Elucidating the Design Space of LM Data Attribution
Steven Yu, Sheng-Yu Wang, Kimia Hamidieh, Antonio Torralba, David Bau
AI 速览：作者提出可控归因基准 CATT，通过合成虚构知识隔离数据集属性，并发现负对数几率梯度与仅聚合关键 token 能显著提升事实溯源归因效果。
Data attribution methods for Language Models (LMs) are typically evaluated using downstream tasks like fact retrieval. However, existing evaluations vary multiple dataset properties simultaneously, making it impossible to isolate exactly why an attribution algorithm fails. To diagnose these failures, we explore the design space of LLM data attribution, with a primary focus on evaluation. We introduce the Controlled Attribution Benchmark (CATT) for fact tracing, in which we fine-tune LLMs on entirely fictitious knowledge, providing unambiguous ground truth for attribution. This synthetic setup allows us to systematically alter one dataset configuration at a time, such as document redundancy and lexical distractors. With this configurable evaluation, we demonstrate that redundancy and distractors consistently degrade attribution performance. Rather than proposing a new estimator, we examine two design choices that are underexplored: the loss used to compute gradients and how per-token attribution scores are aggregated into a document score. We find that the true causal evidence within a training document is highly localized, but standard methods dilute this evidence into noise by averaging attribution scores across the entire document. We find that replacing standard cross-entropy loss gradients with the negative log-odds gradients surfaces the critical tokens from other uninformative ones. We can then aggregate only the top token scores to improve ground truth recall by 35 to 72 percentage points across multiple baselines on our diagnostic benchmark. The negative log-odds correction also generalizes to FTRACE-TREX, improving counterfactual retraining performance for every method we test, by up to 4.9x.
Probing Spatial State Representations in Visual Foundation Models
Baiqiao Yin, Zhongang Cai, Ruisi Wang, Qiwei Liang, Lei Yang, Ziwei Liu
AI 速览：该研究通过四个层级的冻结特征探针，检验视觉基础模型在流式自我中心观测下是否具备可维持、可预测更新并可用于目标导向动作的空间状态表征。
An observer sees only part of the surrounding world, yet must keep track of what lies beyond the current view. Spatial perception therefore involves more than recognizing individual images: it calls for a persistent spatial state that is updated under self-motion and used to guide action. Do visual foundation models provide representations that support such a state? We study this question through four levels of spatial capability---spatial structure, object persistence, predictive spatial update, and actionability---using frozen-feature probes on ten representations under streaming egocentric observations of static indoor environments. The resulting capability profiles vary across tasks, network layers, and prefix lengths: strong readout of the visible scene does not ensure accurate object persistence or future-feature retrieval. Matched controls separate readout accuracy from reliance on visual history and motion. Native future prediction retains recoverable spatial structure, but a spatial reader trained on real features does not transfer to predicted features unchanged. Finally, goal-dependent candidate selection does not establish reliable continuous action utility: predicted actions respond to goal changes, yet supplying the correct goal does not reliably improve progress. Across the four levels, object persistence and actionability build on camera-pose readout, whereas feature prediction builds on visible-scene readout. Together, these findings motivate evaluating spatial representations not only by what can be decoded from them, but by whether that information is maintained beyond observation, updated predictively, and used for goal-directed action.
Testimony from Timelines: Evidence-Grounded Significance Testing of Temporal Clinical Hypotheses
Chengyang He, Wenlong Zhang, Koduvayur Subbalakshmi, Ping Wang
AI 速览：提出STRATA基准和ART范式，对临床时间假设的显著性检验过程进行逐步评分，揭示模型主要失败于证据选择而非结论。
Ask a language model whether sales tend to dip after a product recall, or whether one side effect tends to follow another after a vaccine, and it answers in a fluent sentence that reads like a finding, with no test behind it. Assertions about how events unfold across many cases fill the Web, and each is a temporal hypothesis that only a significance test over the right records can settle. The verifier must specify the null, select the test and decide which records bear on the hypothesis, and any of these choices can go wrong while the conclusion still comes out right. Yet benchmarks for language-model data analysis grade only the conclusion, with the relevant data handed over. We study the problem in health, where a wrong verdict is costly, and present STRATA, a benchmark that grades every decision on the way to a verdict: 8,735 hypotheses over the clinical timelines of vaccine adverse-event reports, with gold plans, evidence sets, p-values and verdicts derived under a released codebook and reproduced by a deterministic oracle. We also propose ART (articulate, retrieve, test), a staged paradigm that exposes each decision as an inspectable output. Extensive experiments with five model configurations show that systems fail mostly at choosing which records count, a verdict-evidence gap that accuracy alone conceals. ART closes most of this gap and brings a 31B open model to within 0.01 of the frontier models under the same paradigm; the frontier models succeed once given the codebook.
HairDeck: Animation-Ready Stylized Hair Cards from a Single Image
Yuze He, Yixiang Wei, Wang Zhao, Chuhao Chen, Yanning Zhou, Yong-Jin Liu
AI 速览：HairDeck 将风格化发型视为无序的发片集合，用集合扩散 Transformer 从单张图像一次性生成发片及其弹簧骨骼链，得到可直接导出的可动画资产。
The hair of stylized characters in games and avatars is built from hair cards: artist-placed ribbons whose geometry is the visible hair, animated by spring bones. Existing image-based methods produce realistic hair or a single fused mesh, while CHARM, the only generator of stylized hair cards, decodes a hairstyle autoregressively as a long sequence of control points. Observing that a card hairstyle is an unordered set of artist-defined primitives, we propose HairDeck, which generates it as one: each card is a single token, and a set diffusion transformer denoises all cards together. From a single image, HairDeck generates the cards and the spring-bone chains that drive them, yielding an animatable asset that exports to ready-to-use downstream formats. On CHARM's own test set, it lowers Chamfer distance by 44% and card-orientation error by more than half while running 33 times faster, and from single images it outperforms CHARM, image-to-3D pipelines and strand-based methods. Project page: https://hyzcluster.github.io/HairDeck
AI 速览：提出 Multi-View MoE，用多个路由器聚合专家选择偏好，并复用路由分数调制专家输入，在固定激活专家预算下提升下游性能。
Sparse mixture-of-experts (MoE) models expand parameter capacity by activating a small subset of experts per token. Expert selection directly affects model capabilities under a fixed active-expert budget. Dense evaluation of all experts reveals weak agreement between single-router rankings and expert-utility evaluation rankings, especially in middle and deep layers. Richer signals for selection and computation incur additional cost: selection based on internal expert activations requires preliminary computation, while processing multiple full representations separately through the same expert repeats its computation. We propose Multi-View MoE to improve expert selection with multiple routers and reuse their preferences to modulate expert computation under a fixed expert budget. Its Multi-Router submodule aggregates sigmoid scores from independently initialized routers. These routers develop highly differentiated expert preferences during training, allowing experts strongly favored by one router or jointly supported by several routers to be selected. Multi-View further uses each selected expert's relative scores across routers to mix learned latent views into its input, reusing routing preferences for both selection and computation. Each selected expert executes one forward pass, preserving the active-expert count, expert FLOPs, and all-to-all communication volume. On a 24-layer 10B-A1B model trained on 708B tokens, full Multi-View MoE improves the nine-task downstream mean by 1.18 percentage points over the baseline. Multi-Router alone yields a 0.6-percentage-point gain and improves the rank correlation between router scores and evaluated expert utility, with relative increases of 8.1% globally and approximately 58% in the layer with the lowest single-router alignment. Controlled mixing interventions show the model uses input differences that depend on both the expert and the token.
AI 速览：PIVOT 将教师生成的纠正片段插入学生 rollout，并对这些片段施加 token 级 KL 监督，与 RLVR 目标联合训练，以缓解困难推理任务中稀疏奖励无学习信号的问题。
Reinforcement learning from verifiable rewards (RLVR) is limited by sparse outcome-level feedback on hard reasoning tasks: when all rollouts in a group fail, rewards provide no learning signal. Stronger teachers can provide additional guidance, but this raises a central question: how can such signals be incorporated into RLVR to support successful rollouts while remaining learnable for the student? We distinguish two complementary mechanisms: trajectory-level intervention, which improves access to reward-bearing trajectories, and token-level supervision, which provides dense targets to guide student learning. Our controlled experiments show that either mechanism alone can remain insufficient, motivating their combination. We therefore introduce PIVOT, which inserts teacher-generated corrections into student rollouts and applies token-level KL supervision to these segments alongside the RLVR objective. Beyond their combination, we systematically analyze where to intervene and how to supervise, yielding a recipe for effective guidance. Across hard logic games and mathematical reasoning benchmarks, PIVOT consistently outperforms existing methods, nearly doubling mean avg@8 on logic games from 19.5% for the best-performing baseline to 35.6%.
"Deep lifts": Neural networks can generalize even with the dumbest optimizer
Sunil Madhow, Yu-Xiang Wang
AI 速览：作者研究在插值数据的参数中均匀随机选取的过参数化 ReLU 网络参数，证明其泛化速率由解释数据的更小网络的规模决定，而非由完整假设类的 VC 维决定。
Given a labeled dataset $\{(x_i, y_i)\}_{i = 1}^n$, consider drawing a parameter vector $\hatθ$ uniformly at random from those that interpolate the data within a width-$W$ depth-$D$ ReLU architecture with continuous weights bounded within $[-M, M]$. We study the generalization properties of $\hatθ$ in the case where the dataset can, in fact, be explained by a smaller $w$-by-$d$ ReLU network. Despite the obliviousness of the selection rule for $\hatθ$, it adaptively generalizes at the rate $\tilde O\left(\frac{wdWD}{n}\right)$, rather than being governed by the VC dimension of the full $W$-by-$D$ hypothesis class. The reason is due to a particular inductive bias in ReLU networks: the $w$-by-$d$ parameter *witnesses* an exponential volume of $W$-by-$D$ interpolating parameters, which dwarfs the volume of poorly generalizing parameters (conditioned on interpolation). We explicitly construct this set of near-equivalent $W$-by-$D$ parameters by a proof technique called *deep lifting*, and then tie the achievable volume to stability properties of the $w$-by-$d$ witness. Examples show that these techniques allow us to convert approximation-theoretic results into generalization guarantees for nonparametric classes. We further show that generalization of uniform-random interpolators can survive label corruptions.
AI 速览：作者提出基于大语言模型的智能体 ClinGeX，通过检索与依赖感知编排 105 个可执行技能来辅助临床基因组解读，并在基准与人类-AI 协作研究中报告了优于对照的表现。
Clinical genomic analysis requires experts to integrate evolving guidelines, databases, and computational evidence. As sequencing has become increasingly accessible, this complex and labor-intensive process has become a major bottleneck to the timely use of genomic information in clinical decision-making. To fill this gap, we developed ClinGeX, a large-language-model agent that composes 105 curated executable skills through task-specific retrieval and dependency-aware orchestration. On 223 temporally held-out benchmark cases, ClinGeX achieved 71.7\% macro-averaged task-level concordance with expert reference classifications, compared with 45.7\% for the strongest comparator. In a three-condition, counterbalanced human-AI collaboration study, 45 clinical genomic professionals assessed 135 clinically derived cases under routine (no AI assistance), DeepSeek-assisted and ClinGeX-assisted conditions. ClinGeX assistance increased raw case-level concordance across criterion-level variant analysis, genomic interpretation in rare disease and molecular oncology decision-making (51.1\%, 57.8\%, 64.4\% versus 15.6\%, 31.1\%, 20.0\% in comparator conditions) and reduced reported interpretation time in all scenarios. During an exploratory one-month real-world non-interventional assessment, 11 experienced professionals submitted feedback on 96 self-selected analysis episodes and reported frequent conclusion adoption and time savings. These findings support executable domain skills as a promising approach to augment specialist genomic interpretation.
Hippo: Training-Free Agent Self-Evolution via Hippocampal Replay
Yutong Song, Jiang Wu, Yuxuan Ren, Tony Qin, Baoyuan Wang
AI 速览：受海马选择性编码与回放启发，Hippo 通过比较同一任务的多次尝试来提炼可复用经验，并在不更新模型参数的情况下实现 LLM 智能体的外部记忆学习。
Motivated by recursive self-improvement (RSI), we study how LLM agents can learn through external memory without updating model parameters. Extracting useful experience from a single attempt is difficult: flawed reasoning can produce success, while poor execution can obscure a sound strategy. Preserving its value over time is also difficult: our accumulation baseline without consolidation initially improves but eventually performs below a no-memory baseline. Our key idea is to compare attempts at the same task to identify reusable decisions and refine when they apply. We introduce Hippo, a memory framework inspired by selective hippocampal encoding and replay that learns from these comparisons when shortcomings are diagnosed. It compares the resulting experience with existing memory to merge overlaps and resolve conflicts through explicit applicability conditions. This allows prior guidance to be revised without storing every lesson as a separate entry. Experiments on SWE-bench Verified, WebArena, and Mind2Web show performance gains in all three settings and substantially fewer retained experiences than the accumulation baseline. The gains extend across the evaluated base models of varying capabilities, indicating that memory-based adaptation remains useful even for highly capable models.
AI 速览：VitronEdit 提出一个统一框架，用共享序列表示和渐进式多模态训练，把图像与视频编辑知识迁移到数据稀缺的3D场景编辑。
Recent advances in unified visual editing have begun to consolidate image and video editing within a single model, while 3D scene editing remains largely separate and constrained by scarce paired training data. Given the rich image and video editing supervision now available and the common editing semantics shared across modalities, a natural question is whether this knowledge can be transferred to data-scarce 3D editing. We present VitronEdit, a universal framework for image, video, and 3D scene editing. VitronEdit adopts a shared sequence representation and progressive multimodal training to transfer editing knowledge across modalities. We further introduce geometry-aware post-training, which leverages a pretrained geometry reconstruction model to provide depth and camera-pose supervision. Surprisingly, applying geometric supervision only to 3D samples yields the best overall performance, while image and video editing also improve despite receiving no direct geometric supervision, suggesting that geometric regularization transfers through the shared backbone. Our analysis further shows that image and video training mainly transfers editing semantics to 3D, whereas 3D supervision primarily improves multi-view consistency. The project page: https://vitron-llm.github.io/VitronEdit/.
AI 速览：提出一种以学习者参与为核心的多智能体组织框架，并在 Agentic University 中实现，用可修订的“能力项目”把个人目标、学习活动与分层评估串联起来。
Large language models support personalized tutoring, content generation, and adaptive learning paths. However, capability development requires these resources and interactions to form a coherent learning process that evolves with the learner. A central challenge is to align goals, activities, and assessment while using learning evidence to decide what should follow. We introduce Human-Participatory Multi-Agent Organization and instantiate it in Agentic University (AU). In AU, learners participate as organization members and work with specialized agents to maintain a revisable Capability Program. The program connects personal goals, learning activities across modalities, and layered assessment, while learner feedback and performance guide subsequent support. Our evaluation shows advantages in program organization, assessment design, and revision quality. Users achieved larger mean assessment gains (12.19 versus 5.61 points on a 50-point scale) and reported stronger cognitive support. This work contributes an organizational approach to adaptive learning that makes learner participation a continuing basis for multi-agent coordination. The Agentic University project is available at \href{https://github.com/AgenticOrgLab/AgenticUniversity.git}.
Fast and accurate neural triage decoding of ultra-high-rate quantum LDPC codes
Hong-Ye Hu, Zhenlai Wang, Binzhao Luo, Tao Xiang, Chen Zhao
AI 速览：提出神经分诊解码框架，用综合征一致性自适应分配神经计算，在高码率qLDPC码上兼顾近最优精度与大幅降低的解码延迟。
Quantum error correction is essential for fault-tolerant quantum computing. High-rate quantum low-density parity-check (qLDPC) codes have emerged as a promising approach to reducing the substantial physical qubit overhead of quantum error correction, enabling encoding rates exceeding $1/2$ in blocks of approximately one thousand physical data qubits. However, their practical implementation requires decoders that combine high accuracy with low latency to keep pace with quantum hardware. Existing decoders of high-rate qLDPC codes can achieve high accuracy but often incur substantial computational latency, whereas neural network decoders have yet to be demonstrated for high-rate qLDPC codes. Here, we introduce \emph{neural triage decoding}, a framework that uses syndrome consistency to adaptively allocate neural computation. A local neural message-passing network rapidly predicts error corrections, additional iterations reduce residual syndrome violations, and a rarely invoked diversification stage searches for consistent corrections to the remaining shots. We demonstrate that the \texttt{Triage} decoder can decode ultra-high-rate qLDPC codes encoding a few hundred logical qubits, including lifted-product and Kasai codes, achieving state-of-the-art accuracy comparable to the near optimal algorithmic decoders while reducing decoding latency by approximately one to two orders of magnitude. Our framework is inspired by a rigorous analysis of the exact bitwise marginal decoder, revealing a distance-independent syndrome-inconsistent error floor. In addition, we show the robustness of neural network decoders to mismatched error priors. Our results establish adaptive neural decoding as a promising route towards fast, accurate, and scalable quantum error correction in the near term.
Training language models in simulation for psychiatric intake
Samuel Schmidgall, Tim Strother, Alex Bijamov, Min Woo Sun, Anil Palepu, Akshay Goel, Ulysse Marteau-Ferey, Théo Moutakanni 等 56 位作者
AI 速览：作者报告，在模拟环境中进行多轮强化学习训练，可提升语言模型在结构化精神科接诊中的表现，包括病史采集、鉴别诊断和初始管理计划。
In psychiatric practice, the clinical intake interview remains a primary diagnostic instrument, requiring the clinician to establish rapport while disentangling complex, overlapping presentations. Here, we show that multi-turn reinforcement learning (RL) in simulation environments improves language model performance on structured text-based psychiatric intake, spanning history-taking, differential diagnosis, and initial management planning. In a randomized, double-blind crossover study ($N = 60$ matched scenario pairs, 120 encounters) comparing the RL-trained agent against its identically prompted base model, 32 board-certified psychiatrists role-played standardized patients while a separate panel of 15 independent, board-certified psychiatrists scored the de-identified transcripts. The trained agent outperformed the base model in 76.7% of matched scenario pairs ($p < 0.0001$), with gains on an adapted clinical-examination rubric ($d_z = 0.77$, $p < 0.0001$), patient-centered communication (82.0% vs. 65.2%, $p < 0.001$), and differential diagnosis appropriateness (68.3% vs. 33.3%, $p < 0.001$). Across 127 psychiatrist-validated simulated intake scenarios, the trained agent nearly doubled its base model's clinical rubric score (0.706 vs. 0.379; composite reward 0.564 vs. 0.294, $p < 0.0001$). To systematically probe conversational safety, we established two Delphi-consensus taxonomies, of clinical safety risks and relational competencies, from which 256 challenging adversarial presentations were derived; we find that training in simulation environments more than halved under-triage of acute safety risks (12.9% vs. 30.5%, $p < 0.0001$). Simulation environments thus provide a controlled testbed for training and stress-testing psychiatric conversational agents, with gains that transferred to psychiatrist-enacted encounters, though residual gaps require safeguards and clinician oversight.
AI 速览：作者构建了迄今规模最大的真实图像婴儿姿态数据集 InfantNet，并建立婴儿 2D 关键点检测与 3D 姿态形状恢复基准。
Infant pose and shape estimation is essential for applications in childcare, developmental monitoring, and medical diagnosis. However, existing methods and datasets are largely designed for adults, and direct transfer to infants fails due to substantial differences in body proportions, articulation limits, and frequent self-occlusion. To address this gap, we introduce InfantNet, the largest real-image infant dataset to date, comprising 108,902 RGB images of infants aged 6-18 months. Each image is annotated with 2D keypoints, and a curated subset of 11,642 images additionally includes 3D pose and shape annotations with full SMIL parameters, verified through multi-view rendering and reprojection-error filtering. We use an iterative annotation pipeline to ensure high fidelity across both 2D and 3D labels. InfantNet establishes a large-scale, comprehensive benchmark for infant 2D keypoint detection and 3D pose-and-shape recovery. Baseline experiments demonstrate that state-of-the-art adult pose estimators do not generalize well to infants, whereas fine-tuning on InfantNet yields a consistent improvement. The gains are even more pronounced for 3D pose and shape estimation, where SMIL-based estimation demonstrates robust performance with accuracy comparable to results reported for SMPL-based models. By releasing the InfantNet dataset and benchmark, we provide a vital resource for advancing infant pose analysis and related healthcare applications.
Learning developmental dynamics from lineage context
Gokul Gowri, Nic Fishman, William N. Colgan, Minming Wang, Yusuke Kijima, Sachin A. Kumar, Aleksandr Zimin, Luke W. Koblan 等 13 位作者
AI 速览：作者提出“谱系修补”（lineage inpainting）生成建模方法，利用树结构Transformer与随机插值从谱系上下文预测细胞状态动态。
A central goal of biology is to predict the dynamics of multicellular systems. Lineage context (the states of a cell's sisters, cousins, etc.) could inform these predictions, but how best to leverage it remains unclear. Here we introduce lineage inpainting, a generative modeling approach that uses lineage context with tree-structured transformers and stochastic interpolants to model cell state dynamics across lineage trees. Applied to a lineage-traced transcriptional atlas of mouse embryogenesis, it recovers dynamics not resolved by gene expression alone, including multiple transcriptional convergence events where distinct lineages are drawn to a common state. Despite being fit on unperturbed development, lineage inpainting can generate hypotheses about perturbation responses by simulating counterfactuals. These simulations agree in many cases with observed developmental phenotypes, including a single-cell measurement of the Tbx5 knockout response. Our results show that lineage information provides a rich source of context for learning multicellular dynamics.
A Pretrained Model for Bayesian Filtering in Heterogeneous Dynamical Systems
Ke Fan, Wen Wu, Haitao Su, Yilin Wang, Yuan Zhou, Chao Zhang
AI 速览：提出首个面向贝叶斯滤波的预训练模型 FilterFM，用单一检查点跨异构动力系统估计隐状态，并报告零样本滤波与缩放行为。
Filtering has not yet had its foundation-model moment: state estimation is still dominated either by online Bayesian filtering algorithms that require known dy- namics as inputs, or by learning-based neural filters trained from scratch for a single system or parametric family. The core challenge is structural heterogene- ity: dynamical systems differ in their governing dynamics, physical scales, and noise levels, precluding a shared representation space for a reusable filter. To bridge this gap, we introduce FilterFM, the first pretrained model for Bayesian filtering that estimates latent states across heterogeneous dynamical systems with a single checkpoint. FilterFM employs a hierarchical two-level observation se- quence encoder and a prior-to-posterior state-reconstruction module that together handle varying observation and state dimensions across heterogeneous systems, while modeling state uncertainty via quantile prediction. Trained on a mixture of heterogeneous filtering tasks, FilterFM exhibits superior in-domain performance, delivering significant gains in estimation accuracy, runtime efficiency, and noise robustness compared to existing baselines. Beyond in-domain performance, it marks the first model to successfully enable zero-shot filtering on unseen dynamics, bridging the generalization gap in state estimation. Furthermore, we uncover clear scaling behaviors in foundation-model-based Bayesian filtering, which combined with comprehensive component ablation studies, validate the structural optimality of our design and broaden the generalization scope for this research field.
Riemannian Lyapunov Framework: Optimization as Closed Loop Control on Riemannian Manifolds
Yixuan Wang, Omkar Sudhir Patil, Warren E. Dixon
AI 速览：提出黎曼李雅普诺夫框架（RLF），把一阶优化统一表述为黎曼参数流形上的闭环受控动力系统，并给出收敛性分析。
We introduce the Riemannian Lyapunov Framework (RLF), a unified framework that represents first order optimization as a closed loop controlled dynamical system on a Riemannian parameter manifold. Within this framework, optimizers are specified by a quadruple $(M, g, Φ, η)$ consisting of a Riemannian metric, an internal state transition map, a direction field generator, and a lifting parameter. Classical and modern methods including SGD, Adam, AdamW, Lion and Shampoo are recovered as specific instantiations of this quadruple. The central structural object of the framework is a time indexed family of target submanifolds in the extended state space of parameters, velocities, and internal memory, which we call the Normally Attracting Invariant Manifold (NAIM) family. These submanifolds organize training dynamics into two timescales: a fast contraction of the velocity state onto the current target submanifold, followed by a slow descent along it. Using Riemannian backstepping, we construct a strict Lyapunov function on the extended state space and prove Uniform Ultimate Boundedness (UUB) of the optimization trajectory under a descent alignment assumption and bounded stochastic disturbances. Under the additional Polyak-Lojasiewicz (PL) condition, the Lyapunov function converges linearly to a bounded neighborhood of the optimum, defined as the drift of the target direction field between consecutive iterates after parallel transport. To validate the framework's generativity, we derive three concrete instantiations of the quadruple, each exercising a distinct design axis, and show on geometric diagnostics, image classification benchmarks, and language modeling that their empirical behavior matches the theoretical predictions. The framework casts optimizer design as controller synthesis, complementing heuristic perspectives by providing a constructive template with provable guarantees.
AI 速览：NECA 是一种与模型无关的方法：它检索早期窗口特征相似的历史患者，并将其后续器官功能障碍事件的发生时间转换为多时间跨度的累积事件曲线特征，再与原始患者表示拼接，供下游预测器使用。
Early prediction of ICU organ dysfunction events supports timely clinical monitoring and intervention, but estimating short-term organ-specific risk from early ICU records remains challenging due to irregular measurements, heterogeneous clinical variables, and the need to predict risk across multiple future horizons. Existing supervised models usually treat each patient as an isolated sample and do not explicitly use the observed event timing of similar historical patients. We propose Neighbor Event-Curve Augmentation (NECA), a model-agnostic method that retrieves training-set patients with similar early-window profiles and converts their subsequent organ dysfunction event onset times into cumulative event-curve features over 6h, 12h, 24h, and 42h. These features are concatenated with the original patient representation and used by standard downstream predictors. On PhysioNet 2012 and a 4,000-stay MIMIC-IV subset, NECA improves average PR-AUC and ROC-AUC across four organ dysfunction event tasks and seven supervised learners. The largest gain appears for neurological dysfunction events, where task-level average PR-AUC increases from 0.461 to 0.557 on PhysioNet 2012. Ablations show that clinically meaningful retrieval and horizon-specific neighbor risk drive most of the improvement, while the full cumulative curve adds task-dependent temporal context. These results support similar-patient event timing as a structured temporal risk signal for ICU organ dysfunction event prediction. The source code will be publicly released upon acceptance of this paper.
AI 速览：提出一种物理信息驱动的多分支多模态深度学习框架，用于10至110分钟前光伏功率概率预测，并报告其优于14个基线模型。
This work develops a physics-informed multimodal deep learning framework for 10- to 110-minute-ahead probabilistic photovoltaic power forecasting. The forecasting model is built on a four-branch architecture that separately encodes plant-level temporal history and inverter-level spatial cloud dynamics through a graph attention encoder with a learned adjacency, known-future solar geometry, and the current meteorological state, fused through gated cross-attention. The geometry branch adds two forward-looking physical signals, spatial cloud heterogeneity and inverter ramp-down activity, each empirically weighted toward the horizon where it is most predictive. The decoder anchors its prediction to a smart persistence baseline, learning a horizon-conditioned correction, and the resulting quantile forecasts are calibrated online through a kernel-weighted adaptive conformal calibration step. The proposed model outperforms all 14 baselines, achieving a forecast skill score (FSS) of 0.2950, 0.099 above the next-best model. A branch-composition ablation shows that every branch contributes positively and the model retains substantial skill in challenging overcast and variable sky conditions (FSS 0.198 and 0.255).
HiFOR: Hierarchical Foresight with Action-Guided World Grounding for Vision-Language-Action Model
Rongxing Ding, Hongyu Qu, Kehong Wu, Xudong Wang, Fan Zhang, Xinguang Xiang, Xiangbo Shu
AI 速览：HiFOR 提出层级前瞻预测与动作引导的世界检索框架，以增强视觉-语言-动作模型对短期动态和长期目标的联合建模能力。
Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models have demonstrated promising capabilities in robotic manipulation by integrating visual perception, language understanding, and action generation. Recent advances have further incorporated future prediction to enhance the understanding of environmental dynamics and task progression. However, existing methods often model short-term dynamics and long-term task objectives separately, while directly incorporating predicted futures into action policies without sufficiently considering their relevance to current action requirements. To address these limitations, we propose HiFOR, a hierarchical foresight framework with action-guided world retrieval. Specifically, Hierarchical Foresight Prediction jointly predicts short-term state evolution, semantic milestones, and final goal states through a Hierarchical Dependency Mask (HDM), establishing dependencies across temporal horizons. Building upon these predictions, Structure-Aware Latent World Modeling organizes future latent representations along the horizon, view, and spatial dimensions to facilitate fine-grained retrieval. Furthermore, Action-Guided Factorized World Retrieval adaptively retrieves relevant future information from the structured latent world based on evolving action representations during denoising, providing targeted guidance for action generation. Extensive experiments on two simulation benchmarks and six real-world robotic manipulation tasks demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach.
AI 速览：该研究考察由大生成模型构成的多智能体系统在共享资源竞争、顺序交接与集体决策等场景中自发出现的群体性失败模式。
Multi-agent systems composed of large generative models are rapidly moving from laboratory prototypes to real-world deployments, where they jointly plan, negotiate, and allocate shared resources to solve complex tasks. While such systems promise unprecedented scalability and autonomy, their collective interaction also gives rise to failure modes that cannot be reduced to individual agents. Understanding these emergent risks is therefore critical. Here, we present a pioneer study of such emergent multi-agent risk in workflows that involve competition over shared resources (e.g., computing resources or market share), sequential handoff collaboration (where downstream agents see only predecessor outputs), collective decision aggregation, and others. Across these settings, we observe that such group behaviors arise frequently across repeated trials and a wide range of interaction conditions, rather than as rare or pathological cases. In particular, phenomena such as collusion-like coordination and conformity emerge with non-trivial frequency under realistic resource constraints, communication protocols, and role assignments, mirroring well-known pathologies in human societies despite no explicit instruction. Moreover, these risks cannot be prevented by existing agent-level safeguards alone. These findings expose the dark side of intelligent multi-agent systems: a social intelligence risk where agent collectives, despite no instruction to do so, spontaneously reproduce familiar failure patterns from human societies.
Optimal Neural Estimation for High-Dimensional Nonparametric Regression under Multisource Covariate Shift
Chenghao Xu, Haotian Xu, Shivam Kumar, Daren Wang
AI 速览：研究多源协变量偏移下高维非参数回归，提出oracle加权神经估计并给出minimax最优收敛率，同时给出无需已知噪声方差与偏移参数的自适应方法。
We study high-dimensional nonparametric regression under multisource covariate shift, where $\mathrm J$ sources of training data share a common regression function but differ in their covariate distributions, sample sizes, and noise variances. Our goal is to combine these sources to estimate the regression function accurately under a target covariate distribution. We propose an oracle weighted neural estimator and establish its minimax optimality up to logarithmic factors through matching upper and lower bounds. The resulting rate is $\mathsf n_{\rm eff}^{-2p/(2p+K)}$, where $p$ and $K$ denote the effective smoothness and dimension of the regression function, and the effective sample size is \begin{align} \mathsf n_{\rm eff} =\sum_{j=1}^{\mathrm J} \frac{n_j}{(1+σ_{ρ,j})σ_{ε,j}^{2}}. \nonumber \end{align} Here, $n_j$ is the sample size of source $j$, $σ_{ε,j}^{2}$ is its noise variance, and $σ_{ρ,j}$ controls the deviation between the covariate distribution of source $j$ and the target covariate distribution. We also develop an adaptive procedure that requires no knowledge of source noise variances or covariate-shift parameters. Under suitable conditions, this procedure attains the oracle minimax rate up to logarithmic factors.
AI 速览：Rimuru 提出共享页池与内存视图机制，统一管理 LLM 服务中异构张量的内存，并通过弹性专家卸载提升吞吐、降低首 token 延迟。
Modern LLMs strain device memory through large model weights and attention states, particularly in resource-constrained scenarios. Existing systems separately provision memory for model weights and attention states, imposing fixed fixed boundaries that cannot adapt to the changing memory demands of workloads. Under heavy workloads, insufficient state capacity limits request concurrency and reduces throughput; under light workloads, idle memory in one region cannot be reallocated to another, wasting device memory. Meanwhile, modern LLM architectures introduce heterogeneous tensors with diverse layouts and lifetimes, further complicating memory management. These problems motivate unified memory management for heterogeneous tensors. However, a shared pool alone does not make memory directly reusable across tensors with different allocation granularities and execution layouts. This paper presents Rimuru, a modern LLM serving system that unifies memory management through elastic expert offloading. Rimuru establishes a shared page pool to enables elastic memory sharing across heterogeneous tensors. To accommodate different allocation granularities, Rimuru introduces memory views that allow each tensor type to interpret the shared memory space using its own page size and page table. Furthermore, Rimuru combines huge-page alignment with a multi-level page allocator that splits and merges pages, enabling cross-type capacity reuse. A page-table-aware fused MoE kernel directly accesses non-contiguous expert weights, avoiding copy overhead. Building on these mechanisms, Rimuru employs a workload-aware adjuster that dynamically reallocates pages across tensor types according to runtime demands. Implemented on top of vLLM, Rimuru remains compatible with modern LLMs. Evaluations show that Rimuru achieves up to 19.03x baseline throughput and reduces TTFT by 98.1% on average.
AI 速览：作者提出一种乐高兼容的气动人工肌肉模块及配套 MuJoCo 仿真器，用于快速搭建和探索可重构肌肉骨骼机器人。
Musculoskeletal robots combine compliant actuators with articulated skeletons, but exploring alternative configurations often requires repeated fabrication. We present MUSBRIC, a modular hardware platform and accompanying MuJoCo-based simulator for reconfigurable musculoskeletal robots. LEGO-compatible endcaps turn fiber-reinforced extensile pneumatic artificial muscles into reusable, plug-and-play muscle bricks that connect directly to standard LEGO components. Experimentally identified actuator behavior supports corresponding musculoskeletal simulations. An elbow-joint prototype validates load-dependent flexion and extension, showing that pulley-guided routing enables reversible motion and a mechanical stop stabilizes the straight posture. A robotic hand demonstrates compliant grasping and multi-joint construction. Matched hardware and simulation sweeps across 15 leg configurations demonstrate systematic exploration of attachment geometry, while a quadruped assembled from four legs demonstrates walking. Together, these demonstrations span mechanism analysis, configuration exploration, and functional robot construction within a single reconfigurable system. The hardware designs and simulation code will be released as open source soon to facilitate reproduction and further development.
Hongqi Chen, Chengwang Liao, Ziwei Mei, Zhentao Shi
LASSO is one of the most popular regularization methods for high-dimensional regression models. While cointegration is common in practical applications of predictive regressions with many regressors, the convex penalty of LASSO overly suppresses the coefficients of cointegrated regressors and therefore fails to deliver consistent parameter estimation. We employ folded concave penalties (FCP), including the well-known SCAD and MCP, to address this issue. Using FCP, we establish two asymptotic results: (i) a local oracle property for the penalized regression, and (ii) a global oracle property for regressions with a penalty-level constraint. In particular, the latter guarantees a global solution that consistently estimates the true coefficients and enjoys oracle prediction performance. Simulation studies and an application to predicting the euro area unemployment rate show that FCP improves variable selection and out-of-sample prediction relative to LASSO.
Building general game agents requires both high-level task reasoning and low-latency action control in rapidly changing visual environments. These capabilities favor models with substantially different computational profiles, making them difficult to realize within a single model. In this work, we present TaskFrame, a hierarchical planner-controller framework that connects task-level planning with frame-level keyboard-and-mouse control. A vision-language task planner decomposes a high-level goal into an ordered sequence of atomic instructions and is optimized through supervised learning and dependency-aware GRPO. The hidden states of special goal tokens that terminate each atomic instruction provide continuous goal embeddings that are cached and reused across control steps. A causal Transformer controller combines the embedding of the active goal with recent observations to predict discrete keyboard and mouse-button actions and continuous camera motion at every game step. We train the system in three stages: planner training, controller pretraining, and joint alignment. Experiments in Minecraft show that TaskFrame is competitive with general-purpose vision-language models on instruction decomposition, and that in closed-loop evaluation the agent achieves a higher combat success rate than the evaluated baselines.
Small-molecule identification from tandem mass spectrometry (MS/MS) may require complementary measurements. Herein, we propose a structure-informed deep Q-network (SI-DQN) that uses existing MS/MS evidence to decide whether further characterization is needed, which measurement to request, and when to stop. The policy combines spectral representations and candidate rankings with score-weighted descriptors of the candidates' chemical features and structural differences. The policy was evaluated on 79,462 held-out samples with simulated MS/MS, infrared (IR), and nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectra from the Multimodal Spectroscopic Dataset. Evaluation used fixed hard candidate sets containing the correct structure and equal normalized acquisition costs. Averaged across three training runs, SI-DQN increased Top-1 accuracy from 80.10% to 93.78% for positive-ion MS/MS starts and from 70.44% to 93.31% for negative-ion starts. The corresponding mean additional measurement counts were only 0.227 and 0.340 per sample, respectively. Complete acquisition achieved 97.72% accuracy with four additions, whereas SI-DQN reduced the additional measurement count by 94.3% and 91.5%. Relative to a rule-based policy, SI-DQN reduced the composite loss combining terminal ranking error and acquisition cost by 19.3% and 25.5%. Adding structural information to DQN further improved accuracy while reducing requests across all three training runs. At comparable ranking uncertainty, SI-DQN increased request rates relative to DQN more strongly in groups with high structural disagreement, where larger reductions in composite loss were also observed. Together, these results support using the ambiguity among candidate structures after MS/MS analysis to guide further characterization, providing a quantitative basis for balancing identification performance against subsequent measurement effort.
Yishuo Cai, Minzheng Wang, Liang Zhao, Linghao Zhang, Lei Li, Shicheng Li, Xu Sun, Fuli Luo
To succeed in real-world long-horizon software development, coding agents must satisfy multi-dimensional task specifications, such as interface compatibility and error handling, and do so without breaking existing dependencies. However, current works lack specification in both quantity and diversity, often emphasizing primary goals while ignoring complex constraints. Synthesizing tasks to bridge this gap presents two challenges: naively adding specifications risks reducing tasks to trivial checklists rather than compelling joint reasoning, and verifying these subtle interactions risks overlooking hidden flaws or rejecting valid alternatives. To address these challenges, we introduce CodeSpecWeave, a framework for synthesizing tasks with rich, interdependent specifications. Grounded in real developer seeds, a synthesis agent iteratively develops both coupled task requirements and executable tests, while a review agent audits solution trajectories from multiple models to guarantee test reliability. Using this pipeline, we construct 4,670 training tasks across 2,865 repositories. Applying Reinforcement learning on these tasks significantly improves performance over the base model on DeepSWE-v1.1, largely outperforming existing baselines. Furthermore, we curate CodeSpecWeave-Bench, a rigorous benchmark comprising 100 tasks and 1,044 specifications, which clearly separates frontier models and reveals significant headroom in handling interdependent engineering constraints.
Lang Chen, Zongxin Xu, Borui Wang, Anran Liu, Shitong Chen
We revisit advantage estimation in Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO) and observe that any token-level advantage admits a two-stage factorization: a \emph{sample-level baselining} step that converts scalar verifier rewards into a comparable sequence-level signal, and a \emph{token-level credit assignment} step that distributes that signal over the trajectory. Existing estimators typically address only one of these stages: affine baselines preserve the shape of each task's reward law, so heavy tails and binary cliffs propagate into the gradient, while token-level credit rules tie the size of each token's update to raw confidence scales and need not conserve the total credit issued by the verifier. We propose \textbf{TACE} (Two-stage Advantage and Credit Estimation), a two-stage estimator that addresses both stages. At stage~(S1), we replace linear standardization with a one-dimensional optimal-transport map to a standard normal, which gives a common population reward law across tasks and caps finite-sample outliers deterministically. At stage~(S2), we rank-calibrate a stop-gradient evidence contrast within each trajectory and renormalize the clipped token weights to have mean one, so credit is redistributed across tokens while its total mass and sign are conserved. We prove population-level inter-task moment equity, a deterministic tail bound, and mass-conservation, boundedness, and sign-anchoring properties that affine baselines and unnormalized token weights do not satisfy. On a multimodal reasoning suite, TACE obtains the strongest results on a majority of the benchmarks but does not dominate every setting.
Jiaxing Sun, Xuli Shen, Jiang Wu, Ruiyi Ding, Ruikang Zhang, Xiao An, Xibao Li, Yubin Wang 等 20 位作者
Reaction precedents guide retrosynthesis, but how far they can compensate for gaps in task-specific training coverage remains unclear. Using 2.71 million reactions, we restricted training and retrieval coverage by transformation or time, then expanded only the retrieval corpus with model parameters fixed. For transformations excluded from training, mean Top-1 accuracy increased from 13.0% to 58.0% on a historical test set and from 4.9% to 23.1% on a temporally held-out test set. For temporal coverage gaps, retrieval expansion enabled a model trained on records before 2017 to match or exceed a non-retrieval model trained on records before 2025 on both test sets. Without task-specific fine-tuning, precedents improved all 14 representative general-purpose models on both test sets and USPTO-50K; the strongest with precedents surpassed all eight representative specialized models. These findings show that inference-time reaction precedents can extend retrosynthetic prediction beyond task-specific training coverage without parameter updates.