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新论文 · v1arXiv:2610.40350

别丢失线索:赋予长程LLM智能体认知资源自我分配能力

Don't Lose the Thread: Empowering Long-Horizon LLM Agents with Cognitive Resource Self-Allocation

Zheng Zhu, Xiaozhuan Liang, Xi Chen, Bei Yu, Jiaya Jia

AI 速读 基于摘要

提出CORAL推理范式,让LLM智能体通过可调用的工作记忆管理工具主动检查点化任务进度并重置杂乱上下文,以缓解长程任务中的认知过载。

cs.CL

查看原文摘要

Agents powered by large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated remarkable progress in solving complex reasoning tasks. However, LLM agents often falter on long-horizon tasks due to cognitive overload, as their working memory becomes cluttered with expanding and irrelevant information, which dilutes their attention and hinders effective planning and reasoning. To mitigate this challenge, we introduce Cognitive Resource Self-Allocation (CORAL), a novel reasoning paradigm that empowers agents to proactively optimize their context. Implemented as an agent-callable working memory management toolset, CORAL allows an agent to checkpoint its task progress and verified facts, and adaptively initiate a new problem-solving episode by resetting cluttered context while preserving only the checkpointed information, enabling it to resume reasoning from a clean state. We further enhance the agent's checkpointing capabilities using a Multi-episode Agentic Reinforced Policy Optimization algorithm. On the GAIA benchmark, CORAL with an 8B model achieves 42.8% average accuracy, with particularly strong gains on the most challenging long-horizon tasks (Level 2 and Level 3). Crucially, these gains come at a substantially lower inference cost: CORAL consumes 6-7$\times$ fewer input tokens than a ReAct agent. It also generalizes to multi-hop Knowledge QA benchmarks and to the considerably harder BrowseComp, where it improves a strong proprietary agent by 8.0 points.

新论文 · v1arXiv:2610.40349

TouchBridge:面向灵巧操作、以触觉为条件的人到机器人迁移

TouchBridge: Tactile-Conditioned Human-to-Robot Transfer for Dexterous Manipulation

Haozhe Zhang, Gu Zhang, Zirui Zou, Yuzheng Chen, Jinlong Wu, Zixuan Hu, Jianke Zhang, Yucheng Hu 等 10 位作者

AI 速读 基于摘要

TouchBridge 通过软硬件协同设计与触觉条件重定向,把人类演示直接转换为机器人训练数据,用于微调 VLA 模型完成接触丰富操作。

cs.RO

查看原文摘要

Human demonstrations offer an efficient and scalable source of data for dexterous robot manipulation, but differences in sensing and hand morphology complicate the transfer of contact-rich interactions. We present TouchBridge, a hardware--software co-designed framework for human-to-robot data transformation. A wearable human demonstration interface and a corresponding robot interface establish cross-embodiment correspondence in visual and fingertip tactile sensing. We introduce Tac-Retarget, a tactile-conditioned retargeting method that uses measured contact to align fingertip contact patches and preserve their spatial relations within and across hands. Unlike object-aware or simulation-based transfer pipelines, Tac-Retarget requires no object mesh, object-pose estimate, or physics simulation for retargeting, enabling direct and scalable conversion of human demonstrations into robot-domain training data. Combined with visual synthesis and camera-anchored action conversion, TouchBridge produces robot-domain demonstrations for fine-tuning a pretrained vision-language-action (VLA) model. Across four real-world contact-rich tasks, policies fine-tuned solely on TouchBridge-converted human demonstrations achieve a 72.5% average success rate, compared with 77.5% using an equal number of teleoperated robot demonstrations, while human demonstration collection is 7.0x faster. Under the same policy and training setup, Tac-Retarget outperforms DexPilot and UniDex by 25.0 and 42.5 percentage points, respectively.

新论文 · v1arXiv:2610.40345

统一的Hessian引导后训练量化框架

A Unified Hessian-Guided Framework for Post-Training Quantization

Mads Toftrup, Marco Federici, Boris van Breugel, Paul Whatmough, Markus Nagel

AI 速读 基于摘要

提出一个基于Hessian引导输出敏感度近似的统一后训练量化框架,联合优化量化范围、线性变换与权重量化取整。

cs.LG · cs.AI

查看原文摘要

Low-bit quantization enables efficient deployment of large language models by reducing memory footprint and computational cost. Achieving high accuracy at low precision requires selecting quantization ranges, linear transformations, and weight rounding decisions. Existing approaches typically optimize these components independently using local reconstruction objectives, which fail to account for the varying impact of quantization errors on downstream predictions. Direct optimization of task-level metrics would provide a more faithful objective, but is challenging due to the discontinuous nature of quantization operations and the high computational cost of evaluating their downstream effects. In this work, we derive a Hessian-guided approximation of the output change induced by joint weight and activation quantization. Based on a tractable Fisher approximation, we formulate a unified post-training quantization framework that enables the joint optimization of quantization ranges, linear transformations, and weight rounding under a common output-sensitivity objective. The resulting method remains practical for modern large language models and consistently outperforms state-of-the-art transformation and rounding methods across both channel-wise and block-wise quantization settings.

版本更新 · v2arXiv:2512.06959

遗传历史保持互模拟:基于后向就绪多重集的特征刻画

Hereditary History-Preserving Bisimilarity: Characterizations via Backward Ready Multisets

Marco Bernardo, Andrea Esposito, Claudio A. Mezzina

AI 速读 基于摘要

作者提出用后向就绪多重集相等增强前向后向互模拟,从而在稳定配置结构和可逆进程演算中给出遗传历史保持互模拟(HHPB)的两种互补刻画。

cs.LO

查看原文摘要

We devise two complementary characterizations of hereditary history-preserving bisimilarity (HHPB): a denotational one, over stable configuration structures, and an operational one, in a reversible process calculus. Our characterizations rely on forward-reverse bisimilarity (FRB) augmented with backward ready multiset equality, which is able to distinguish between autoconcurrency and autocausation. With respect to previous work, we thus shift the emphasis from uniquely identifying events, as done in other characterizations, to counting occurrences of identically labeled events associated with incoming transitions. This yields a more lightweight behavioral equivalence than HHPB: our bisimulations are still binary relations instead of ternary ones and do not need to incrementally build any labeling- and causality-preserving bijection for occurred events. We show that our characterizations are valid in the absence of non-local autoconflicts. We then study the logical foundations of these characterizations by relating event identifier logic, which captures HHPB, and backward ready multiset logic, developed for our extension of FRB.

新论文 · v1arXiv:2610.40343

面向高效仿真后端与友好前端的绑定与半自动接口生成:以流行病用例的演示

Manual binding and semi-automated interface generation for efficient simulation backends with user-friendly frontends: A~demonstration for epidemic use cases

Maximilian Betz, Daniel-Michel Richter, Daniel Abele, René Schmieding, Henrik Zunker, Martin J. Kühn

AI 速读 基于摘要

作者展示如何将大型传染病建模C++框架高效暴露给Python,并提出基于抽象语法树分析C++代码的半自动接口生成方法。

cs.SE

查看原文摘要

Challenges and chances of mathematical software are directly entangled with the programming language used. Depending on the background of developers and users, conflicts between different goals may arise. While several, e.g., scripting languages allow a low barrier and user-friendly entry to mathematical modeling and simulation, corresponding implementations will most likely not allow timely outcomes for detailed simulations. In infectious disease modeling, while several large-scale software frameworks rely on C or C++ implementations, most models are implemented in Python or R. While the latter allow for fast prototyping and more interactive development, it has been shown for several applications that C or C++ implementations outperform plain Python or R implementations by factors between one and three orders of magnitude. In particular, in times of pandemics, the urgent need for swift estimation of the system's dynamics makes the use of large-scale models in these noncompiled languages prohibitive. In order to create synergies and close the gap between scientists from the application and the computational domain, binding libraries allow to execute entire, compiled software frameworks from languages such as Python. However, with iterative model development, extension, or addition of new models, implementing bindings can represent another relevant barrier to developers of the C or C++ backends. In this paper, we show how a large-scale software framework with a multitude of infectious disease models can be efficiently exposed to Python. In addition, we suggest a semi-automated way to generate interface code by analyzing generic C++ code through abstract syntax trees, enabling a modularized approach working with intermediate representations.

版本更新 · v2arXiv:2610.28997

从频率视角重新思考时间序列分词

Rethinking Time Series Tokenization from a Frequency Perspective

Zelong Tian, Ming Jin, Bo Du, Shirui Pan

AI 速读 基于摘要

作者指出常用时间序列分词会引入频谱失真,并提出基于频域划分、频移与Nyquist采样的无参数分词器TimeFT以缓解该问题。

cs.LG · cs.AI

查看原文摘要

Tokenization that partitions time series into subsequences has become a foundational paradigm in modern time series modeling. However, we find that current tokenization strategies inherently introduce spectral distortions, forcing the learned representations to diverge from the true underlying patterns such as trend, periodicity, and seasonality, thereby impairing model performance. Through theoretical analysis from a frequency perspective, we derive the boundary conditions under which such distortions occur. To overcome this distortion, we propose TimeFT, a nearly distortion-free frequency-based tokenizer for time series data. TimeFT obtains tokens through frequency-domain partitioning, frequency shifting, and Nyquist sampling. The method is parameter-free, incurs negligible computational complexity, and can serve as a drop-in replacement for existing tokenizers. Our extensive experiments on diverse tasks such as forecasting, classification, and anomaly detection demonstrate that TimeFT consistently and significantly improves performance.

新论文 · v1arXiv:2610.40339

Wizard:通过智能体控制在实时中操控任意世界

Wizard: Manipulate Any World in Real Time via Agentic Control

Yuzhe Wu, Zijun Lin, Yeying Jin

AI 速读 基于摘要

Wizard 是一个智能体游戏世界模型,通过结构化代理表示和自适应掩码,实现对角色动作的实时精确控制,并零样本泛化到新场景、角色和动作。

cs.CV

查看原文摘要

Recent advances in video world models have enabled the generation of increasingly realistic and interactive virtual environments, opening new possibilities for player-customizable gameplay. Agentic frameworks further advance this direction by decoupling explicit game logic and controllable world representations from visual generation. However, existing approaches support only simple game settings and predefined motion patterns, generalize poorly to unseen environments and characters, and offer limited real-time interactivity. In this paper, we introduce Wizard, an agentic game world model that enables real-time, precise control over character motions while generalizing zero-shot across novel scenes, characters, and actions. To achieve this, we construct a diverse dataset spanning 750 scenes and 178 characters, incorporating skeleton and geometry information as structured representations. We leverage these representations as intermediate proxies to condition a video generation model, together with an adaptive masking mechanism that improves alignment between the conditioning signals and generated video rollouts. Furthermore, we introduce an agentic framework that explicitly maintains and updates game states, allowing players to freely configure their virtual worlds and exercise fine-grained control over character motions while preserving visual quality and gameplay consistency. By combining agentic control with structured proxy-based generation, our framework unlocks new possibilities for player-driven game creation with real-time, generalizable, and mechanically consistent world simulation.

版本更新 · v3arXiv:2604.18978

面向离策略强化学习评论家学习的低秩适配

Low-Rank Adaptation for Critic Learning in Off-Policy Reinforcement Learning

Yuan Zhuang, Yuexin Bian, Sihong He, Jie Feng, Qing Su, Songyang Han, Jonathan Petit, Shihao Ji 等 10 位作者

AI 速读 基于摘要

作者提出将 LoRA 作为从零训练评论家的结构正则化手段,冻结随机初始化的基矩阵、只训练低秩适配器,并在连续控制任务上评估。

cs.LG · cs.AI

查看原文摘要

Scaling critic capacity is a promising direction for improving off-policy reinforcement learning (RL). However, recent work shows that larger critics are prone to overfitting and instability in replay-based bootstrapped training. In this paper, we propose using Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) as a structural regularizer for critic learning from scratch. Our approach freezes randomly initialized base matrices and optimizes only the corresponding low-rank adapters, thereby constraining the learned weight changes to low-rank residuals. We evaluate our method on state-based continuous-control tasks, using SAC with SimbaV2 and BRC on DMC-Hard, and FastTD3 with its SimbaV2 variant on IsaacLab. Empirically, LoRA reduces critic loss during training and improves overall policy performance, achieving the best or competitive results on most tasks. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our low-rank updates provide a simple and effective form of structural regularization for critic learning in off-policy RL.

版本更新 · v4arXiv:2603.27771

生成式多智能体系统中的涌现风险

Emergent Risks in Generative Multi-Agent Systems

Yue Huang, Yu Jiang, Wenjie Wang, Haomin Zhuang, Xiaonan Luo, Yuchen Ma, Zhangchen Xu, Zichen Chen 等 15 位作者

AI 速读 基于摘要

该研究考察由大生成模型构成的多智能体系统在共享资源竞争、顺序交接与集体决策等场景中自发出现的群体性失败模式。

cs.MA · cs.CL · cs.CY

查看原文摘要

Multi-agent systems composed of large generative models are rapidly moving from laboratory prototypes to real-world deployments, where they jointly plan, negotiate, and allocate shared resources to solve complex tasks. While such systems promise unprecedented scalability and autonomy, their collective interaction also gives rise to failure modes that cannot be reduced to individual agents. Understanding these emergent risks is therefore critical. Here, we present a pioneer study of such emergent multi-agent risk in workflows that involve competition over shared resources (e.g., computing resources or market share), sequential handoff collaboration (where downstream agents see only predecessor outputs), collective decision aggregation, and others. Across these settings, we observe that such group behaviors arise frequently across repeated trials and a wide range of interaction conditions, rather than as rare or pathological cases. In particular, phenomena such as collusion-like coordination and conformity emerge with non-trivial frequency under realistic resource constraints, communication protocols, and role assignments, mirroring well-known pathologies in human societies despite no explicit instruction. Moreover, these risks cannot be prevented by existing agent-level safeguards alone. These findings expose the dark side of intelligent multi-agent systems: a social intelligence risk where agent collectives, despite no instruction to do so, spontaneously reproduce familiar failure patterns from human societies.

新论文 · v1arXiv:2610.40333

RFW-A:面向500多个类别、40万件铰接资产的智能体程序化生成

RFW-A: Agentic Procedural Generation of 400K Articulated Assets over 500 Categories

Yuanbo Lyu, Changjian Pan, Saining Zhang, Yi Yang, Peishuo Li, Zhiheng Li, Jialu Liu, Junhao Chen 等 22 位作者

AI 速读 基于摘要

RFW-A 将智能体程序合成与程序化生成结合,先由智能体构建并验证类别级可复用生成器,再以程序化执行低成本批量产出铰接资产,并构建了 RFW-A-400K 数据集。

cs.CV

查看原文摘要

High-quality articulated assets are essential for embodied perception, simulation, and manipulation, yet constructing them at scale remains difficult. Manual annotation and procedural modeling require substantial human effort. Recent agentic systems automate asset construction through program synthesis, but repeat costly reasoning and refinement for every new asset. Our key observation is that assets within a category can share construction logic despite variations in structure and appearance. Agentic synthesis and procedural generation are therefore complementary: agents can construct reusable programs, while procedural execution reuses the resulting logic across many samples. We therefore present RFW-A, which combines the two in a new articulated-asset generation paradigm. Starting from existing articulated programs, RFW-A organizes reusable components and their dependencies into category-level generators. Agents test and refine these generators across sampled configurations and motion states. Once constructed and validated, the generators produce diverse assets through procedural execution with no further model calls or token charges. The estimated API cost of generator authoring averages $10.62, amortizing to $0.05 per asset over 200 assets, versus $1.24 for the sampled per-asset agentic synthesis baseline. Using RFW-A, we built RFW-A-400K, containing over 400K sim-ready articulated assets across more than 500 categories. Experiments show high structural and kinematic validity and stable execution across physics simulators. Beyond asset validity, training with RFW-A-400K improves part-level articulation estimation on seen and unseen categories, while policies trained in simulation with retrieved and program-edited assets transfer zero-shot to real articulated objects.

新论文 · v1arXiv:2610.40331

多源协变量偏移下高维非参数回归的最优神经估计

Optimal Neural Estimation for High-Dimensional Nonparametric Regression under Multisource Covariate Shift

Chenghao Xu, Haotian Xu, Shivam Kumar, Daren Wang

AI 速读 基于摘要

研究多源协变量偏移下高维非参数回归,提出oracle加权神经估计并给出minimax最优收敛率,同时给出无需已知噪声方差与偏移参数的自适应方法。

math.ST · stat.ME · stat.ML

查看原文摘要

We study high-dimensional nonparametric regression under multisource covariate shift, where $\mathrm J$ sources of training data share a common regression function but differ in their covariate distributions, sample sizes, and noise variances. Our goal is to combine these sources to estimate the regression function accurately under a target covariate distribution. We propose an oracle weighted neural estimator and establish its minimax optimality up to logarithmic factors through matching upper and lower bounds. The resulting rate is $\mathsf n_{\rm eff}^{-2p/(2p+K)}$, where $p$ and $K$ denote the effective smoothness and dimension of the regression function, and the effective sample size is \begin{align} \mathsf n_{\rm eff} =\sum_{j=1}^{\mathrm J} \frac{n_j}{(1+σ_{ρ,j})σ_{ε,j}^{2}}. \nonumber \end{align} Here, $n_j$ is the sample size of source $j$, $σ_{ε,j}^{2}$ is its noise variance, and $σ_{ρ,j}$ controls the deviation between the covariate distribution of source $j$ and the target covariate distribution. We also develop an adaptive procedure that requires no knowledge of source noise variances or covariate-shift parameters. Under suitable conditions, this procedure attains the oracle minimax rate up to logarithmic factors.

新论文 · v1arXiv:2610.40330

基于GradientSHAP的多步多变量时间序列可解释性:风电案例研究

Multistep and Multivariate Time Series Explainability with GradientSHAP: A Wind Power Case Study

Robbie Southam, Zhong Fan, Ke Li

AI 速读 基于摘要

作者将适配后的GradientSHAP用于多变量、多步风电功率预测的可解释性分析,并通过新可视化同时给出局部与全局解释。

cs.AI · cs.LG

查看原文摘要

As the effects of climate change become increasingly apparent, the demand for renewable energy sources such as wind power continues to grow. However, renewables' variable and intermittent nature presents significant challenges in their integration into energy grids. Artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a powerful tool to address these issues. Still, its adoption in the energy sector has been hindered by the opacity of many AI models, which often function as black boxes. This paper introduces a carefully adapted GradientSHAP approach to provide interpretability for multivariate, multistep wind power forecasting -- a largely underexplored area. This capability is critical for day-ahead grid management and, to the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to apply GradientSHAP in the context of wind power forecasting. To address the inherent dimensionality, we developed novel visualizations that deliver both local and global explanations, uncovering intricate relationships between environmental factors, site-specific conditions, and temporal dynamics. While GradientSHAP is not an out-of-the-box solution, our findings demonstrate that, with thoughtful handling of SHAP values and domain expertise, it can offer valuable insights into model behaviour, supporting more informed and trustworthy decision-making. Nevertheless, its complexity poses challenges for practical implementation. Future research should focus on streamlining these interpretability methods to make them more actionable for routine deployment in critical energy applications.

新论文 · v1arXiv:2610.40328

预训练语言模型中并发时间变量的因子化表示

Factorized Representations of Concurrent Temporal Variables in Pretrained Language Models

Xinhe Zhang, Arnau Marin-Llobet

AI 速读 基于摘要

作者用受控文档中独立相位的语言切换与话题切换计时器,研究预训练语言模型如何在重叠子空间中联合表示多个并发上下文变量。

cs.LG · cs.CL

查看原文摘要

Language models often need to maintain multiple contextual variables that evolve independently within a document. Prior work has identified structured representations of individual temporal or contextual quantities, but their joint organization remains less understood. We study this question using controlled documents with independently phased language-switch and topic-change timers. Across ten pretrained checkpoints, both timers are linearly decodable from the same hidden states. Removing a timer-associated centroid plane substantially reduces access to its associated variable while having little effect on the concurrent timer, although the planes are nonorthogonal and contain cross-timer information. Separate timer contributions also explain most reproducible variation among joint-state centroids. These signatures persist from 3 to 51 timer values and across Qwen3 checkpoints from 0.6B to 14B. Schedule position affects continuation probabilities, but the tested centroid displacement produces no consistent timer-specific output effect. Together, these results support approximate factorization based on selective accessibility and approximately additive joint-state geometry in overlapping subspaces.

新论文 · v1arXiv:2610.40327

基于放射学指南衍生的决策图实现高效临床决策支持

Radiology Guideline-derived Decision Graph for Efficient Clinical Decision Support

Xuewen Zhou, Zhen Chen

AI 速读 基于摘要

将放射学指南编译为可执行决策图,并用快速模型回答局部问题、确定性遍历处理布尔逻辑,从而生成可追溯的临床决策路径。

cs.CV · cs.AI

查看原文摘要

Radiological risk stratification and management planning are essential downstream tasks in medical imaging. Automating these tasks is challenging because clinical guideline criteria are distributed across prose, tables, and cross-referenced definitions. We present Guideline-derived Decision Graph (GDGraph), a framework that decouples guideline compilation from case evaluation. During compilation, a large language model partitions guidelines into section-based chunks, extracts local decision subgraphs with linked definitions, and aggregates related branches into an executable decision graph. During inference, a fast System One model answers localized clinical questions while deterministic traversal resolves Boolean logic, turning opaque single-pass predictions into a traceable decision path without task-specific training. Across 347 cases spanning renal cyst, adnexal mass, and thyroid nodule guidelines, GDGraph improves System One accuracy from 57.3% to 90.8%, outperforming retrieval-augmented GPT-4o (80.1%) and graph-guided GPT-4o with chain-of-thought (82.7%) at substantially lower latency and cost. The source code will be available.

新论文 · v1arXiv:2610.40325

如何循环你的 Transformer:循环扩展、专业化与并行推理

How to Loop Your Transformer: Loop Scaling, Specialization, and Parallel Inference

Chanakya Ekbote, Artidoro Pagnoni, Devendra Singh Sachan, Shruti Bhosale, Mike Lewis, Maryam Fazel-Zarandi, Shashank Rajput, Sujan Kumar Gonugondla

AI 速读 基于摘要

该研究在从头训练的稠密解码器 Transformer 中系统考察循环(权重复用)在参数、训练算力与自回归推理效率三种约束下的权衡,并提出循环专用低秩适配器与改进的并行循环设计。

cs.LG · cs.AI

查看原文摘要

Looping in transformer models reuses weights by repeatedly applying the same transformer, or parts of it, making the model deeper without increasing its parameter count. Whether looping is useful depends on which constraint dominates: model size, training compute, or autoregressive inference efficiency. We study these trade-offs jointly in dense decoder-only transformers trained from scratch, varying which parts of the model are looped, how many loops are applied, and how information is passed between loops. Our experiments span models with up to 1B parameters, trained on up to 155B tokens with up to $1.07\times10^{21}$ FLOPs and 32 loops. We find that looping the full transformer generally gives the strongest quality at a fixed parameter budget, whereas looping a middle block of layers gives a better return when training FLOPs are constrained. Adding loops is not uniformly beneficial: gains eventually saturate, reverse, or become unstable. This motivates asking whether forcing every loop to use the same weights limits the benefit of deeper looping. We address this by adding small loop-specific low-rank adapters that improve quality, with larger gains as more loops are added. Looped transformers also suffer a decoding slowdown proportional to the number of loops. Parallel Loop Transformers address this by passing hidden states between loops across adjacent token positions, allowing loop stages to run concurrently. However, in our experiments the original formulation does not consistently retain the quality gains of ordinary looping. We find that preserving the current-token embedding and separately normalizing it and the previous-token hidden state before combining them recovers strong performance across model scales and training budgets. Together, these results show that effective looping requires matching the design to the resource constraint and inference setting.

新论文 · v1arXiv:2610.40324

人群相信你:在线预测市场高估人们实现自身目标的频率

Crowds Believe in You: Online Prediction Markets Overestimate How Often People Achieve Their Own Goals

Zihan Chen, Lei Nico Zheng, Di Zhu

AI 速读 基于摘要

基于 Manifold 上 6,150 个自我目标预测市场的订单重建,作者报告自我市场比外部事件市场更常被高估,且纠偏信息主要掌握在当事人手中。

cs.HC · cs.CY · cs.SI · econ.GN

查看原文摘要

People increasingly share personal goals online and invite others to forecast them. Research on the planning fallacy finds that observers predict a person's behavior less optimistically than the person does, and prediction markets aggregate such judgments, harnessing the wisdom of crowds. We study 6,150 prediction markets on Manifold in which 1,660 users asked about their own futures ("Will I ...?"), reconstruct every order and execution, and compare these self-markets with markets about external events. Self-markets resolved YES 4.4 percentage points less often than their final prices implied, whereas external markets were nearly calibrated (0.9 points); the difference was 2.2 points at the same price level and 1.9 points within creators who made both kinds of market. Absent when markets opened, the overstatement emerged within a day of trading, even where the person never traded, and peaked in the week before close. In a market's first day, observers moved external-market prices down toward the base rate, but moved self-market prices 3.6 points further toward YES, except in markets naming an outcome the person would not want, which were not overpriced. The correction came late and largely from the person, whose orders supplied 38% of the eventual movement toward the outcome in self-markets, against 9% in external markets. Because self-market prices mainly failed to separate successes from failures, a recalibration learned from earlier markets improved later forecasts by only 1.5%. Crowds believe in the futures people pose for themselves, and the information that would correct them lies with the person.

新论文 · v1arXiv:2610.40318

风湿病学中的Decision与System One模型:在专科培训考试题和诊断案例小品文上的准确性与校准

Decision and System One models in rheumatology: accuracy and calibration on specialty-training examination questions and diagnostic case vignettes

Alfredo Madrid-García, Diego Benavent, Fabian Lechner, Phillip Kremer, Johannes Knitza, Beatriz Merino-Barbancho

AI 速读 基于摘要

作者报告,表现最好的System One模型在风湿病学考试题上准确率很高,但在诊断案例小品文上准确率下降且校准变差,整体仍低于GPT-6 Sol。

cs.CL · cs.AI

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Objectives: To evaluate the accuracy and calibration of Decision and System One models on rheumatology examination questions and diagnostic vignettes. Methods: Two benchmarks were analysed: 172 rheumatology questions from Spanish specialty-training examinations (expanded RheumaMIR dataset) in Spanish and English, and 70 English diagnostic vignettes from RheumBench with 5-18 candidate diagnoses, 52 of which included the reference diagnosis. Four System One models (Jev 1.13, Clef, Microsoft-Decision-1, Laya) and GPT-6 Luna (OpenAI Decisions API) were compared with GPT-6 Sol and two local generative models. The primary outcome was accuracy; secondary outcomes included calibration, discrimination, accuracy of answers with probability >=0.90 and language differences. Results: In RheumaMIR, Jev's accuracy was 93.0% in Spanish and 91.9% in English, below GPT-6 Sol (99.4%; Holm-adjusted P<=0.005); GPT-6 Luna reached 97.7%, Clef 91.9-93.0% and Microsoft-Decision-1 86.0-87.8%, without detectable language differences. Jev's answers with probability >=0.90 (76-77% of answers) were 98.5% correct. In RheumBench, accuracy was lower: GPT-6 Sol 76.9%, GPT-6 Luna 63.5%, Clef 59.6%, Jev 50.0% and Microsoft-Decision-1 40.4% (each System One model below GPT-6 Sol, Holm-adjusted P<=0.045; chance 9.6%). Jev became overconfident (mean probability 0.659; over/underconfidence index +0.159), and its answers with probability >=0.90 (25% of cases) were 84.6% correct, against 95.5% for GPT-6 Luna (42%). Laya performed near chance in both benchmarks. Conclusion: The best-performing System One models were highly accurate on examination questions but less accurate on diagnostic vignettes, remaining below GPT-6 Sol. Jev's high-confidence predictions were less reliable on vignettes, highlighting the need for task-specific evaluation and calibration.

版本更新 · v3arXiv:2406.15680

校准预测与说服

Calibrated Forecasting and Persuasion

Atulya Jain, Vianney Perchet

AI 速读 基于摘要

研究专家在决策者用基于历史数据的校准检验验证预测时,如何发送概率预测以最大化自身收益。

econ.TH · cs.GT

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We study a dynamic game where an expert sends probabilistic forecasts to a decision-maker. The decision-maker verifies these forecasts using a calibration test based on past data. How should the expert send forecasts to maximize her payoff while passing the test? For a stationary ergodic process, we characterize the optimal forecasting strategy by reducing the dynamic game to a static persuasion problem. Calibration restricts long-run forecast distributions to mean-preserving contractions of the distribution of truthful forecasts. We compare the payoffs attainable by an informed and uninformed expert, providing a benchmark for the value of information. Finally, we consider a decision-maker who uses a mean-based learning strategy and show that the expert can guarantee at least the calibration benchmark and sometimes strictly more.

版本更新 · v4arXiv:2605.12655

协作多智能体强化学习中的鲁棒指令遵循

Robust Instruction Compliance in Cooperative Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning

Wo Wei Lin, Ethan Rathbun, Enrico Marchesini, Xiang Zhi Tan

AI 速读 基于摘要

提出 MAVIC,通过在指令边界修正 Bellman 备份,缓解多智能体强化学习中外部语言指令打断宏动作时的价值估计不一致问题。

cs.AI · cs.MA

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Multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) in real-world use cases may need to adapt to external natural language instructions that interrupt ongoing behavior and conflict with long-horizon objectives. However, conditioning rewards on instructions introduces a fundamental failure mode as Bellman updates couple value estimates across instruction contexts, leading to inconsistent values when instructions interrupt macro-actions. We propose Macro-Action Value Correction for Instruction Compliance (MAVIC), which corrects Bellman backups at instruction boundaries by correcting the incoming instruction objective and restoring the continuation value under the current objective. Unlike reward shaping, MAVIC modifies the bootstrapping target itself, enabling consistent value estimation under stochastic instruction switching within a unified policy. We provide theoretical analysis and an actor-critic implementation, and show that MAVIC achieves high instruction compliance while preserving base task performance in increasingly complex cooperative multi-agent environments.

新论文 · v1arXiv:2610.40314

分解、估计、选择:面向长文档RAG的覆盖感知上下文构建

Decompose, Estimate, Select: Coverage-Aware Context Construction for Long-Form RAG

He Tu, Aleena Bosco Kurumthottam, Torsten Suel

AI 速读 基于摘要

提出覆盖感知检索流程,通过分解查询、估计覆盖矩阵和贪心选择提升长文档RAG的证据覆盖,并引入自反馈循环改善生成器对证据的利用。

cs.IR

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Retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) grounds a language model's output in retrieved evidence, but for complex questions spanning multiple aspects of an information need, relevance-based retrieval may return redundant evidence while leaving some aspects unsupported. We propose a coverage-aware retrieval pipeline that decomposes queries into subquestions, ranks candidates with a coverage-trained bi-encoder, predicts a document\,$\times$\,subquestion coverage matrix with a cross-encoder, and selects documents by greedy maximum-marginal coverage. On TREC RAG 2024, our approach improves $α$-nDCG@10, which rewards newly covered nuggets and discounts redundant evidence, from $0.625$ to $0.702$, approaching the $0.718$ gold-nugget upper bound without sacrificing relevance. We then find that ground-truth oracle retrieval, despite substantially higher retrieval coverage, delivers no more nugget coverage to the answer than our estimated selection. This suggests that answer completeness depends not only on what evidence is retrieved, but also on how effectively the generator uses it. To address this, we introduce a \emph{grounded self-feedback loop} in which the model identifies underused evidence from its first answer and generates again without gold supervision, raising $V_{\mathrm{strict}}$, the fraction of vital reference nuggets fully supported by the answer, by $0.086$ over two passes while largely preserving faithfulness.

版本更新 · v2arXiv:2610.30408

市场未知时价格歧视的边界

The Limits of Price Discrimination When the Market Is Unknown

Irfan Tekdir

AI 速读 基于摘要

在仅知可能价值集合、不知具体价值分布的情况下,刻画市场与市场分割所能产生的消费者剩余与生产者剩余组合。

econ.TH · cs.GT

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Bergemann, Brooks, and Morris (2015) characterize the consumer and producer surplus pairs that segmentation can produce when the distribution of values is known. I fix only the set of possible values and characterize the pairs that some market and some segmentation can produce. They form a convex polygon. Its outer edge is the largest efficient surplus a market can have when its uniform-price profit is capped, net of that profit, and truncated equal-revenue markets attain it. At the values no segmentation is needed; strictly between two values, reaching the frontier requires splitting a market into two extremal markets. With a continuum of values up to $\bar{v}$, consumer surplus is at most $π\ln(\bar{v}/π)$ when producer surplus (the seller's profit) is $π$, this bound is reached without segmentation, and no market gives consumers more than $\bar{v}/e$.

新论文 · v1arXiv:2610.40310

在 Lean 中用 Vampire 进行自动定理证明

Hammering with Vampire in Lean

Jonas Bodingbauer, Laura Kovács

AI 速读 基于摘要

作者提出 Vampire-Hammer,将 Lean 目标交给 Vampire 自动定理证明器求解,并重建可由 Lean 内核检查的证明。

cs.LO · cs.AI

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We present Vampire-Hammer, a hammer for the Lean interactive theorem prover that discharges goals using the Vampire automated theorem prover and reconstructs proofs checked by the Lean kernel. Vampire-Hammer uses the Lean-auto framework to process goals and premises before dispatching them to Vampire for proof search. Doing so, we rely on standard TPTP problem formats and annotated TSTP proofs that support proof reconstruction. With a 10-second budget on 196,083 eligible Mathlib theorems, Vampire-Hammer solves 21,158 problems not solved by other evaluated tools within the same budget.

版本更新 · v4arXiv:2604.11674

AffordSim:面向可供性感知机器人操作的可扩展数据生成器与基准

AffordSim: A Scalable Data Generator and Benchmark for Affordance-Aware Robotic Manipulation

Mingyang Li, Haofan Xu, Haowen Sun, Xinzhe Chen, Sihua Ren, Liqi Huang, Xinyang Sui, Chenyang Miao 等 13 位作者

AI 速读 基于摘要

AffordSim 将开放词汇 3D 可供性预测融入仿真轨迹生成,构建 50 任务基准,并验证生成数据可零样本迁移到真实 Franka FR3。

cs.RO · cs.AI

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Many everyday robot manipulation skills are affordance-dependent, with success determined by whether the robot contacts the functional object region required by the subsequent action. Current simulation data generators obtain contacts from generic grasp estimators or per-object manual contact annotations, but generic estimators rank stable grasps without task semantics and often select contacts that are misaligned with the downstream action, while manual contact annotations must be rewritten for each new object and task. To solve these challenges, we introduce AffordSim, a scalable data generator and benchmark that integrates open-vocabulary 3D affordance prediction into simulation-based trajectory generation. Given a natural-language task description, AffordSim synthesizes a task-relevant scene, emits affordance queries, grounds them on object surfaces, samples region-conditioned grasps, and selects executable candidates with motion planning. It further randomizes object pose, texture, lighting, image noise, and cross-viewpoint backgrounds for sim-to-real transfer. We instantiate AffordSim as a 50-task benchmark across diverse manipulation skills, five robot embodiments, and 500+ rigid and articulated objects. AffordSim achieves 93% of the trajectory collection success rate of manual contact annotations on affordance-critical tasks and 89% on hard composite tasks. Vision-language-action policies trained on AffordSim data transfer zero-shot to a real Franka FR3, reaching 24% average success.

版本更新 · v3arXiv:2603.10768

Aceso:面向微服务的延迟感知地理分布,以实现高性价比的碳减排

Aceso: Latency-Aware Geo-Distribution of Microservices for Cost-Effective Carbon Reduction

Georgia Christofidi, Francisco Álvarez-Terribas, Ioannis Roumpos, Nicolas Kourtellis, Jesus Omaña Iglesias, Thaleia Dimitra Doudali

AI 速读 基于摘要

Aceso 是一种面向区域性受限基础设施的自适应微服务放置方法,在满足延迟约束的前提下,同时考虑碳强度与成本,动态调整微服务的地理分布。

cs.DC

查看原文摘要

Microservices are a dominant architecture in cloud computing, offering scalability and modularity, but also posing complex deployment challenges. As data centers contribute significantly to global carbon emissions, carbon-aware scheduling is a promising mitigation strategy. However, most existing solutions target batch, HPC, or serverless workloads and assume global-scale infrastructure. Such an assumption does not hold for many regional small to medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) with microservice applications, due to geographic, cost, and data sovereignty constraints. In this paper, we present Aceso, an Adaptive Carbon- and Efficiency-aware placement for microservices that considers carbon, cost, and latency constraints. Aceso dynamically places microservices across geographically constrained regions using a scalable optimization with insight-based search space pruning techniques. Evaluation on a real-world deployment shows that Aceso adapts to real-time changes in workload and carbon intensity and reduces carbon emissions by up to 37.4% and operational cost by up to 3.36%, on average across days, compared to a static deployment within a single country, while maintaining the application's latency targets. In this way, Aceso enables carbon- and cost-aware microservice deployment for latency-sensitive applications in regionally limited infrastructures.

新论文 · v1arXiv:2610.40309

面向视觉语言模型零样本对抗鲁棒性的文本响应感知引导

Textual Response-Aware Guidance for Zero-Shot Adversarial Robustness of Vision-Language Models

Yubo Cui, Xianchao Guan, Zheng Zhang

AI 速读 基于摘要

提出文本响应感知引导(TRAG),利用预训练文本编码器对输入嵌入局部变化的响应来约束视觉表示漂移,以提升视觉语言模型的零样本对抗鲁棒性。

cs.CV

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Vision-language models (VLMs) exhibit strong zero-shot generalization but remain vulnerable to adversarial attacks. Existing adversarial fine-tuning methods often use pre-trained model guidance to preserve image--text alignment while improving robustness. Our analysis of visual representation drift reveals complementary limitations of two representative forms of guidance. Matching visual features provides broad coverage by constraining all directions equally, but lacks semantic emphasis. Matching prediction distributions prioritizes semantically relevant directions, but remains limited by the candidate texts and prediction probabilities. These limitations can hinder preservation of pre-trained image--text relationships and degrade zero-shot performance. To address these issues, we propose Textual Response-Aware Guidance (TRAG), which constrains visual representation drift using the pre-trained text encoder's responses to local variations in input embeddings. Specifically, TRAG constructs anchor-level constraints from the response directions and magnitudes around semantic anchors, then aggregates them using pre-trained image--anchor relevance, yielding an image-adaptive constraint. Extensive experiments across architectures and tasks demonstrate state-of-the-art clean and robust performance. Further analysis shows that TRAG helps preserve pre-trained image--text relationships.

新论文 · v1arXiv:2610.40306

真三维全息通信:面向6G的云网融合架构需求

True 3D Holography: A Communication Service of Tomorrow and Its Requirements for a New Converged Cloud and Network Architecture on the Path to 6G

Ingo Friese, Mandy Galkow-Schneider, Louay Bassbouss, Alexander Zoubarev, Andy Neparidze, Sergiy Melnyk, Qiuheng Zhou, Hans D. Schotten 等 20 位作者

AI 速读 基于摘要

论文以6G NeXt项目中的真三维全息通信为用例,分析其对通信与计算基础设施的需求,并提出一种融合云与网络的整体架构方案。

cs.NI · cs.DC · eess.SP

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Research project 6G NeXt is considering true 3D holography as a use case, setting requirements on the communication as well as the computing infrastructure. In a future holographic communication service, clients are widely spread in the network and cooperatively interact with each other. Especially for holographic communication high processing power is required as well. This makes a high-speed distributed backbone computing infrastructure, which realizes the concept of split computing, inevitable. Furthermore, tight integration between processing facilities and wireless networks is required in order to provide an immersive user experience. This paper illustrates true 3D holographic communication and its requirements. Afterward, an appropriate solution approach is elaborated. Here, novel technological approaches are discussed based on a proposed overall communication and computing architecture.

版本更新 · v2arXiv:2606.14404

Simple-IT:实用的低延迟无签名BFT共识

Simple-IT: Practical Low-Latency Signature-Free BFT Consensus

Qianyu Yu, Juan Villacis, Giuliano Losa, Zhuolun Xiang, Xuechao Wang

AI 速读 基于摘要

提出一种基于领导者的无签名拜占庭容错共识协议Simple-IT,作者报告其理论延迟为4个消息延迟、乐观路径为3个,并在跨地域测试床上取得与量子脆弱型先进协议相当的吞吐与延迟。

cs.DC

查看原文摘要

Recent advances in quantum computing pose a looming threat to most current Byzantine fault-tolerant (BFT) consensus protocols, which rely on quantum-vulnerable public-key signature schemes such as Ed25519 and BLS12-381. Instead of switching to much more expensive post-quantum secure signature schemes, an alternative is to use signature-free protocols, which rely only on cheap, post-quantum secure authenticated channels. In this paper, we ask whether signature-free BFT consensus protocols can match the performance of current state-of-the-art, quantum-vulnerable BFT consensus protocols. While previous work on the Sailfish++ protocol showed that state-of-the-art throughput is attainable signature-free, the question of latency is still open. Several recent signature-free protocols have low latency in theory, but they are all very intricate, and no practical implementation has so far been presented. In this work, we propose Simple-IT, a new leader-based, signature-free BFT consensus protocol that achieves a theoretical latency of 4 message delays (one more than the optimum), and only 3 on its optimistic path. Crucially, Simple-IT is simple enough to be amenable to implementation and to practical optimizations such as speculative pipelining, and, as we show experimentally in a geo-distributed testbed, it achieves both throughput and latency competitive with state-of-the-art quantum-vulnerable protocols.

新论文 · v1arXiv:2610.40305

Rimuru:通过弹性专家卸载实现现代LLM服务统一内存管理

Rimuru: Unified Memory Management for Modern LLM Serving via Elastic Expert Offloading

Zhiyuan Fang, Dingyang Li, Jianfeng Zhong, Bin Wang, Weixi Zhu, Cunshu Ni, Zicong Hong, Wuhui Chen 等 9 位作者

AI 速读 基于摘要

Rimuru 提出共享页池与内存视图机制,统一管理 LLM 服务中异构张量的内存,并通过弹性专家卸载提升吞吐、降低首 token 延迟。

cs.OS · cs.LG

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Modern LLMs strain device memory through large model weights and attention states, particularly in resource-constrained scenarios. Existing systems separately provision memory for model weights and attention states, imposing fixed fixed boundaries that cannot adapt to the changing memory demands of workloads. Under heavy workloads, insufficient state capacity limits request concurrency and reduces throughput; under light workloads, idle memory in one region cannot be reallocated to another, wasting device memory. Meanwhile, modern LLM architectures introduce heterogeneous tensors with diverse layouts and lifetimes, further complicating memory management. These problems motivate unified memory management for heterogeneous tensors. However, a shared pool alone does not make memory directly reusable across tensors with different allocation granularities and execution layouts. This paper presents Rimuru, a modern LLM serving system that unifies memory management through elastic expert offloading. Rimuru establishes a shared page pool to enables elastic memory sharing across heterogeneous tensors. To accommodate different allocation granularities, Rimuru introduces memory views that allow each tensor type to interpret the shared memory space using its own page size and page table. Furthermore, Rimuru combines huge-page alignment with a multi-level page allocator that splits and merges pages, enabling cross-type capacity reuse. A page-table-aware fused MoE kernel directly accesses non-contiguous expert weights, avoiding copy overhead. Building on these mechanisms, Rimuru employs a workload-aware adjuster that dynamically reallocates pages across tensor types according to runtime demands. Implemented on top of vLLM, Rimuru remains compatible with modern LLMs. Evaluations show that Rimuru achieves up to 19.03x baseline throughput and reduces TTFT by 98.1% on average.

新论文 · v1arXiv:2610.40304

因果先验约束的深度学习用于西北太平洋热带气旋快速增强预警

Causal-prior-constrained deep learning for rapid-intensification warning of western North Pacific tropical cyclones

Xinrui Li, Yijun Jin, Yifan Dong, Shoujuan Shu

AI 速读 基于摘要

作者提出CausalVisionRI,将观测发现的因果图作为可审计先验约束融入深度学习,用于西北太平洋热带气旋24小时快速增强预警。

cs.LG · physics.ao-ph

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Rapid intensification (RI) is one of the most dangerous and unpredictable phases of tropical cyclones, and its environmental and structural drivers are difficult to identify and separate in observations. Here we introduce CausalVisionRI, a causal-prior-constrained deep-learning system for 24-h RI warning in the western North Pacific. It integrates infrared remote sensing imagery, atmospheric and oceanic fields, and an observationally discovered causal graph into a unified model. The graph and eight sign-verified effects on 24-h intensity change provide an auditable causal prior for training. Discovered from 522 cyclones in 2000-2017, it identifies causal pathways linking atmospheric and oceanic conditions, the cyclone's dynamical and structural state, and its 24-h intensity change. On a forward holdout covering 2020-2024 and 3,004 records, the five-member ensemble achieves a Brier skill score (BSS) of 0.259 relative to a fixed development climatology, significantly exceeding four reference systems; the three LDA baselines reach at most 0.105. It also attains higher detection rates than a published knowledge-block scheme and a reconstructed contrastive-learning scheme at matched false-detection rates under our USA 30-kt standard and the published RITCF standard. Ablations show that the graph pathway adds 0.032 BSS across the holdout and 0.063 over 2020-2021, with a significant contribution in one ensemble member. A deep-learning model constrained by observationally discovered causal structure thus offers a new route to physically informed RI warning.

新论文 · v1arXiv:2610.40303

旋律、乐句与主题中的对称结构与动机变换

Symmetric Structure and Motivic Transformation in Melodies, Phrases, and Themes

Alfredo González-Espinoza

AI 速读 基于摘要

作者用移位、倒影、逆行与循环移位生成的群,对852首键盘作品的旋律窗口做轨道与稳定子分析,量化旋律的动机词汇、部署与对称性。

physics.soc-ph · cs.SD

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Transposition, inversion, and retrograde are fundamental operations in music theory, from Schoenberg's twelve-tone technique to Forte's set classes and Lewin's transformational theory, yet their use in melodies has rarely been quantified. We read a melodic line through the orbits and stabilizers of its windows of $m = 3-6$ notes under the group generated by these operations and cyclic shift. The window entropy splits into an orbit entropy (motivic vocabulary) and a within-orbit entropy normalized by orbit size (deployment), and the group elements relating windows of one orbit give the motivic transformations. In 852 keyboard pieces spanning four centuries, at least 97% of melodies have lower orbit entropy than surrogates preserving their pitch content, spectrum, or one-step transitions ($m \geq 4$). Periods differ in vocabulary and symmetry types; musical forms differ in deployment. Recurring motifs are transposed 1.6 times more often than in random permutations of their forms, and transposed by a fifth or fourth 2.8 times more often, a preference that weakens from the Baroque to the 20th century and from Bach's fugues to Shostakovich's. Folk phrases and instrumental themes are rarely symmetric (2-10%), but are 1.6-5 times more often symmetric than note rearrangements. The framework extends to any symbolic sequence with a symmetry group.