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新论文 · v1arXiv:2611.11965

ChainCheck: Near-Perfect Evidence-Sufficiency Scores Can Conceal Sensitivity to Construction Artifacts -- Paired Conditional Contrasts that Expose an Evaluation Confound

Hyojung Han, Ryangkyung Kang, Youngeun Kim, Seung-Hun Jeon

原文摘要

Evidence-sufficiency benchmarks ask whether a model can tell a complete passage set from one whose reasoning chain is broken. When broken sets are made by editing text, near-perfect sufficiency scores--and even positive crossed-control scores--need not demonstrate multi-hop reasoning. We present ChainCheck, an evaluation-validity audit that pairs validator-certified counterfactual cells with artifact-only baselines. In an exploratory crossed control on 2,214 HotpotQA pairs, a language-model scorer that never reads the chain reaches a nominal AUC of 0.997, and a one-string match reaches the maximum of the crossed chain-sensitivity statistic CS4 (0.500), while the 11 evaluated systems score from 0.308 to 0.484; the two statistics are different metrics. We therefore read positive CS4 as operational bridge-consistency sensitivity, not as semantic multi-hop reasoning. Every system is also sensitive to one extra edit, and the edits are detectable according to model-based naturalness ratings. On an independent HotpotQA set of 2,276 pairs, patterns pre-specified on MuSiQue and 2WikiMultiHopQA did not replicate: 5 of 6 trained readouts were edit-dominated, and the reference judge's selectivity interval [-0.007, +0.042] includes zero. Judge scores also depended on batch layout. The MuSiQue and 2Wiki records are public; the HotpotQA records and the fine-tuned checkpoints are not, so external reproduction is partial.

cs.AI

新论文 · v1arXiv:2611.11892

When Answer Decodability Is Not a Decision: Separating Final-Answer and Imminent-Emission Signals in Chain-of-Thought

Hyojung Han, Jongmin Kim, Seung-Hun Jeon

原文摘要

Answer probes applied to chain-of-thought hidden states are often read as evidence that a language model has already decided its final response. This reading overlooks a competing signal, the candidate the model is about to mention. We introduce emission-controlled dual-target probing (ECDP), which fits the same low-rank reader family separately to the imminent mention and to the final answer at identical positions, with target-specific nulls and thresholds fixed before any fit. On correct DecisionDepth (DD) rollouts in which a distractor is mentioned before the final answer, Qwen3.5-4B decodes the next mention at .966 (null .234) but the final answer only at .221 (null .186), an emission gap of .696 [.648, .744]; Llama-3.1-8B gives .575 [.514, .632]. This pattern is not universal. In a pre-specified evaluation of Qwen3-8B with thinking enabled on held-out MMLU questions, using a full-prefix attention reader over every thinking position, both targets are decodable and the final answer is read far more strongly (mention-minus-answer lift -.398 [-.459, -.336] at layer 22 over 467 questions). Model, task, positions, and reader change together between these settings, and an attempted matched comparison on DD produced no valid statistics because the imminent-mention probe did not train reliably, so we do not identify what reverses the order. On DD, planted-signal controls show that the reader recovers an injected final-answer signal at one tenth of full dose. Answer-candidate decodability is therefore target-relative and protocol-dependent: a strong answer readout does not by itself establish when a model commits, and a probe that fails to train is not evidence that the information is absent. ECDP is a practical control for distinguishing imminent text emission from evidence of a settled decision.

cs.LG · cs.CL