Beyond Sunny Skies: Using Large Language Models to Predict Urban Traffic in Adverse Weather
Zhu Xiao, Kuan Feng, Tong Li, Chenxi Liu, Gang Wang, Zhuo Tang, Kenli Li
原文摘要
Urban traffic flow prediction is a cornerstone of intelligent transportation systems, yet accurate forecasting under adverse weather conditions remains a significant challenge. Existing data-driven models, while effective for routine patterns, often struggle with the sparse data and complex non-linear shifts associated with rare meteorological events. These methods typically treat environmental contexts as shallow numerical features, failing to capture the underlying semantic reasoning-why and how specific adverse conditions alter mobility behaviors across regions with different functional compositions. To address this limitation, we propose Multi-STG, a unified framework that integrates Large Language Model (LLM)-derived semantic priors with graph-based spatiotemporal learning. Multi-STG introduces an LLM-empowered semantic enhancement module that transforms comprehensive context descriptions such as weather, POIs, and holidays into high-level semantic embeddings, effectively providing a knowledge-driven complement to data scarcity. Furthermore, we design a multimodal attentional fusion mechanism to dynamically weigh heterogeneous inputs and a semantic-enhanced prediction head with gated residual calibration to robustly adjust forecasts based on semantic guidance. Extensive experiments on real-world multi-city private car datasets demonstrate that Multi-STG outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, reducing MAE by 11.82\% on average relative to the strongest baseline across three cities, while maintaining stable performance under sparse and non-stationary conditions.
cs.AI