arXiv:2208.04433 · v3

Peer Prediction for Learning Agents

首次提交 2022-08-09 05:32

版本更新 2026-11-11 09:09

雷达观测 2026-11-13 11:11

摘要

Peer prediction refers to a collection of mechanisms for eliciting information from human agents when direct verification of the obtained information is unavailable. They are designed to have a game-theoretic equilibrium where everyone reveals their private information truthfully. This result holds under the assumption that agents are Bayesian and they each adopt a fixed strategy across all tasks. Human agents however are observed in many domains to exhibit learning behavior in sequential settings. In this paper, we explore the dynamics of sequential peer prediction mechanisms when participants are learning agents. We first show that the notion of no regret alone for the agents' learning algorithms cannot guarantee convergence to the truthful strategy. We then focus on a family of learning algorithms where strategy updates only depend on agents' cumulative rewards and prove that agents' strategies in the popular Correlated Agreement (CA) mechanism converge to truthful reporting when they use algorithms from this family satisfying an additional condition on full exploitation. This family of algorithms is not necessarily no-regret, but includes fixed-parameter versions of familiar online learning algorithms (e.g multiplicative weight update and Follow the Perturbed Leader) as special cases. Simulation of several algorithms in this family as well as the $ε$-greedy algorithm, which is outside of this family, illustrates their finite-horizon behavior in the CA mechanism.

作者备注：38 pages, 9 figures