Zaiqian Chen, Aditya Somasundaram, Sophie Li, Sean McLeish, John Kirchenbauer, Tom Goldstein, Micah Goldblum
Loss spikes in language model pretraining can waste substantial compute and derail otherwise healthy training runs. A primary driver of these instabilities is the growth and divergence of output logits in the final language modeling (LM) head. In this work, we study a particularly costly form of this instability associated with output logit growth: delayed, terminal divergences that emerge only after prolonged training, which we call time-bomb spikes. We find that these instabilities are preceded by rapidly growing quantization error in the LM head, which eventually culminates in a loss spike. Crucially, reducing numerical precision accelerates time-bomb spikes, while increasing precision improves stability. We then propose a simple yet effective mitigation that replaces AdamW on the LM head with SGD with momentum, suppressing logit growth and improving stability over long training horizons. Finally, we find that existing mitigation techniques from the literature (along with our own) all reduce quantization error, suggesting a shared numerical mechanism behind their effectiveness. Together, our results identify finite precision error as a hidden driver of time-bomb spikes and show that suppressing this error is key to stable long-horizon pretraining.
Au Kwok Chun, Abhigyan Acherjee, Amrutha Rao, Zaiqian Chen, Kazem Meidani, C. Bayan Bruss, Micah Goldblum
A slew of recent works develop agents for solving research problems end-to-end, a paradigm increasingly referred to as autoresearch. Such agents have inspired large industry investment, motivated by their potential to automate time-consuming human labor and customize machine learning solutions for specialized applications. In this paper, we study the modeling pipeline at the core of these autoresearch systems and identify common failure modes when they are applied to tabular datasets: (1) they waste compute resolving the same bugs over and over again; (2) they often fail to tune hyperparameters even when they have a large remaining compute budget; (3) the tree-search algorithms that power them do not explore; and (4) they perform data analysis, mimicking the humans whose data they are trained on, but do not use that analysis to make downstream decisions. We explore targeted interventions and find that a global debug consultant that shares discovered runtime constraints across all branches of the search tree, prompt- and control-level enhancements, and refined tree-search algorithms successfully recover wasted compute. Our results show that large gains in autoresearch agent performance are achievable through agentic design alone, holding the underlying language model fixed.