Zhaohan Zhang, Ziquan Liu Queen Mary, University of London, Ioannis Patras
Assessing the reliability of Large Language Models (LLMs) by confidence elicitation is a prominent approach to AI safety in high-stakes applications, such as healthcare and finance. Existing methods either require expensive computational overhead or suffer from poor calibration, making them impractical and unreliable for real-world deployment. In this work, we propose GrACE, a Generative Approach to Confidence Elicitation that enables scalable and reliable confidence elicitation for LLMs. GrACE adopts a novel mechanism in which the model expresses confidence by the similarity between the last hidden state and the embedding of a special token appended to the vocabulary, in real-time. We fine-tune the model for calibrating the confidence with targets associated with accuracy. Extensive experiments show that the confidence produced by GrACE achieves the best discriminative capacity and calibration on open-ended generation tasks without resorting to additional sampling or an auxiliary model. Moreover, we propose two confidence-based strategies for test-time scaling with GrACE, which not only improve the accuracy of the final decision but also significantly reduce the number of required samples, highlighting its potential as a practical solution for deploying LLMs with reliable, on-the-fly confidence estimation. The code is available at: https://github.com/petezone/Grace.
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cs.CL
Proceedings of the 64th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (Volume 1: Long Papers) · 2026 · 正式发表
Zhaohan Zhang, Chengzhengxu Li, Xiaoming Liu, Chao Shen Xi’an Jiaotong University, Ziquan Liu Queen Mary, University of London, Ioannis Patras
Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly applied in high-stakes domains such as finance, healthcare, and education, where reliable multi-turn interactions with users are essential. However, existing work on confidence estimation and calibration, a major approach to building trustworthy LLM systems, largely focuses on single-turn settings and overlooks the risks and potential of multi-turn conversations. In this work, we introduce the task of multi-turn calibration to reframe calibration from a static property into a dynamic challenge central to reliable multi-turn conversation, where calibrating model confidence at each turn conditioned on the conversation history is required. We first reveal the risks of this setting: using Expected Calibration Error at turn T (ECE@T), a new metric that tracks calibration dynamics over turns, we show that user feedback (e.g., persuasion) can degrade multi-turn calibration. To address this, we propose MTCal, which minimises ECE@T via a surrogate calibration target, and further leverage calibrated confidence in ConfChat, a decoding strategy that improves both factuality and consistency of the model response in multi-turn interactions. Extensive experiments demonstrate that MTCal achieves outstanding and consistent performance in multi-turn calibration, and ConfChat preserves and even enhances model performance in multi-turn interactions. Our results mark multi-turn calibration as one missing link for scaling LLM calibration toward safe, reliable, and real-world use. The code is available at: https://github.com/petezone/Multiturn-Calibration.
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cs.CL
Proceedings of the 64th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (Volume 1: Long Papers) · 2026 · 正式发表
Chengzhengxu Li, Xiaoming Liu, Zhaohan Zhang, Shengchao Liu, Guoxin Ma, Yu Lan, Cong Wang City University of Hong Kong, Chao Shen Xi’an Jiaotong University
Recent developments have enabled advanced reasoning in Large Language Models (LLMs) via long Chain-of-Thought (CoT), trading efficiency during inference for performance. Existing works focus on compressing generated CoT in reasoning, which impairs the necessary information for deriving the correct answer. In this work, we propose post-reasoning, a reasoning paradigm that takes CoT as a part of context to simplify the reasoning task for LLMs. We find that post-reasoning significantly reduces the generation length of LLMs, but its effectiveness hinges on the efficiency and the reliability of the contextual CoT generation.Therefore, we propose Upfront CoT (UCoT), an efficient post-reasoning framework for CoT compression. UCoT trains a lightweight model (compressor) to provide contextual CoT in form of soft tokens and trains the LLM (executor) to leverage this contextual CoT for producing the final answer. Extensive experiments show that UCoT maintains the powerful reasoning ability of executor while significantly reducing the length of CoT. It is worth mentioning that when applying UCoT to the Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct model, the usage of tokens on GSM8K dataset is reduced by 50%, while the performance is 3.08% higher than that of the state-of-the-art (SOTA) method. The code is available at: https://github.com/czx-li/UCoT.
尚无 AI 解读，展示原文摘要
cs.CL
Proceedings of the 64th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (Volume 1: Long Papers) · 2026 · 正式发表