← 研踪 PaperTrailarXiv:2610.35725 · v1
The Watchtower Imperative: Lifespan-Calibrated Evaluation for Frontier AI
首次提交 2026-10-27 00:44
版本更新 2026-10-27 00:44
雷达观测 2026-10-29 00:35
摘要
The gap between AI capability deployment and safety assurance is structural and cannot be closed through internal evaluations alone. Analyzing documented harms (2017-2026) across the human lifespan reveals that disparate incidents --- from voice assistants endangering children to AI companions implicated in adolescent suicide and automated care denials for the elderly --- reflect a single failure: evaluating systems against an implicit adult user model. We introduce five developmental moderators structured into a Lifespan Vulnerability Matrix across six life stages. The matrix reveals a nonmonotonic risk distribution: vulnerability peaks at both ends of the lifespan, governance coverage is asymmetrical, and authority to convert model errors into real-world impact is scrutinized least. We then propose a set of lifespan design principles generalizing existing child-protective instruments, and an institution-agnostic, three-tier external evaluation framework --- comprising automated simulation, expert red teaming, and post-deployment monitoring --- indexed directly to matrix risk cells.
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v1 · 2026-10-27 00:44 · 最新观测版本
The Watchtower Imperative: Lifespan-Calibrated Evaluation for Frontier AI
The gap between AI capability deployment and safety assurance is structural and cannot be closed through internal evaluations alone. Analyzing documented harms (2017-2026) across the human lifespan reveals that disparate incidents --- from voice assistants endangering children to AI companions implicated in adolescent suicide and automated care denials for the elderly --- reflect a single failure: evaluating systems against an implicit adult user model. We introduce five developmental moderators structured into a Lifespan Vulnerability Matrix across six life stages. The matrix reveals a nonmonotonic risk distribution: vulnerability peaks at both ends of the lifespan, governance coverage is asymmetrical, and authority to convert model errors into real-world impact is scrutinized least. We then propose a set of lifespan design principles generalizing existing child-protective instruments, and an institution-agnostic, three-tier external evaluation framework --- comprising automated simulation, expert red teaming, and post-deployment monitoring --- indexed directly to matrix risk cells.
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