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版本更新 · v5arXiv:2603.28590

MonitorBench: A Comprehensive Benchmark for Chain-of-Thought Monitorability in Large Language Models

Han Wang, Yifan Sun, Brian Ko, Mann Talati, Jiawen Gong, Zimeng Li, Naicheng Yu, Xucheng Yu 等 11 位作者

原文摘要

Large language models (LLMs) can generate chains of thought (CoTs) that are not always causally responsible for their final outputs. When such a mismatch occurs, the CoT no longer faithfully reflects the actual reasons (i.e., decision-critical factors) driving the model's behavior, leading to the reduced CoT monitorability problem. This limits the use of CoTs for reliable oversight. However, a comprehensive and fully open-source benchmark for thoroughly evaluating CoT monitorability remains lacking. To address this gap, we propose MonitorBench, a systematic benchmark for evaluating CoT monitorability in LLMs. MonitorBench provides: (1) a diverse set of 1,540 test instances with carefully designed decision-critical factors across 19 tasks spanning 7 categories to characterize when CoTs can be used to monitor the factors driving LLM behavior; and (2) two prompting stress-test settings to quantify the extent to which CoT monitorability can be degraded. Extensive experiments show that CoT monitorability is a conditional property affected by the evaluated LLM, monitor LLM, and task characteristics. Across these factors, monitorability is higher when decision-critical factors shape the intermediate reasoning process, rather than merely influencing the final answer. Under stress-test prompting, most evaluated LLMs can intentionally reduce monitorability, mainly on tasks where decision-critical factors are not structurally required by the reasoning process. Overall, MonitorBench provides a basis for further research on AI control, reasoning faithfulness, stress-test monitorability, and monitoring scaffords. The code is available at https://github.com/ASTRAL-Group/MonitorBench.

cs.AI

新论文 · v1arXiv:2610.37175HF 社区推荐

MLE-World: Predicting Machine Learning Experiment Outcomes with a Learned World Model

Brian Ko, Han Wang, Hejia Geng, Li Erran Li, Sherry Yang

原文摘要

AI research agents can propose, execute, and improve programs that solve machine learning tasks. However, executing each candidate program requires training and evaluating ML models, limiting how many candidates an agent can explore at each step. We introduce MLE-World, a world model finetuned from Qwen3.5-4B that predicts a program's terminal output (error traces, training logs, and validation scores) from its code and data description without executing it, together with a confidence score estimating the prediction's correctness. Because a prediction costs one inference call rather than a training run, MLE-World makes test time scaling (TTS) affordable for these agents. We build five TTS policies, guided by MLE-World, that compare several candidates per step by their predicted outputs: Sequential revision, Best-of-N, Pairwise judging, Fusion, and a UCB style rule that also adds an exploration bonus from this confidence score. Since predictions can be wrong, we run a candidate for real only when its confidence score is low. On 17 MLE-bench Lite tasks, MLE-World matches the real terminal output on 77.9% of held out programs, versus 41.1% for much larger prompted models. MLE-World guided TTS achieves up to 22.1% higher observed mean performance than the agent without a world model, with less real execution. Project webpage: https://mle-world.github.io/.

cs.LG · cs.AI