Yao Huang, Yichi Zhang, Yifan Wang, Yitong Sun, Haoyu Dong, Jifan Ma, Jinzhe Tu, Xiaojian Li 等 11 位作者
原文摘要
Frontier artificial intelligence (AI) systems are increasingly operating over longer horizons with diminishing human oversight, raising the risk of loss of control: systems acting beyond effective human control with potentially irreversible consequences. Because such failures may become observable only after containment is difficult, they must be assessed prospectively. We introduce a behavioural framework that decomposes loss-of-control risk into three factors: misaligned motive, harm-enabling capability, and monitoring evasion. We operationalise these factors through 13 measurable aspects and 29 evaluation tasks, whose scores are combined into a single loss-of-control (LoC) score. Across 13 frontier models, the LoC score shows strong prospective validity, correlating with failure rates in contained long-horizon risk scenarios (Pearson r = 0.84). Risk varies systematically across models and cannot be explained by capability alone. We further show that the framework can guide targeted mitigations: fine-tuning and monitoring directed at diagnosed vulnerabilities reduce failure rates while largely preserving general performance. These results provide a practical basis for predicting, understanding, and mitigating loss-of-control risk before it materialises.
Yao Huang, Yifan Wang, Yitong Sun, Yichi Zhang, Yinpeng Dong
原文摘要
As LLM agents advance rapidly in autonomy, the risk of hidden objectives that bypass safety constraints becomes increasingly plausible. Chain-of-thought (CoT) monitoring offers a key control mechanism by reading the agent's reasoning and flagging misalignment before it materializes into action, yet its reliability depends on the realism of the red-team it is stress-tested against. Existing red-teaming efforts rely on shared templates, such as casting a side task as a prerequisite, which treat the side objective as an exogenous insertion and leave task-specific, contextually grounded evasions underexplored. We therefore ask: How robust is CoT monitoring against agents that strategically conceal misalignment? To answer this, we introduce TraceMRT, an automated Trace-level Monitor Red-Teaming framework that reframes the side task as a coherent sub-goal of the primary task and searches trace-shaping strategies whose induced trajectories complete the misaligned objective while reading as natural execution. Through black-box attacks on state-of-the-art monitors such as GPT-5.2 and Claude-4.5, we reveal substantial vulnerabilities even in top models. To counter these vulnerabilities, we propose a Bayesian Trajectory Monitoring framework, integrating global context and local segment evidence to detect covert misalignment. Empirically, our method significantly consolidates monitor robustness with 0.91 AUC and 0.74 TPR@FPR=0.05.