← 研踪 PaperTrailarXiv:2611.10586 · v1
M3FT: Micro-Macro-Micro Reasoning for Multi-Agent Cryptocurrency Perpetual Futures Trading
首次提交 2026-11-07 16:51
版本更新 2026-11-07 16:51
雷达观测 2026-11-10 11:14
摘要
Cryptocurrency perpetual futures form a large-scale online financial market in which automated agents manage interacting asset positions under changing conditions. Policies relying solely on micro-level numerical states may overlook cross-asset relationships and become vulnerable to regime shifts, while macro-level linguistic judgments alone cannot ensure precise measurement or optimize positions under trading costs and risk constraints. Connecting market interpretation to coordinated multi-asset decisions remains challenging. We propose M3FT, a micro-macro-micro framework for multi-agent perpetual futures trading. The first micro stage constructs time-aligned numerical states from exchange and account observations through deterministic processing. The macro stage transforms these measured states into explicit market interpretations without adding external market information. Four asset-specific teams, each comprising a Market Interpreter, an Asset Communicator, and a Risk Reviewer, refine these interpretations through experience retrieval, cross-asset communication, and review of joint-position risks. The final micro stage combines encoded linguistic representations with the original numerical states to learn continuous target positions. We implement this framework with a language-conditioned multi-agent policy: asset actors use global and private numerical states together with linguistic context, while centralized critics evaluate joint actions using portfolio-wide information and shared-account rewards. Experiments on real cryptocurrency perpetual futures data, including comparisons across language models and policy-learning algorithms and component ablations, show that the best-performing M3FT configuration achieves a higher mean test return than the evaluated direct LLM, numerical RL, and rule-based baselines.
作者备注：9 pages, 3 figures, 2 tables
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v1 · 2026-11-07 16:51 · 最新观测版本
M3FT: Micro-Macro-Micro Reasoning for Multi-Agent Cryptocurrency Perpetual Futures Trading
Cryptocurrency perpetual futures form a large-scale online financial market in which automated agents manage interacting asset positions under changing conditions. Policies relying solely on micro-level numerical states may overlook cross-asset relationships and become vulnerable to regime shifts, while macro-level linguistic judgments alone cannot ensure precise measurement or optimize positions under trading costs and risk constraints. Connecting market interpretation to coordinated multi-asset decisions remains challenging. We propose M3FT, a micro-macro-micro framework for multi-agent perpetual futures trading. The first micro stage constructs time-aligned numerical states from exchange and account observations through deterministic processing. The macro stage transforms these measured states into explicit market interpretations without adding external market information. Four asset-specific teams, each comprising a Market Interpreter, an Asset Communicator, and a Risk Reviewer, refine these interpretations through experience retrieval, cross-asset communication, and review of joint-position risks. The final micro stage combines encoded linguistic representations with the original numerical states to learn continuous target positions. We implement this framework with a language-conditioned multi-agent policy: asset actors use global and private numerical states together with linguistic context, while centralized critics evaluate joint actions using portfolio-wide information and shared-account rewards. Experiments on real cryptocurrency perpetual futures data, including comparisons across language models and policy-learning algorithms and component ablations, show that the best-performing M3FT configuration achieves a higher mean test return than the evaluated direct LLM, numerical RL, and rule-based baselines.
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