带反射神谕的Solomonoff归纳
Solomonoff Induction with Reflective Oracles
Damini Kusum
AI 速读 基于摘要
研究基于反射神谕的Solomonoff归纳变体的预测性质,作者报告该最优预测器能对抗仅指定部分数据生成过程的可计算预测策略。
cs.CC
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We study predictive properties of a reflective variant of Solomonoff induction formulated using reflective oracles (Fallenstein et al. 2015, Wyeth et al. 2025). We show that the resulting optimal predictor succeeds against computable predictive strategies that specify only part of the data-generating process. The argument relies on the fact that hypotheses computable from the predictor's own conditional probabilities remain within the reflective hypothesis class. In particular, the predictor learns incomplete models specified by computable interval restrictions on next-bit probabilities. We also establish weighted forms of unbiasedness and calibration. Finally, we discuss whether an optimal predictor's conditional probabilities suffice to compute every hypothesis in the reflective class.