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arXiv 最近完成扫描:2026-11-13 07:07 · 全站最近入库:2026-11-13 06:39各信源进度 →

统计口径与数据新鲜度

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版本更新 · v2arXiv:2603.05432

Ensembling Language Models with Sequential Monte Carlo

Robin Shing Moon Chan, Tianyu Liu, Samuel Kiegeland, Clemente Pasti, Jacob Hoover Vigly, Timothy J. O'Donnell, Ryan Cotterell, Tim Vieira

原文摘要

Combining the predictions of multiple models is one of the most effective strategies in machine learning. Thus, it is only natural to investigate the ensembling of language models (LMs). However, because LMs define distributions over strings, a proper ensemble requires aggregating predictions at the string level, which requires a computation that is generally intractable. In this work, we cast LM ensembling as an inference problem and propose the deployment of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC), an appropriate approximate inference scheme. Concretely, we introduce a unified framework for composing multiple LMs into ensemble distributions parameterized by a broad family of aggregation functions. To sample from these distributions, we introduce an SMC algorithm that operates in a shared byte space, enabling ensembles of models with mismatching vocabularies and consistent sampling in the limit. We evaluate a range of ensembles across prompt and model combinations for various text generation tasks, finding that consensus-seeking strategies such as the product consistently outperform probability averaging, and that better posterior approximations can yield better ensemble performance.

cs.CL · cs.AI · cs.LG

首次观测 · 记录 #1ACL Anthology · ACL 2026:acl:2026.acl-long.1485ACL Anthology · ACL 2026

On the Proper Treatment of Units in Surprisal Theory

Samuel Kiegeland ETHZ - ETH Zurich, Vésteinn Snæbjarnarson University of Copenhagen, Tim Vieira Department of Computer Science, ETHZ - ETH Zurich, Ryan Cotterell

原文摘要

Surprisal theory links human processing effort to the predictability of an upcoming linguistic unit, but empirical work often leaves the notion of a unit underspecified. In practice, experimental stimuli are segmented into linguistically motivated units (e.g., words), while pretrained language models assign probability mass to a fixed token alphabet that typically does not align with those units. As a result, surprisal-based predictors depend implicitly on ad hoc procedures that conflate two distinct modeling choices: the definition of the unit of analysis and the choice of regions of interest over which predictions are evaluated. In this paper, we disentangle these choices and give a unified framework for reasoning about surprisal over arbitrary unit inventories. We argue that surprisal-based analyses should make these choices explicit and treat tokenization as an implementation detail rather than a scientific primitive.

cs.CL

Proceedings of the 64th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (Volume 1: Long Papers) · 2026 · 正式发表

首次观测 · 记录 #1ACL Anthology · ACL 2026:acl:2026.acl-long.575ACL Anthology · ACL 2026

Probing for Reading Times

Eleftheria Tsipidi ETHZ - ETH Zurich, Samuel Kiegeland ETHZ - ETH Zurich, Francesco Ignazio Re Department of Computer Science, ETHZ - ETH Zurich, Tianyang Xu Toyota Technological Institute at Chicago, Mario Giulianelli University College London, University of London, Karolina Stanczak ETHZ - ETH Zurich and McGill University, McGill University, Ryan Cotterell

原文摘要

Probing has shown that language model representations encode rich linguistic information, but it remains unclear whether they also capture cognitive signals about human processing. In this work, we probe language model representations for human reading times. Using regularized linear regression on two eye-tracking corpora spanning five languages (English, Greek, Hebrew, Russian, and Turkish), we compare the representations from every model layer against scalar predictors—surprisal, information value, and logit-lens surprisal. We find that the representations from early layers outperform surprisal in predicting early-pass measures such as first fixation and gaze duration. The concentration of predictive power in the early layers suggests that human-like processing signatures are captured by low-level structural or lexical representations, pointing to a functional alignment between model depth and the temporal stages of human reading. In contrast, for late-pass measures such as total reading time, scalar surprisal remains superior, despite its being a much more compressed representation. We also observe performance gains when using both surprisal and early-layer representations. Overall, we find that the best-performing predictor varies strongly depending on the language and eye-tracking measure.

cs.CL

Proceedings of the 64th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (Volume 1: Long Papers) · 2026 · 正式发表