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arXiv 最近完成扫描:等待完成 · 全站最近入库:2026-11-02 00:39各信源进度 →

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版本更新 · v5arXiv:2610.12265

AdaptLSTM: Efficient Adaptive Online Learning for Cloud Workload Forecasting under Distribution Drift

Xinhua Miao, Bowei Yang, Zhengong Cai

Accurate workload forecasting is critical for elastic resource provisioning in web-scale cloud services, where distribution shifts driven by viral content, product launches, and user behavior degrade offline-trained models rapidly. Naive online learning recovers accuracy but incurs prohibitive per-step compute cost. We propose AdaptLSTM, an adaptive online framework that detects drift via validation-calibrated thresholds and applies selective, targeted updates. On the Alibaba Machine Trace, AdaptLSTM recovers 54% of Naive Online's improvement at 20% cost ($2.7\times$ efficiency, $p=0.002$ over 10 seeds). On the more volatile Container Trace, it achieves 96% at 20% cost ($4.8\times$ efficiency, $+75\%$ MAE reduction over Static). Unlike classical drift detectors (ADWIN, DDM, Page-Hinkley) which fail to trigger on regression-scale error streams, AdaptLSTM fires 42 times over 301 steps and outperforms matched-budget baselines. Wall-clock profiling shows $1.33\times$ throughput gain and 45% update-time reduction. The framework is model-agnostic: identical Pareto patterns hold for LSTM, GRU, and Transformer backbones.

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cs.LG
arXiv ↗PDF ↗
新论文 · v1arXiv:2610.39884

KARMA: Training-Free Knowledge-Atomic Harness Evolution for Industrial Advertising Agents

Xinhua Miao, Yuanzhen Rong, Weiru Zhang, Xiaoyi Zeng

Industrial advertising agents must continually adapt their decision knowledge to changing product offerings, traffic patterns, and operating policies. We present KARMA (Knowledge-Atomic, Regression-Gated Modular Adaptation), a training-free framework that evolves six typed knowledge modules while keeping model weights and executable harness code frozen. During our evolution, a deterministic Trace Verifier maps observed errors to candidate modules, and a Critic compares successful and failed trajectories to guide a tool-constrained Evolver. The Evolver applies atomic knowledge edits, which a fixed validation gate retains only when their measured gain reaches a threshold; otherwise, the previous knowledge state is restored. We evaluate KARMA with three LLM families on cases sampled from a corpus of approximately half a million real-world operation logs across six e-commerce domains. Across 18 domain--model settings, KARMA raises the average hold-out score from 30.19 to 39.15 (+8.96 points, +29.7%). Ablations show that removing either successful or failed trajectories more than halves the average hold-out gain. Evolved knowledge also transfers across domains without further adaptation, yielding an average hold-out gain of 8.54 points across all source--target pairs. By linking retained patches to their diagnostic evidence and validation outcomes, KARMA supports inspectable, reversible knowledge adaptation for agents in Web marketplaces.

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cs.AI
arXiv ↗PDF ↗