← 研踪 PaperTrailarXiv:2610.38308 · v1
Does 3D Pose Improve Action Valuation in Football? An Empirical Study of Pose Representations and Learning Objectives
首次提交 2026-10-28 13:46
版本更新 2026-10-28 13:46
雷达观测 2026-10-30 10:22
摘要
Football action valuation estimates players' contributions to future scoring. Existing multi-agent deep reinforcement learning (MADRL) models use 2D positions and velocities, omitting posture information relevant to imminent actions. We investigate whether adding 3D pose to a SARSA-based model improves observed-action values relative to attack returns: goals, conceded goals or final expected possession value. Using UEFA Champions League 2022/23 event, tracking and 3D pose data, we compare six representations (no pose, raw joints, torso and head orientation, and spatial-temporal graph convolutional network (ST-GCN) embeddings) across five learning settings and three seeds. The settings vary temporal-difference targets and action-prediction loss, with Monte Carlo return regression as a reference. Across 50 on-ball and off-ball comparisons, pose robustly improved return prediction in only three, all using torso and head orientation, while worsening it in twelve, mostly with ST-GCN. Training choices had greater effects: removing the action-prediction loss raised on-ball skill of position-only values from 0.003 to 0.040 and their correlation with expected goals from 0.23 to 0.60; the improvement in return prediction persisted at matched training length. Separately, pose improved prediction of the on-ball action 0.2 s ahead (macro AUC 0.914 to 0.934 with raw joints), while the passer's pose during execution improved pass-success prediction (AUC 0.844 to 0.856). Within this training protocol, pose informed imminent actions but rarely improved observed-action values.
作者备注：Submitted to IEEE Access
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v1 · 2026-10-28 13:46 · 最新观测版本
Does 3D Pose Improve Action Valuation in Football? An Empirical Study of Pose Representations and Learning Objectives
Football action valuation estimates players' contributions to future scoring. Existing multi-agent deep reinforcement learning (MADRL) models use 2D positions and velocities, omitting posture information relevant to imminent actions. We investigate whether adding 3D pose to a SARSA-based model improves observed-action values relative to attack returns: goals, conceded goals or final expected possession value. Using UEFA Champions League 2022/23 event, tracking and 3D pose data, we compare six representations (no pose, raw joints, torso and head orientation, and spatial-temporal graph convolutional network (ST-GCN) embeddings) across five learning settings and three seeds. The settings vary temporal-difference targets and action-prediction loss, with Monte Carlo return regression as a reference. Across 50 on-ball and off-ball comparisons, pose robustly improved return prediction in only three, all using torso and head orientation, while worsening it in twelve, mostly with ST-GCN. Training choices had greater effects: removing the action-prediction loss raised on-ball skill of position-only values from 0.003 to 0.040 and their correlation with expected goals from 0.23 to 0.60; the improvement in return prediction persisted at matched training length. Separately, pose improved prediction of the on-ball action 0.2 s ahead (macro AUC 0.914 to 0.934 with raw joints), while the passer's pose during execution improved pass-success prediction (AUC 0.844 to 0.856). Within this training protocol, pose informed imminent actions but rarely improved observed-action values.
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