← 研踪 PaperTrailarXiv:2607.25242 · v3
Medical world models in healthcare: capabilities, evidence, and trustworthy clinical translation
首次提交 2026-07-28 11:35
版本更新 2026-11-03 13:42
雷达观测 2026-11-04 23:40
摘要
Medical world models offer a framework for extending medical artificial intelligence beyond static prediction by representing evolving patient states and modelling how they change over time and in response to clinical interventions. This Review uses structured narrative synthesis and reproducible evidence mapping to define conceptual boundaries, technical foundations, application domains, and clinical evidence requirements. We screened 1,455 unique records and assembled a corpus of 300 sources, including 14 studies that met a strict empirical definition of a medical world model. The field is organized around four capabilities: patient state representation, temporal dynamics modelling, intervention-conditioned simulation, and clinician-supervised planning. Evidence spans medical imaging, longitudinal electronic health records, treatment response modelling, physiological and multimodal state modelling, ultrasound and surgical interaction, and population and health-system simulation; clinical digital twins are treated as a cross-cutting integration framework. Studies provide early evidence of technical feasibility for trajectory forecasting and comparison of candidate interventions, but most remain retrospective, task-specific, or preclinical. We distinguish functional capability from clinical evidence maturity and specify evidence needed to support progressively stronger clinical claims, from temporal forecasting to intervention comparison and planning-oriented decision support. These requirements include precise intervention representations, robust causal and mechanistic grounding, calibrated trajectory-level uncertainty, safety-constrained planning, external validation, and prospective multicentre evaluation against clinically meaningful endpoints. This framework aims to distinguish technically plausible simulation from clinically supportable prediction and decision support.
作者备注：Updated title, author order, and abstract; expanded the source corpus to 300 sources
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v3 · 2026-11-03 13:42 · 最新观测版本
Medical world models in healthcare: capabilities, evidence, and trustworthy clinical translation
Medical world models offer a framework for extending medical artificial intelligence beyond static prediction by representing evolving patient states and modelling how they change over time and in response to clinical interventions. This Review uses structured narrative synthesis and reproducible evidence mapping to define conceptual boundaries, technical foundations, application domains, and clinical evidence requirements. We screened 1,455 unique records and assembled a corpus of 300 sources, including 14 studies that met a strict empirical definition of a medical world model. The field is organized around four capabilities: patient state representation, temporal dynamics modelling, intervention-conditioned simulation, and clinician-supervised planning. Evidence spans medical imaging, longitudinal electronic health records, treatment response modelling, physiological and multimodal state modelling, ultrasound and surgical interaction, and population and health-system simulation; clinical digital twins are treated as a cross-cutting integration framework. Studies provide early evidence of technical feasibility for trajectory forecasting and comparison of candidate interventions, but most remain retrospective, task-specific, or preclinical. We distinguish functional capability from clinical evidence maturity and specify evidence needed to support progressively stronger clinical claims, from temporal forecasting to intervention comparison and planning-oriented decision support. These requirements include precise intervention representations, robust causal and mechanistic grounding, calibrated trajectory-level uncertainty, safety-constrained planning, external validation, and prospective multicentre evaluation against clinically meaningful endpoints. This framework aims to distinguish technically plausible simulation from clinically supportable prediction and decision support.
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