← 研踪 PaperTrailACL Anthology · ACL 2026:acl:2026.acl-short.16 · 记录 #1
Anchoring Depends on Confidence and Post-Training in Language Models
来源日期（仅到月份） 2026-07
来源记录日期 2026-07
雷达观测 2026-11-01 21:44
摘要
Anchoring bias causes large language models (LLMs) to shift quantitative judgments in response to irrelevant numerical primes. We analyze this bias as a function of model confidence and accuracy in base, instruction-tuned, and distilled variants of Llama and Qwen models. We find that anchoring susceptibility is negatively correlated with model confidence without regard to accuracy: confidently incorrect models resist anchoring as effectively as accurate ones, provided their internal priors are sufficiently strong. We further show that post-training impacts the strength of this relationship, and that models are more susceptible to high anchors than to low anchors. Our findings suggest anchoring resistance is a structural property of distributional concentration (certainty) rather than knowledge correctness (factual accuracy), with implications for deploying LLMs in numerical reasoning tasks.
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记录 #1 · 2026-07 · 最新观测版本
Anchoring Depends on Confidence and Post-Training in Language Models
Anchoring bias causes large language models (LLMs) to shift quantitative judgments in response to irrelevant numerical primes. We analyze this bias as a function of model confidence and accuracy in base, instruction-tuned, and distilled variants of Llama and Qwen models. We find that anchoring susceptibility is negatively correlated with model confidence without regard to accuracy: confidently incorrect models resist anchoring as effectively as accurate ones, provided their internal priors are sufficiently strong. We further show that post-training impacts the strength of this relationship, and that models are more susceptible to high anchors than to low anchors. Our findings suggest anchoring resistance is a structural property of distributional concentration (certainty) rather than knowledge correctness (factual accuracy), with implications for deploying LLMs in numerical reasoning tasks.
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