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Discovering and Reasoning of Causality in the Hidden World with Large Language Models

Chenxi Liu, Yongqiang Chen, Tongliang Liu, Mingming Gong, James Cheng, Bo Han, Kun Zhang

Revealing hidden causal variables alongside the underlying causal mechanisms is essential to the development of science. Despite the progress in the past decades, existing practice in causal discovery (CD) heavily relies on high-quality measured variables, which are usually given by human experts. In fact, the lack of well-defined high-level variables behind unstructured data has been a longstanding roadblock to a broader real-world application of CD. This procedure can naturally benefit from an automated process that can suggest potential hidden variables in the system. Interestingly, Large language models (LLMs) are trained on massive observations of the world and have demonstrated great capability in processing unstructured data. To leverage the power of LLMs, we develop a new framework termed Causal representatiOn AssistanT (COAT) that incorporates the rich world knowledge of LLMs to propose useful measured variables for CD with respect to high-value target variables on their paired unstructured data. Instead of directly inferring causality with LLMs, COAT constructs feedback from intermediate CD results to LLMs to refine the proposed variables. Given the target variable and the paired unstructured data, we first develop COAT-MB that leverages the predictivity of the proposed variables to iteratively uncover the Markov Blanket of the target variable. Built upon COAT-MB, COAT-PAG further extends to uncover a more complete causal graph, i.e., Partial Ancestral Graph, by iterating over the target variables and actively seeking new high-level variables. Moreover, the reliable CD capabilities of COAT also extend the debiased causal inference to unstructured data by discovering an adjustment set. We establish theoretical guarantees for the CD results and verify their efficiency and reliability across realistic benchmarks and real-world case studies.

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Select Before Use: On the Importance of Reference Model Selection in Preference Alignment

Muyang Li, Runze Wu IROOTECH TECHNOLOGY, Xiangyu Zhao City University of Hong Kong, Bo Han, Daoyi Dong University of Technology Sydney, Tongliang Liu University of Sydney and RIKEN

The post-training stage of Large Language Models (LLMs) typically involves Supervised Fine-Tuning (SFT) followed by preference alignment to ensure LLM to generate safe, helpful, and instruction-aligned content. The SFT model critically serves as both the initialization and reference model for subsequent preference alignment. However, an essential yet often neglected question is the optimal selection of the SFT checkpoint for this role. We show that checkpoint selection substantially affects final performance, and that the common practice of choosing the minimum validation-loss checkpoint often fails, due to a fundamental conflict between SFT’s focus on imitation and alignment’s goal of response discriminability. To this end, we propose RewardRank, a simple, effective, training-free metrics for estimating initial implicit alignment between reference model and preference objective. Empirical evidence suggests that, using our selected model as reference can gain up to 67.6% relative increase on length-controlled win rate on the popular Zephyr recipe comparing to baselines.

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Proceedings of the 64th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (Volume 1: Long Papers) · 2026 · 正式发表