relies on traditional meteorological parameters that are essential for monitoring weather informatics and guiding forecasting efforts. This study presents Deep DualMamba, a novel deep learning framework for temporal temperature prediction, built upon an enhanced variant of the recently proposed Mamba network. Unlike conventional Transformer-based architectures, which dominate foundation models but suffer from computational inefficiencies on long sequences, Deep DualMamba leverages selective structured state space models (SSMs) to achieve both scalability and performance. We identify a core limitation of prior subquadratic-time models-namely, their inability to perform long-term and robust forecasting and introduce two key innovations. First, we propose an adaptive bidirectional Mamba as encoders to learn complex and efficient features. Second, we develop a hardware-aware, parallel recurrent algorithm to compensate for the loss of convolutional efficiency, ensuring practical viability at scale. Last, the Deep DualMamba's approximation ability and convergence is theoretical analyzed. These design choices culminate in a simplified, attention- and MLP-free neural architecture that exhibits linear complexity with sequence length and significantly improved inference throughput. To demonstrate its applicability in climate informatics, we implement a full forecasting pipeline using historical meteorological data from UK monitoring stations.

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