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新论文 · v1arXiv:2611.17239

当双方都在适应:评估交互式LLM系统的挑战

When Both Sides Adapt: The Challenges of Evaluating Interactive LLM Systems

Hannah Li

AI 速读 基于摘要

该文研究用户对LLM响应的适应性所导致的提示内生性,如何使离线基准评测与在线A/B测试度量不同的效应,并可能给出不同的模型排序与部署建议。

stat.ME · cs.AI

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In interactive systems where users engage with LLMs, users are adaptive and, after observing LLM responses, can change their prompting strategy, as well as the type and difficulty of subsequent tasks. Thus model responses can influence the set of prompts on which the model is subsequently evaluated. We study the implications of this user adaptivity and prompt endogeneity for the evaluation of LLMs. We define two classes of estimands for comparing models: the common-distribution effect, which compares model performance on the same distribution of prompts, and the induced-distribution effect, which compares each model on the prompt distribution generated through user interaction. We show that offline benchmark evaluation and live A/B testing target different quantities, with the standard difference-in-means estimators for the two methods converging to the common-distribution effect and the induced-distribution effect, respectively. This distinction can affect decision-making: the two comparisons can rank models differently and lead to discrepancies in deployment recommendations. We characterize when such ranking reversals occur and provide a sufficient condition under which the rankings are guaranteed to agree. This result provides a practical heuristic for assessing whether offline evaluation is sufficient to reproduce the decision suggested by a live experiment. Third, we show, in a stylized linear model of interactions, that user adaptivity can increase variance in estimation. Finally, we discuss implications of user adaptivity for the interpretation of experiments and show that adaptivity creates a common mechanism leading to common evaluation challenges, such as reward hacking and novelty effects. Together, this work highlights the necessity of measuring both model performance as well as changes in the user behavior that the model induces.

新论文 · v1arXiv:2611.16335

From More to Better: Causal Inference and Digital Experimentation in the Age of AI

Winston Chou, Mårten Schultzberg, Lo-Hua Yuan, Wenjing Zheng, Avi Feller, David Holtz, Widad Machmouchi, Sven Schmit 等 21 位作者

原文摘要

Artificial intelligence (AI) is quickly expanding the capacity of organizations to produce and analyze data. We argue that this expansion shifts the leverage of data scientists from performing individual analyses to assessing the credibility and importance of findings and determining when evidence generalizes across contexts. Drawing on a roundtable of academic researchers and industry practitioners, we examine three ways in which data scientists who work on causal inference and experimentation can help organizations turn more analytical capacity into better decisions: preserving and accumulating the learning value of experimentation beyond individual tests; choosing and combining experimental, observational, and synthetic evidence; and ensuring evaluation keeps pace with AI as its capabilities and uses evolve. In each area, we distinguish established practice from open questions. We conclude with implications for the training and practice of data science and for organizations.

cs.AI · stat.AP

新论文 · v1arXiv:2611.02016

Improving Entrepreneurial Skills by Practicing with AI

Amir Globerson, Anisha Choudhury, Anna Iurchenko, Avinatan Hassidim, Cathy Cheung, Elizabeth Kim, Femi Olanubi, Gabby Espinosa 等 24 位作者

原文摘要

Durable skills like critical thinking, creativity, and collaboration are essential for innovation, yet teaching them remains difficult. In this work, we focus on the entrepreneurial domain, where these skills and others are required, and ask whether AI can be used as a tool for improving entrepreneurial proficiency. As a first step towards this challenge, we present an extension of Vantage, a platform developed at Google Research, adapted to serve as an interactive practice environment for entrepreneurship. Vantage pairs students with simulated AI peers engineered to navigate realistic business scenarios and challenge learners to exercise key skills. In a randomized controlled trial (RCT) embedded in summer entrepreneurship programs run by The Network for Teaching Entrepreneurship (NFTE), students using Vantage scored significantly higher on their Capstone Business Plans than control students with access to standard AI tools. These preliminary findings suggest that orchestrated AI peers can meaningfully support short-term performance on tasks requiring complex, durable skills.

cs.CY