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arXiv 最近完成扫描:等待完成 · 全站最近入库:2026-11-02 00:39各信源进度 →

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新论文 · v1arXiv:2610.38520

What Hallucinations Have We Measured? Semantic Illusion, Confabulation, and Expressed Uncertainty

Hazel H. Kim, Jakub Binkowski, Ekaterina Fadeeva, Juan David Guerra, Yijie Hao, Zheng Yi Ho, Baixiang Huang, Buyun Liang 等 25 位作者

Hallucination remains one of the most critical challenges in deploying large language models (LLMs) reliably and safely. Yet the term is used inconsistently across the research community. We argue for a strict definition of hallucinations in LLMs. First, hallucinations should be confident incorrectness, kept separate from expressed uncertainty (UNK)1. UNK reveals that the model may be wrong, whereas a hallucination does not reveal it and is therefore more dangerous in practice. Conflating the two obscures their distinct behaviors and makes them hard to study. Second, hallucinations should be split by a simple re-elicitation test: does any semantically equivalent prompt recover the correct response? This test probes whether the relevant knowledge2 is accessible. If none does, the knowledge is likely absent or inaccessible, and the error type is a confabulation (CF) that likely requires external knowledge or retraining; if some does, the knowledge is accessible from the model but applied inconsistently, and the error type is a semantic illusion (SI) that simple prompt or decoding changes can mitigate3. Re-evaluating 14 recent hallucination methods under this taxonomy yields three findings. (1) Detection methods flag UNK more often than hallucinated responses (i.e., SI and CF). (2) Mitigation methods are far more effective for SI than for CF. (3) Latent signals are more informative than output-level signals for CF. An audit of recent hallucination papers shows that most conflate these categories. We recommend reporting CF, SI, and UNK separately, and introduce a practical labeling protocol that needs only a modest number of semantically equivalent prompts.

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cs.CL
arXiv ↗PDF ↗
版本更新 · v2arXiv:2609.36054

What if automating AI R&D triggers an intelligence explosion?

Alan Chan, Christoph Winter, Andrew Barto, Jakub Pachocki, Geoffrey Hinton, Eric Horvitz, Yoshua Bengio, Dawn Song 等 22 位作者

In contrast to even a year ago, AI systems now write most of the code inside the companies that build them. As more of the AI research and development (R&D) pipeline is automated, could AI progress radically accelerate in an "intelligence explosion," where years of advances are compressed into months or less? Preliminary evidence suggests that it could. In this work, we assess this evidence, analyze an intelligence explosion's potential impacts, and propose policy responses. AI systems are on track to automate most AI R\&D work within a few years, and possibly all of it. If this triggers an intelligence explosion, it could dramatically bring forward AI's benefits, but also pose extreme risks: capabilities growth could accelerate far beyond what society can keep up with, humanity could lose control over superhuman AI systems, and checks on power within and between states, companies, and branches of government could be severely eroded. Although there remains much uncertainty about these possibilities, the high stakes warrant serious further attention. Policymakers should urgently obtain more visibility into the automation of AI R&D, develop ways to steer and constrain an intelligence explosion, and prepare society to adapt to an intelligence explosion's impacts.

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cs.CY · cs.AI
arXiv ↗PDF ↗