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arXiv 最近完成扫描:2026-11-15 06:43 · 全站最近入库:2026-11-14 15:09各信源进度 →

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版本更新 · v3arXiv:2605.29768

从XXLTraffic到EvoXXLTraffic:将交通预测扩展到传感器演化网络

From XXLTraffic to EvoXXLTraffic: Scaling Traffic Forecasting to Sensor-Evolving Networks

Du Yin, Hao Xue, Arian Prabowo, Shuang Ao, Flora Salim

AI 速读 基于摘要

作者构建了传感器集合逐年变化的EvoXXLTraffic基准,并在多个PeMS区域上比较了13种基线适配方法在全体传感器与新出现传感器上的预测表现。

cs.AI

查看原文摘要

Traffic forecasting benchmarks commonly fix the sensor set, although deployed sensing networks change their coverage over time. We present EvoXXLTraffic, a sensor-evolving extension of the XXLTraffic dataset family, with yearly sensor catalogs, persistent station IDs, flow matrices, and geographic graph snapshots across nine California PeMS districts, spanning up to 27 years. The benchmark separates all-sensor forecasting from supervised adaptation to sensors absent from the preceding year. We evaluate 13 baseline adaptations on PEMS04 with five seeds and PEMS05 with three seeds, and seven of them on the other seven districts with three seeds. Each yearly task uses 31 stored days, explicit observation masks, and chronological evaluation. Under the frozen configurations, PECPM has the lowest full-horizon mean MAE on both all-sensor and new-node populations on PEMS04, while Online-AN leads both populations on PEMS05. Among the seven methods run on every district, Online-AN has the lowest all-sensor mean MAE in eight of the nine districts, and Online-NN has the lowest new-node mean MAE in six. A matched control on PEMS05 and PEMS06 finds that training on the evolving catalog changes mean MAE on the sensors present in every 2018-2025 catalog by less than 1% in either direction. Method ordering depends on district, evaluation population, horizon, and metric, and seed variation does not establish statistical significance. The benchmark documents implementation adaptations and uses retrospective geographic graphs, limiting claims about original-paper rankings and prospective deployment. Inherited fixed-sensor gap and hourly/daily tasks provide complementary temporal settings. Code and results: https://github.com/cruiseresearchgroup/TSAS26-EvoXXLTraffic. Data: https://huggingface.co/datasets/yind7/EvoXXLTraffic.

版本更新 · v2arXiv:2611.10508

Imperfectly Imperfect: Evaluating Graded Cognitive Diversity in LLM Persona Simulations

Sion Weatherhead, Ben Newell, Aaron Belbasis, Flora Salim

原文摘要

Large language model (LLM) agents are increasingly used as synthetic participants in social, behavioural, and decision-making research, yet it remains unclear whether they can express graded cognitive diversity as assigned when engaging in simulated behaviour. We introduce a cognition-suite evaluation that tests whether simulated populations reproduce human variation in reasoning, self-reported traits, their associations, and downstream behaviour. Agents conditioned on synthetic or human-derived profiles of cognitive reflection, Need for Cognition, and Big Five personality answer the same suite as a cohort of 473 adults: two newly assembled tests, a Cognitive Reflection Test (CRT) and a Behavioural Reflection Test (BRT) whose decision scenarios measure reflection in behaviour, alongside an established CRT and the two trait questionnaires. Across seven full-battery simulation runs of four models, agents recover Need for Cognition and Big Five trait distributions on self-report questionnaires, but fall short on simulating diversity of cognitive task performance and downstream behaviours. In the four Claude Sonnet 4.6 runs, every agent scores full marks on both CRTs, whatever reflection level its persona was assigned. In the other three runs agents make intuitive-lure errors (the tempting wrong answers CRT items invite), but 49 to 85% score full marks, against under 10% in the human sample. Claude Sonnet 5 comes closest to people's item-by-item pattern of lures; the other two runs give fewer lures and vary less between items. In the BRT scenarios, every run over-produces 8 to 11 of 15 coded behaviours by at least 20 percentage points, and people's links between reflection and behaviour carry over only in part. Useful synthetic populations must preserve not only trait descriptors but the structured variation in reasoning, error type, and behaviour those descriptors are meant to organise.

cs.CL · cs.AI · cs.CY

版本更新 · v3arXiv:2605.22715

AnyMo: Geometry-Aware Setup-Agnostic Modeling of Human Motion in the Wild

Baiyu Chen, Zechen Li, Wilson Wongso, Lihuan Li, Xiachong Lin, Hao Xue, Benjamin Tag, Flora Salim

原文摘要

As wearable and mobile devices become increasingly embedded in daily life, they offer a practical way to continuously sense human motion in the wild. But inertial signals are highly dependent on the sensing setup, including body location, mounting position, sensor orientation, device hardware, and sampling protocol. This setup dependence makes it difficult to learn motion representations that transfer across devices and datasets, and limits the broader use of wearable IMUs beyond closed-set recognition. We introduce AnyMo, a geometry-aware framework for setup-agnostic human motion modeling. AnyMo uses physics-grounded IMU simulation over dense body-surface placements to generate diverse and plausible synthetic signals, pre-trains a graph encoder from paired synthetic placement views and masked partial observations, tokenizes multi-position IMU into full-body motion tokens, and aligns these tokens with an LLM for motion-language understanding. We evaluate AnyMo on three complementary tasks: zero-shot activity recognition across 14 unseen downstream datasets, cross-modal retrieval, and wearable IMU motion captioning, where it improves average Accuracy/F1/R@2 by 11.7\%/11.6\%/22.6\% on HAR, increases zero-shot IMU-to-text and text-to-IMU retrieval MRR by 15.9\% and 28.6\%, respectively, and improves zero-shot captioning BERT-F1 by 7.5\%. These results support AnyMo as a generalist model for wearable motion understanding in the wild. Project page: https://anymo-project.github.io.

cs.CV · cs.AI · cs.CL · cs.HC

版本更新 · v6arXiv:2410.21657

A-UTE: Advection Informed, Uncertainty Aware Temperature Emulator

Hira Saleem, Cormac Purcell, Steven Sherwood, Flora Salim

原文摘要

Physics-based Earth system models (ESMs) are essential for attributing climate change and generating scenario projections, yet their reliance on high-resolution numerical integration makes multi-decadal experiments expensive. In parallel, deep learning has delivered strong gains in short-range weather forecasting; however, auto-regressive roll-outs can accumulate error and become unstable when extended to decade-scale climate emulation. We introduce A-UTE: Advection Informed, Uncertainty Aware Temperature Emulator, aimed at stable multi-year emulation across heterogeneous climate models and grid resolutions. A-UTE is trained on various physics-based models at varying spatial resolutions to emulate temperature fields over a 10-year horizon. A-UTE formulates climate emulation as a forward-time stochastic dynamical system. We propose an auto-regressive ODE-SDE surrogate in which transport dynamics are constrained by an advection consistent ODE component, while a learned neural SDE term models coarse-grained variability and cross-model discrepancy at monthly resolution. We train A-UTE under negative log-likelihood objective for principled uncertainty estimates and probabilistic evaluation. Experiments across 20 climate models show that A-UTE improves long roll-out stability and accuracy relative to relevant baselines, advancing data-driven climate emulation with explicit physical structure and uncertainty-aware predictions.

cs.AI · cs.LG

新论文 · v1arXiv:2605.00933Google Research

CGM-JEPA:通过预测式自监督预训练学习一致的连续血糖监测表征

CGM-JEPA: Learning Consistent Continuous Glucose Monitor Representations via Predictive Self-Supervised Pretraining

Hada Melino Muhammad, Zechen Li, Flora Salim, Ahmed A. Metwally

AI 速读 基于摘要

提出预测掩码潜在表征的自监督预训练框架 CGM-JEPA 及其跨视图扩展 X-CGM-JEPA,用于学习可跨模态迁移的连续血糖监测表征。

cs.LG · cs.AI

查看原文摘要

Continuous Glucose Monitoring (CGM) can detect early metabolic subphenotypes (insulin resistance, IR; $β$-cell dysfunction), but population-scale deployment faces two coupled problems. First, the same physiological state appears through multiple views (CGM time series, venous OGTT, Glucodensity summaries), so single-view representations fail to transfer when deployment shifts the modality or setting. Second, baselines perform inconsistently across these shifts. Both problems point to one remedy: representations that abstract away from any single view to capture higher-level temporal and distributional structure. We propose CGM-JEPA, a self-supervised pretraining framework which predicts masked latent representations rather than raw values, yielding abstraction that transfers across modalities. X-CGM-JEPA adds a masked Glucodensity cross-view objective for complementary distributional information. We pretrain on $\sim$389k unlabeled CGM readings from 228 subjects and evaluate on two clinical cohorts ($N=27$ and $N=17$ public-release subsets) across three regimes (cohort generalization, venous-to-CGM transfer, home CGM) under 20-iteration $\times$ 2-fold cross-validation. X-CGM-JEPA ranks first or second on AUROC for both endpoints across all three regimes while no baseline does, exceeding the strongest baseline by up to $+6.5$ pp in cohort generalization and $+3.6$ pp in venous-to-CGM transfer (paired Wilcoxon, $p<0.001$). Under modality shift, it matches mean AUROC while redistributing toward weaker subgroups (ethnicity AUROC gap shrinks 25-54%); on sparse in-domain venous data, the distributional view lifts label-aware clustering (ARI $+39\%$, NMI $+40\%$). Code and weights: https://github.com/cruiseresearchgroup/CGM-JEPA