Generative driving planners can represent diverse ego futures, but a downstream scorer can choose only among sampled candidates; it cannot recover an absent maneuver. We present ForeseeDrive, which turns future scene evolution into a deployable interface for shaping candidate generation. Rather than reconstructing dense future states or scoring a fixed menu, ForeseeDrive derives query-indexed tokens from logged actor motion, occupancy evolution, route interactions, and TTC margins, and predicts the same token space from present context at deployment. The tokens condition trajectory geometry before candidates materialize. A zero-token-gated residual path and candidate-preservation loss limit unnecessary drift, while a TTC-margin guard targets brittle safe-to-unsafe boundary crossings. Under their respective benchmark protocols, ForeseeDrive reaches 89.2 PDMS on NAVSIM navtest, 0.41\,m average L2 and 0.05\% collision rate on nuScenes validation, and a 76.50 driving score on Bench2Drive. Controlled DiffusionDrive/NAVSIM diagnostics show an exact zero-token no-op, a small aligned-over-shuffled selected-PDM advantage under preservation, mixed oracle-best quality, and localized TTC-boundary failures. Together, the benchmark results and bounded mechanism tests support future-conditioned generation as a practical interface for anticipation. Code is included in the supplementary materials.
A single validation-tuned threshold can become brittle when dense-score distributions shift. We introduce AutoThreshold, a post-hoc policy that predicts the joint mass of positive and negative pixels over score bins. This target directly parameterizes threshold-indexed confusion counts, avoiding products of independently estimated prevalence and class-conditional rates. Softmax normalization and cumulative decoding yield coherent, monotone confusion profiles; a plug-in decoder then selects a threshold for any $F_β$ objective without retraining the head. Across three independently trained Kvasir pipelines transferred to four polyp datasets, Joint exceeds continuous Otsu by $0.0080 \pm 0.0046$ external macro Dice, with positive gains in 3/3 runs. On the reference pipeline, three head seeds achieve $0.6324 \pm 0.0027$, 0.0085 above Otsu; direct-utility Ridge achieves 0.6342, with the paired difference interval spanning zero. The same Joint checkpoints outperform Otsu for $F_{0.5}$, Dice, and $F_2$. On developmental KITTI Road leave-one-corruption-family-out evaluation, Joint improves over scalar regression by 0.0082 [0.0064, 0.0101], while direct utility is 0.0022 higher. These results establish joint confusion prediction as a useful, metric-retargetable inductive bias, without claiming Bayes-optimal $F_β$ decisions.
Junhui Mao, Junru Zhang, Liming Ye, Cheng Peng, Haoran Shi, Xiaoli Tang, Baokun Wang, Bin Dou 等 10 位作者
原文摘要
Web-connected sensing applications continuously generate multivariate time series with evolving behavioral categories, making Time Series Class-Incremental Learning (TSCIL) essential for adapting to new classes without forgetting previously acquired knowledge. However, preserving diverse and evolving class distributions under strict privacy and memory constraints remains a fundamental challenge. Existing approaches often face a trade-off between retaining sufficient historical knowledge for accurate recognition and minimizing the memory required for continual adaptation. To address these limitations, we propose TRACE, a memory-efficient, replay-free framework that preserves class-specific knowledge through generative modeling rather than sample rehearsal. TRACE employs a compact, frozen temporal-spectral representation and lightweight class-specific autoencoders to capture complex intra-class variations. By independently preserving each class model, TRACE avoids recursive generation and catastrophic forgetting, while enabling direct classification through reconstruction-based scoring without retaining historical samples or large statistical matrices. Extensive experiments across five TSCIL benchmarks demonstrate that TRACE achieves competitive classification accuracy while reducing mean retained memory by approximately 98.26% compared with TS-ACL, the strongest evaluated analytical baseline, and achieving an approximately 33.43% relative improvement in accuracy on GrabMyo.