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新论文 · v1arXiv:2611.14499

尼泰罗伊交通选择的空间格局

Spatial patterns of transportation choice in Niterói

Sandro Martinelli Reia, Taylor Anderson, Dieter Pfoser

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作者提出一个利用宏观聚合静态城市数据构建微观动态出行模拟的计算框架,并在巴西尼泰罗伊约47.5万合成居民上复现邻里尺度交通方式选择的空间差异。

physics.soc-ph · cs.MA · stat.OT

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Characterizing how people move through a city requires spatially and temporally fine-grained data that are often costly and difficult to obtain. Here, we introduce a computational framework that uses macroscopic, aggregated, and static urban data to construct a microscopic, dynamic, and spatially detailed representation of urban mobility. Building on an existing activity simulator, the framework combines a synthetic population, the built environment, and transport networks to generate daily trips and assign walking, car, or public transit. Applied to approximately 475,000 synthetic residents of Niterói, Brazil, simulated neighborhood-level transit patterns show a strong association with an empirical activity proxy (Pearson r=0.885). Walking is more prevalent in compact central areas, car use increases toward the periphery, and public-transit use remains comparatively high along bus corridors. Reducing walking times to and from bus stops by 30% increases the modeled public-transit-to-car ratio by 11.3%, with larger transit-share gains in several peripheral areas. These results reveal spatial differences in transportation choice and identify where improved transit access may have the greatest modeled effect.