Francesco Ferrini, Veronica Lachi, Antonio Longa, Bruno Lepri, Andrea Passerini
Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) often struggle to capture the link-specific structural patterns crucial for accurate link prediction, as their node-centric message-passing schemes overlook the subgraph structures connecting a pair of nodes. Existing methods to inject such structural context either incur high computational cost or rely on simplistic heuristics (e.g., common neighbor counts) that fail to model multi-hop dependencies. We introduce SP4LP (Shortest Path for Link Prediction), a novel framework that combines GNN-based node encodings with sequence modeling over shortest paths. Specifically, SP4LP first applies a GNN to compute representations for all nodes, then extracts the shortest path between each candidate node pair and processes the resulting sequence of node embeddings using a sequence model. This design enables SP4LP to capture expressive multi-hop relational patterns with computational efficiency. Empirically, SP4LP achieves state-of-the-art performance across link prediction benchmarks. Theoretically, we prove that SP4LP is strictly more expressive than standard message-passing GNNs and several state-of-the-art structural features methods, establishing it as a general and principled approach for link prediction in graphs.
Cesare Barbera, Lorenzo Perini, Giovanni De Toni, Andrea Passerini, Andrea Pugnana
Accurate and well-calibrated Machine Learning (ML) models are mandatory in high-stakes settings, yet effective multiclass calibration remains challenging: global approaches assume calibration errors are homogeneous across the latent space, while local methods often rely on representation-space dimensionality reduction, discarding latent directions relevant to miscalibration. To address these issues, we propose a compositional approach to multiclass calibration, where region-specific calibration maps are constructed from shared factors. We instantiate this idea via Vector Quantization (VQ), which induces a structured partition of the representation space, and an indexed parameterization of Dirichlet concentrations that enables parameter sharing across regions. Our approach learns heterogeneous calibration maps that generalize well even to sparse regions of the latent space. Experiments on benchmark datasets show significant improvements in local calibration while maintaining competitive global calibration and predictive performance.