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新论文 · v1arXiv:2611.07464

FINCOSMOS: An Open-World Evaluation Paradigm for Agents in Finance

Yupeng Cao, Xueqing Peng, Lingfei Qian, Haohang Li, Yangyang Yu, Anke Xu, Wenbo Cao, Yan Wang 等 17 位作者

原文摘要

Language agents increasingly work for users on the open Web, and finance is where trusting them is hardest. The data must come from the Web, the strategy lives in the user's head, and correctness depends on time, so an agent can fail silently: a strategy the user never asked for, unverified data, or a backtest that uses the future yields a report as convincing as a correct one. Existing benchmarks close the world somewhere, fixing the task, the data, or the timeline, and thereby remove these failures instead of measuring them. We introduce FINCOSMOS, an open-world evaluation paradigm for agents doing financial work. A simulated user holds a hidden strategy sampled from a compositional grammar and reveals it only when asked. The agent receives no data, so it must acquire data from the Web, build its own backtest under a data cutoff, and deliver verifiable results. Grading needs no reference answer. Programs verify point-in-time correctness and recompute every reported metric, the delivered strategy is checked against the hidden specification, and a run is accepted only when the user is satisfied and none of 15 veto checks fails. Across four coding agents and a model without tools in 150 sessions, no session is accepted: every session that the simulated user signed off fails a program check, and agents raise only 54--64\% of the details they were not told. Human experts attribute 88.33\% of failures to the agents. With FINCOSMOS feedback, an agent with persistent memory learned all ten tasks.

cs.AI · cs.CL · q-fin.CP

新论文 · v1arXiv:2611.06808

LLMs 不知道自己知道什么:面向金融回测的时间自知识基准测试

LLMs Don't Know What They Know: Benchmarking Temporal Self-Knowledge for Financial Backtesting

Lingfei Qian, Yan Wang, Xueqing Peng, Yupeng Cao, Yuechen Jiang, Zhuohan Xie, Anke Xu, Wenbo Cao 等 15 位作者

AI 速读 基于摘要

作者提出 FinDendro 基准,检验大语言模型对自身时间性知识边界的自述是否可信,并发现自述普遍低估其实际知识。

cs.CL

查看原文摘要

Financial backtests of large language models (LLMs) are meaningful only if the model did not already know the outcomes it is asked to predict. Practitioners guard against this by trusting a vendor's stated knowledge cutoff, by asking the model what it knows, or by instructing it to answer as of a past date. To verify whether any of these safeguards can be trusted, we introduce FinDendro, a benchmark of 2,226 dated U.S. facts from 1999 to 2026, covering monthly macroeconomic series, month-end stock prices and Federal Reserve decisions. Each fact yields four prompts: a value question, Recall and Predict questions that pair each candidate value with a claim of knowing or guessing without a declared date, and a Predict question with a historical declared date. Controls for persistence and dominant outcomes keep chance accuracy near 0.27. Results show that for most frontier models, self-reports understate knowledge. GPT-5 answers 76% of controlled facts correctly but claims to know 38%, and answers 61% of the facts it says it does not know. Knowledge claims can persist beyond the measured knowledge boundary, by up to seven quarters, and a declared date removes most of the claims of prior knowledge while leaving accuracy unchanged. Backtests inside a model's training window therefore cannot be certified leak-free by self-report, instruction or stated cutoff. These findings motivate behavioral measurement of temporal knowledge boundaries, and FinDendro provides a benchmark and procedure for selecting backtest periods based on demonstrated factual knowledge.

新论文 · v1arXiv:2611.06444

EvoGuard: Mitigating Degradation in Online Skill Evolution

Yanli Wang, Zichen Bai, Tianyue Jiang, Kunming Shao, Junhao Shi, Xueqin Liu, Jinguo Sun, Muye Li 等 15 位作者

原文摘要

Skills let language agents reuse experience across tasks as natural-language documents. Recent work evolves skills from interaction, but existing methods have limitations when skills evolve online. Prior methods update a skill offline from a batch of trajectories collected over many tasks. Some then adopt the new skill without any check, which can degrade the skill over time. Others keep it only if it improves performance on a held-out validation set, which is too slow and costly to run after every update. We introduce EvoGuard, a pairwise skill selector that mitigates skill degradation at low latency and cost. We first run the agent iteratively to build pools of skills and score each skill on a private test set to obtain utility labels. We pair the skills and use rejection sampling to keep only pairs with a clear utility gap. The selector is trained on the logits of two label tokens to pick the better skill. At deployment it decides in a single forward pass, which is significantly faster than evaluation on the private test set. Compared with adopting every new skill, EvoGuard improves success by 11.0% on ALFWorld, 5.9% on ScienceWorld, and 2.7% on LiveCodeBench.

cs.CL

版本更新 · v2arXiv:2610.40726

Li$^{2}$SAO: Lifting Light Single-Rollout Asynchronous RL Optimization via Group-Relative Actor-Critic Bootstrapping

Zichen Bai, Yanli Wang, Yang Liu, Junhao Shi, Xueqin Liu, Jinguo Sun, Muye Li, Shaoqiang Zheng 等 12 位作者

原文摘要

Asynchronous reinforcement learning (RL) is becoming a mainstream paradigm for post-training large language models (LLMs), as it improves training efficiency by updating the model as rollouts arrive. Recent work argues that group-wise sampling in GRPO does not naturally fit asynchronous RL training because rollout lengths follow a long-tailed distribution, and proposes Single-rollout Asynchronous Optimization (SAO) to improve stability and off-policy behavior, especially on agentic tasks. However, SAO relies on a closed-source value model obtained from scaling value pretraining. In this paper, we analyze GRPO and LiSAO, our lightweight reproduction of SAO without the pretrained value model, on single-turn reasoning and multi-turn agentic tasks. We find that GRPO outperforms LiSAO on reasoning tasks, while the reverse holds on agentic tasks. Since the value model of LiSAO is not yet well trained , LiSAO lags behind GRPO substantially in early training steps. To address this issue, we propose Li$^{2}$SAO, which Lifts Light Single-rollout Asynchronous Optimization with group-relative actor-critic bootstrapping: while the critic is cold, a group-relative advantage trains the actor and a group-centered return trains the critic, after which training switches to single-rollout GAE. Experiments show that Li$^{2}$SAO catches up with or surpasses GRPO in early training and further raises the later performance ceiling. Code is available at https://github.com/jd-cc-coder/Li2SAO.

cs.CL · cs.LG

新论文 · v1arXiv:2610.35333

RepoTrace: Improving Requirement Tracing in Multi-Round Agent Interactions

Huanyu Liu, Yezheng Cheng, Jinliang You, Tianxiao Huang, Linyu Li, Zheng Fang, Peng Cao, Ge Li

原文摘要

Code agents have become increasingly capable of performing software engineering tasks through interaction with software environments. However, agents tend to degrade as the number of interaction rounds increases, making it difficult to maintain existing software during iterative modification. We analyze 2,656 agent trajectories in EvoCode-Bench and identify requirement focus misalignment as a recurring failure pattern, where agents struggle to distinguish the primary modification targets of a requirement from unrelated code. We propose Repotrace a requirement-driven repository understanding harness that combines repository structure with requirement semantics to construct a requirement-code correspondence and injects it into the agent context. This correspondence enables code agents to follow the repository architecture, trace requirements across multi-round interactions, and identify the core code elements corresponding to the current requirement. Experiments show that Repotrace improves the mean per-round reward (MPR) across different models (e.g., +19.99 on GLM-5.2) and agent harnesses (e.g., +10.22 on Claude Code). Across rounds, Repotrace increases the average per-round reward from 0.163 to 0.371 on Terminus-2 with DeepSeek-V4-Pro, while reducing average regression errors by 56.78%. We release the source code and agents' trajectories to support future research.

cs.SE · cs.AI

首次观测 · 记录 #1ACL Anthology · ACL 2026:acl:2026.acl-long.1841ACL Anthology · ACL 2026

Rethinking Depression Prediction from a Fine-Grained Subscore Modeling Perspective via Multi-Task Learning

Zhenguang Wang, Bo Li, Wenhui Tan, Peng Cao Northeastern University, Yang Wang, Jia Duan Nanjing Medical University, Fei Wang, Osmar Zaiane University of Alberta

原文摘要

Standard depression assessment relies on instruments such as the clinician-rated Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (HAMD) and the patient-reported Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ-8), but manual scoring is time-consuming and subject to inter-rater variability. Prior automated approaches typically regress a single total score or coarse severity category, lacking the fine-grained subscore-level supervision needed for precise clinical diagnosis. To address this, we propose MTSP (Multi-Task Subscore Prediction), a fine-grained model for subscore prediction via multi-task learning. MTSP achieves state-of-the-art performance on the public E-DAIC dataset (MAE 3.48, RMSE 4.57) and generalizes well to the public PDCH and a large-scale private clinical dataset (CIDH), outperforming total-score regression baselines and Qwen3-14B direct scoring. We further show that multi-task learning is essential, subscore-level supervision improves assessment by better capturing symptom-cluster structure, and prior constraints plus task-level self-paced learning enhance robustness to subscore difficulty and annotation noise.

cs.CL

Proceedings of the 64th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (Volume 1: Long Papers) · 2026 · 正式发表

首次观测 · 记录 #1ACL Anthology · ACL 2026:acl:2026.acl-long.492ACL Anthology · ACL 2026

All That Glisters Is Not Gold: A Benchmark for Reference-Free Counterfactual Financial Misinformation Detection

Yuechen Jiang, Zhiwei Liu, Yupeng Cao, Yueru He Columbia University, Ziyang Xu, Chen Xu, Zhiyang Deng, Prayag Tiwari Halmstad University 等 13 位作者

原文摘要

We introduce RFC-Bench, a benchmark for evaluating large language models on financial misinformation under realistic news. RFC-Bench operates at the paragraph level and captures the contextual complexity of financial news where meaning emerges from dispersed cues. The benchmark defines two complementary tasks: reference-free misinformation detection and comparison-based diagnosis using paired original–perturbed inputs. Experiments reveal a consistent pattern: performance is substantially stronger when comparative context is available, while reference-free settings expose significant weaknesses, including unstable predictions and elevated invalid outputs. These results indicate that current models struggle to maintain coherent belief states without external grounding. By highlighting this gap, RFC-Bench provides a structured testbed for studying reference-free reasoning and advancing more reliable financial misinformation detection in real-world settings.

cs.CL

Proceedings of the 64th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (Volume 1: Long Papers) · 2026 · 正式发表

首次观测 · 记录 #1ACL Anthology · ACL 2026:acl:2026.acl-long.770ACL Anthology · ACL 2026

MultiFinBen: Benchmarking Large Language Models for Multilingual and Multimodal Financial Application

Xueqing Peng Yale University, Lingfei Qian Yale University, Yan Wang Yale University, Ruoyu Xiang, Yueru He Columbia University, Yang Ren Yale University, Mingyang Jiang, Vincent Jim Zhang 等 47 位作者

原文摘要

Real-world financial analysis involves information across multiple languages and modalities, from reports and news to scanned filings and meeting recordings. Yet most existing evaluations of LLMs in finance remain text-only, monolingual, and largely saturated by current models. To bridge these gaps, we present MultiFinBen, the first expert-annotated multilingual (five languages) and multimodal (text, vision, audio) benchmark for evaluating LLMs in realistic financial contexts. MultiFinBen introduces two new task families: multilingual financial reasoning, which tests cross-lingual evidence integration from filings and news, and financial OCR, which extracts structured text from scanned documents containing tables and charts. Rather than aggregating all available datasets, we apply a structured, difficulty-aware selection based on advanced model performance, ensuring balanced challenge and removing redundant tasks. Evaluating 21 leading LLMs shows that even frontier multimodal models like GPT-4o achieve only 46.01% overall, stronger on vision and audio but dropping sharply in multilingual settings. These findings expose persistent limitations in multilingual, multimodal, and expert-level financial reasoning. All datasets, evaluation scripts, and leaderboards are publicly released.

cs.CL · cs.CV

Proceedings of the 64th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (Volume 1: Long Papers) · 2026 · 正式发表