← 研踪 PaperTrailarXiv:2611.10926 · v1
DeepFinance: Can AI Diligence a $100MM Deal?
首次提交 2026-11-08 03:31
版本更新 2026-11-08 03:31
雷达观测 2026-11-10 11:14
摘要
Existing evaluations of AI models on high-finance work focus on retrieving answers from financial documents and producing numerically correct outputs. Real private equity (PE) and investment banking (IB) work also depends on choosing between conflicting sources, making sound assumptions, and keeping every step auditable. We introduce DeepFinance, an ultra long-horizon benchmark of 21 end-to-end PE and IB tasks that take a human professional an average of 27.1 hours. Each task pairs a request with a data room averaging 19 files and is graded against an average of 84 expert-written rubric criteria covering output, workflow, and judgment. We evaluate 22 model configurations, each in its native agent harness. The best configuration, GPT-6 Astra with max reasoning, satisfies 57.6% of rubric criteria, and the top four configurations are not statistically distinguishable. Frontier models often calculate correctly from the wrong inputs and find decision-relevant evidence without acting on it.
作者备注：12 pages, 3 figures, 6 tables. Leaderboard: https://www.juliusresearch.ai
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v1 · 2026-11-08 03:31 · 最新观测版本
DeepFinance: Can AI Diligence a $100MM Deal?
Existing evaluations of AI models on high-finance work focus on retrieving answers from financial documents and producing numerically correct outputs. Real private equity (PE) and investment banking (IB) work also depends on choosing between conflicting sources, making sound assumptions, and keeping every step auditable. We introduce DeepFinance, an ultra long-horizon benchmark of 21 end-to-end PE and IB tasks that take a human professional an average of 27.1 hours. Each task pairs a request with a data room averaging 19 files and is graded against an average of 84 expert-written rubric criteria covering output, workflow, and judgment. We evaluate 22 model configurations, each in its native agent harness. The best configuration, GPT-6 Astra with max reasoning, satisfies 57.6% of rubric criteria, and the top four configurations are not statistically distinguishable. Frontier models often calculate correctly from the wrong inputs and find decision-relevant evidence without acting on it.
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