← 研踪 PaperTrailarXiv:2610.36633 · v1
Deep Bayesian Approaches for Interpretable Nonlinear Structural System Identification
首次提交 2026-10-27 12:38
版本更新 2026-10-27 12:38
雷达观测 2026-10-29 00:35
摘要
System identification, namely the inference of mathematical representations of dynamical systems from measured data, is fundamental to engineering diagnostics, prognostics, and decision-making. Bayesian filtering offers a principled framework for probabilistic state estimation but traditionally relies on prescribed transition and observation models. Recent advances in deep Bayesian filtering address this limitation by embedding learnable representations within probabilistic state-space formulations, enabling data-driven identification of unknown dynamics while retaining physical structure and uncertainty-aware inference. This tutorial provides a systematic introduction to deep Bayesian filtering for nonlinear structural system identification, focusing on the interplay between learned dynamics, physical inductive biases, and posterior inference. The Deep Markov Model serves as a data-driven reference, while the Physics-guided Deep Markov Model (PgDMM) and Neural Extended Kalman Filter (Neural EKF) illustrate complementary approaches based on amortized variational inference and differentiable Kalman filtering, respectively. Their capabilities are examined through dynamic state estimation and joint dynamic state and parameter estimation on a three-dimensional shear-frame benchmark with hysteretic Bouc-Wen connections and sparse acceleration measurements. The results highlight important distinctions between measurement-conditioned reconstruction and open-loop forecasting, demonstrate how physical structure can improve latent-state interpretability without necessarily ensuring predictive fidelity, and reveal differences in the robustness of response and parameter estimation. Practical guidelines for model construction, training, evaluation, and deployment are provided, together with an outlook on remaining challenges in uncertainty calibration, identifiability, and real-world validation.
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v2 · 2026-10-29 12:02 · 最新观测版本
Deep Bayesian Filtering for Nonlinear Structural System Identification: A Tutorial on Structural and Physical Inductive Biases
Nonlinear structural system identification remains challenging when governing physics is only partially known and measurements are sparse. Deep Bayesian filtering addresses these challenges by combining learnable dynamical representations with probabilistic state-space models, physical inductive biases, and uncertainty-aware inference. This paper presents, for the first time, a unified tutorial treatment of deep Bayesian filtering for nonlinear structural system identification, connecting model formulation, learning, posterior inference, and evaluation. Amortized variational inference and differentiable Kalman filtering are introduced as complementary strategies within this broader framework. The Deep Markov Model (DMM) provides a data-driven reference, while the Physics-guided Deep Markov Model (PgDMM) and Neural Extended Kalman Filter (Neural EKF) serve as illustrative instances through which methodological choices and their implications are examined. Dynamic state estimation and joint state and parameter estimation are demonstrated on a three-dimensional shear-frame benchmark with hysteretic Bouc-Wen connections and sparse acceleration measurements. The comparative analysis yields new observations concerning the relationships among reconstruction accuracy, predictive fidelity, physical interpretability, and estimation robustness. Physical structure improves latent-state interpretability without necessarily ensuring faithful predictive dynamics, while comparable typical reconstruction accuracy can conceal substantial differences in estimation robustness. These findings motivate practical guidelines for model construction, training, and evaluation that distinguish reconstruction, forecasting, state recovery, and parameter identification. The tutorial concludes by outlining challenges in uncertainty calibration, identifiability, and validation on real structures.
查看此版本解读 →查看此版本原文 ↗v1 · 2026-10-27 12:38
Deep Bayesian Approaches for Interpretable Nonlinear Structural System Identification
System identification, namely the inference of mathematical representations of dynamical systems from measured data, is fundamental to engineering diagnostics, prognostics, and decision-making. Bayesian filtering offers a principled framework for probabilistic state estimation but traditionally relies on prescribed transition and observation models. Recent advances in deep Bayesian filtering address this limitation by embedding learnable representations within probabilistic state-space formulations, enabling data-driven identification of unknown dynamics while retaining physical structure and uncertainty-aware inference. This tutorial provides a systematic introduction to deep Bayesian filtering for nonlinear structural system identification, focusing on the interplay between learned dynamics, physical inductive biases, and posterior inference. The Deep Markov Model serves as a data-driven reference, while the Physics-guided Deep Markov Model (PgDMM) and Neural Extended Kalman Filter (Neural EKF) illustrate complementary approaches based on amortized variational inference and differentiable Kalman filtering, respectively. Their capabilities are examined through dynamic state estimation and joint dynamic state and parameter estimation on a three-dimensional shear-frame benchmark with hysteretic Bouc-Wen connections and sparse acceleration measurements. The results highlight important distinctions between measurement-conditioned reconstruction and open-loop forecasting, demonstrate how physical structure can improve latent-state interpretability without necessarily ensuring predictive fidelity, and reveal differences in the robustness of response and parameter estimation. Practical guidelines for model construction, training, evaluation, and deployment are provided, together with an outlook on remaining challenges in uncertainty calibration, identifiability, and real-world validation.
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