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arXiv 最近完成扫描:2026-11-16 00:32 · 全站最近入库:2026-11-14 15:09各信源进度 →

统计口径与数据新鲜度

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版本更新 · v3arXiv:2605.29768

从XXLTraffic到EvoXXLTraffic:将交通预测扩展到传感器演化网络

From XXLTraffic to EvoXXLTraffic: Scaling Traffic Forecasting to Sensor-Evolving Networks

Du Yin, Hao Xue, Arian Prabowo, Shuang Ao, Flora Salim

AI 速读 基于摘要

作者构建了传感器集合逐年变化的EvoXXLTraffic基准,并在多个PeMS区域上比较了13种基线适配方法在全体传感器与新出现传感器上的预测表现。

cs.AI

查看原文摘要

Traffic forecasting benchmarks commonly fix the sensor set, although deployed sensing networks change their coverage over time. We present EvoXXLTraffic, a sensor-evolving extension of the XXLTraffic dataset family, with yearly sensor catalogs, persistent station IDs, flow matrices, and geographic graph snapshots across nine California PeMS districts, spanning up to 27 years. The benchmark separates all-sensor forecasting from supervised adaptation to sensors absent from the preceding year. We evaluate 13 baseline adaptations on PEMS04 with five seeds and PEMS05 with three seeds, and seven of them on the other seven districts with three seeds. Each yearly task uses 31 stored days, explicit observation masks, and chronological evaluation. Under the frozen configurations, PECPM has the lowest full-horizon mean MAE on both all-sensor and new-node populations on PEMS04, while Online-AN leads both populations on PEMS05. Among the seven methods run on every district, Online-AN has the lowest all-sensor mean MAE in eight of the nine districts, and Online-NN has the lowest new-node mean MAE in six. A matched control on PEMS05 and PEMS06 finds that training on the evolving catalog changes mean MAE on the sensors present in every 2018-2025 catalog by less than 1% in either direction. Method ordering depends on district, evaluation population, horizon, and metric, and seed variation does not establish statistical significance. The benchmark documents implementation adaptations and uses retrospective geographic graphs, limiting claims about original-paper rankings and prospective deployment. Inherited fixed-sensor gap and hourly/daily tasks provide complementary temporal settings. Code and results: https://github.com/cruiseresearchgroup/TSAS26-EvoXXLTraffic. Data: https://huggingface.co/datasets/yind7/EvoXXLTraffic.

版本更新 · v5arXiv:2607.25875

EvoST: Adapting Traffic Forecasters to Evolving Sensor Graphs

Du Yin, Xiachong Lin, Yue Tan, Ruiyi Yang, Jinliang Deng, Estrid He, Hao Xue, Flora D. Salim

原文摘要

Web-based navigation and traffic information services depend on accurate forecasts as sensor networks evolve. On checkpoints reused years later, updating only shared weights or adding a low-rank node prompt leaves substantial degradation, whereas, in the evaluated architectures, refreshing node identities recovers most of it while the shared spatio-temporal weights are reused. We propose EvoST, a framework that maintains traffic forecasters by refreshing node identities while keeping shared weights fixed. EvoST updates existing identities using recently released labels and initializes new sensors with identities borrowed from behaviorally similar established sensors. Once enough delayed labels arrive, it jointly refits all identities, and a per-sensor recursive least-squares calibrator corrects forecasts as labels become available. Across twelve PeMS region-year settings, identity refresh reduces the relative one-hour MAE gap between five-year-old STAEFormer checkpoints and target-year models from 17.7% to 2.5%, with all forecasters calibrated, and its MAE is 0.7% above that of full-parameter fine-tuning on the same data. In Graph WaveNet, identity refresh recovers 88% of the five-year MAE gap to calibrated target-year models. Similar recovery holds for STAEFormer checkpoints up to fifteen years old, while refreshing STID recovers 67% of its five-year gap. On an annual benchmark covering nine EvoXXLTraffic districts and Transport for NSW, EvoST has the lowest average MAE, RMSE, and MAPE among the reported non-foundation methods on all ten networks, and calibration accounts for most of its Avg-MAE reduction from the matched frozen checkpoints. Code and the extended version: https://github.com/lixus7/EvoST

cs.LG · cs.AI

新论文 · v1arXiv:2611.09472

ENGRAM: From Agent Experience to Weights through Verified Consolidation

Ruiyi Yang, Zechen Li, Lihuan Li, Du Yin, Hao Xue, Flora D. Salim

原文摘要

Language-model agents use experience through external retrieval and parameter learning. Consolidating stored experience into model weights requires deciding both which experience to train on and when its external records can leave retrieval. Admission based solely on student mastery can exclude useful teacher demonstrations, while removal immediately after training can discard guidance that the model still needs. We introduce ENGRAM, a framework that separates training admission from memory release. A demonstration-aware gate admits skills based on student mastery or sufficient successful teacher demonstrations. The student learns from selected action traces with context from an Engram Trace Graph (ETG). A verification gate then compares the updated model without episodic retrieval against the base model with retrieval on reserved probes. Release requires valid training participation and scores meeting both relative and absolute criteria; records for skills that fail verification remain retrievable. Experiments across interactive and reasoning benchmarks show consistent gains over frozen-weight ETG controls, with ablations supporting demonstration-aware admission and selective adapter activation. A controlled held-out comparison shows that verified release substantially reduces the retrievable footprint while remaining close to retain-all performance and outperforming immediate and budget-matched random release. ENGRAM also improves task performance while reducing input-token usage and model calls. Skill-level verification further reduces retrievable experience through selective archival, retaining external guidance for skills that do not meet the release criteria. Code is available in anonymous.4open.science/r/engram-anonymous.

cs.AI · cs.IR