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新论文 · v1arXiv:2610.38903

Structural-Test Geometry as an Inductive Bias for Partially Observable World Models

Todd Y. Zhou

原文摘要

Predictive world-model objectives need not organize latent histories according to distinctions required for later control. With privileged simulator access during training, should response-derived structural information be predicted, decoded, or imposed directly on latent geometry--and how do these choices compare with structured belief distillation? We define posterior-marginalized structural tests whose response distributions induce a pseudometric over histories, then train quotient-preserving (QP) world models by aligning shared latent Euclidean distances to that metric. Across a fixed six-task diagnostic suite, the largest differences appear under held-out structural variation: QP improves planning success by 26.1 points $[21.5,30.7]$ over metric decoding and 6.4 points $[3.8,9.0]$ over structured belief distillation. On GridWorld, metric decoding accurately recovers held-out structural distances ($ρ=.91$) while its native latent geometry remains more distorted than QP's (paired IQD difference $.22$ $[.20,.24]$), showing that relational recoverability and direct geometric alignment can diverge.

cs.LG

版本更新 · v2arXiv:2609.05834

Learning Counterfactual World Models for Embodied Reasoning under Partial Observability

Todd Y. Zhou, Daniel Zhang

原文摘要

World models promise a general route to embodied intelligence: learn predictive dynamics once, then reason, plan, and act with them. Increasingly, the representations beneath such models are pretrained on large-scale video, interaction, and multimodal corpora, which raises a question prediction quality alone cannot answer: when is a learned representation actually actionable? We identify a failure mode we call counterfactual collapse: a model predicts visually plausible futures while failing to distinguish interventions with different behavioral consequences. This arises whenever a representation is optimized for perceptual similarity rather than intervention structure, which is precisely the objective under which most large-scale pretrained encoders are learned. We introduce Counterfactual Latent World Models (CLWM), which combine a recurrent belief-state encoder, action-conditioned latent dynamics, and a contrastive counterfactual objective that separates futures induced by distinct interventions even when their observations look alike. Across occluded manipulation, aliased navigation, and long-horizon manipulation, CLWM improves planning success over the strongest baseline (65.1% $\to$ 74.6% on Occluded Push and 67.3% $\to$ 78.9% on Aliased Maze) and reduces exploitative planning failures (18.4% $\to$ 9.7% on Deferred Kitchen), with ablations attributing the gains to hard counterfactual negatives, especially perceptual-alias negatives. Finally, our counterfactual separability metric, which tracks planning success across the five baseline model classes ($r \ge 0.94$), is representation-agnostic: given intervention-outcome labels, it can audit any encoder, pretrained or trained from scratch, before a planner trusts it. We do not yet measure it on large-scale pretrained encoders. Here we establish the metric and its relationship to planning success for world models trained from scratch.

cs.AI